Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 23, 11:37 PM ET

MSEX max pain

Spot (delayed)$56.03
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$50-10.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.5±9.8% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.2993 puts / 316 calls
Call wall$60largest call OI
Put wall$30largest put OI
IV3030.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$59Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $50

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$50-10.8%26d
Fri, Dec 18$50-10.8%54d
Fri, Mar 19$40-28.6%145d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot50304050607080$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 50 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot5030455580148148
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSEX open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot503045558011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot404856647280109%14%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 31.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 5030455580+$28K−$28K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.01300.00320.01-0.01-0.03
0.95-0.02400.01050.02-0.02-0.07
0.91-0.02450.01970.03-0.02-0.12
0.82-0.02500.04080.05-0.02-0.21
0.57-0.02550.08390.08-0.02-0.45
0.23-0.01600.05550.07-0.01-0.76
0.05-0.01800.00860.02-0.01-0.94

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4550556065802280
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot304050607080228228
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 452 call contracts, 108 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSEX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk