Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 12, 10:25 PM ET

MRK max pain

Spot (delayed)$145.66
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$120-17.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$16.13±11.1% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.5729K puts / 50K calls
Call wall$170largest call OI
Put wall$110largest put OI
IV3036.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$9.1Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $140
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$140-3.9%4d
Fri, Oct 23$144-1.1%11d
Fri, Oct 30$140-3.9%18d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$143-1.8%25d
Fri, Nov 13$140-3.9%32d
Fri, Nov 20$145-0.5%39d
Fri, Nov 27$146+0.2%46d
Fri, Dec 18$120-17.6%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1204076112148184220$330M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 120 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot120407010013016019014K14K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MRK open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1204070100130160190358358
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot4076112148184220106%31%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 32.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 1407095120145170195+$3.5M−$3.5M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.011100.00290.04-0.01-0.03
0.95-0.011150.00450.06-0.02-0.06
0.92-0.021200.00670.09-0.03-0.09
0.88-0.031250.00960.12-0.03-0.13
0.82-0.041300.01270.16-0.04-0.19
0.74-0.051350.01590.20-0.05-0.27
0.66-0.051400.01850.23-0.06-0.36
0.56-0.061450.02000.24-0.06-0.46
0.46-0.061500.02020.24-0.06-0.56
0.36-0.061550.01910.23-0.05-0.65
0.28-0.051600.01710.21-0.05-0.73
0.21-0.041650.01460.18-0.04-0.80
0.15-0.041700.01200.15-0.03-0.85
0.11-0.031750.00950.12-0.03-0.90
0.08-0.021800.00740.09-0.03-0.94

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 35 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot6513214014816518515K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot409513214316019023K23K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 295K call contracts, 222K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MRK workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk