Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 12, 10:25 PM ET

MRK max pain

Spot (delayed)$145.66
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$140-3.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.84±2.6% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.5830K puts / 52K calls
Call wall$165largest call OI
Put wall$105largest put OI
IV3036.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$16.4Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $134
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$140-3.9%4d
Fri, Oct 23$144-1.1%11d
Fri, Oct 30$140-3.9%18d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$143-1.8%25d
Fri, Nov 13$140-3.9%32d
Fri, Nov 20$145-0.5%39d
Fri, Nov 27$146+0.2%46d
Fri, Dec 18$120-17.6%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1406596127158189220$340M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 140 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot1406511013414315518514K14K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MRK open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot140651101341431551852K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot120135150165180195110%29%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 31.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 134100131139147162.5195+$6.9M−$6.9M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.101390.03250.03-0.10-0.09
0.87-0.121400.04130.03-0.13-0.13
0.83-0.151410.05130.04-0.15-0.17
0.78-0.181420.06160.05-0.19-0.23
0.71-0.221430.07080.05-0.22-0.29
0.63-0.241440.07780.06-0.24-0.37
0.55-0.251450.08190.06-0.26-0.45
0.47-0.261460.08240.06-0.26-0.53
0.39-0.241470.07960.06-0.25-0.61
0.31-0.221480.07370.05-0.22-0.69
0.25-0.191490.06540.05-0.19-0.76
0.19-0.161500.05580.04-0.16-0.82
0.08-0.09152.50.03180.02-0.09-0.92
0.04-0.041550.01560.01-0.04-0.97
0.02-0.02157.50.00830.01-0.02-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 50 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot6513214014816518515K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot409513214316019023K23K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 295K call contracts, 222K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MRK workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk