Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 1, 1:29 AM ET

MSI max pain

Spot (delayed)$491.5
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$380-22.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$51.4±10.5% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.20785 puts / 4K calls
Call wall$380largest call OI
Put wall$380largest put OI
IV3034.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$2.9Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $300

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$460-6.4%19d
Fri, Dec 18$460-6.4%47d
Fri, Jan 15$380-22.7%75d
Fri, Apr 16$410-16.6%166d
Fri, Dec 17$400-18.6%411d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot380250324398472546620$70M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 380 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot380250320380440500580925925
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSI open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot380250320380440500580180180
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot25032439847254662082%27%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 28.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 300280340400460520620+$1.2M−$1.2M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.88-0.094200.00270.45-0.09-0.12
0.85-0.104300.00330.52-0.10-0.15
0.82-0.124400.00380.60-0.12-0.19
0.77-0.134500.00440.68-0.13-0.23
0.73-0.144600.00500.75-0.15-0.28
0.67-0.154700.00550.81-0.16-0.33
0.61-0.164800.00590.86-0.17-0.39
0.56-0.174900.00610.89-0.17-0.45
0.49-0.175000.00620.90-0.17-0.52
0.43-0.165100.00620.89-0.17-0.58
0.37-0.155200.00600.85-0.16-0.64
0.32-0.145300.00570.81-0.15-0.69
0.27-0.135400.00520.75-0.14-0.75
0.18-0.115600.00420.60-0.11-0.84
0.12-0.085800.00320.46-0.10-0.91

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 33 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2503604204805406202K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2403204004805606402K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 10K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk