Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 12, 10:25 PM ET

MRK max pain

Spot (delayed)$145.66
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$140-3.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$10.33±7.1% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI0.162K puts / 15K calls
Call wall$152.5largest call OI
Put wall$140largest put OI
IV3036.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$7.3Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $140
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 29usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$140-3.9%4d
Fri, Oct 23$144-1.1%11d
Fri, Oct 30$140-3.9%18d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 29)
Fri, Nov 6$143-1.8%25d
Fri, Nov 13$140-3.9%32d
Fri, Nov 20$145-0.5%39d
Fri, Nov 27$146+0.2%46d
Fri, Dec 18$120-17.6%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot14085110135160185210$89M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 140 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot140851301381461601854K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MRK open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot140851301381461601858585
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot85110135160185210145%38%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 39.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spotflip 14085130138146160185+$2.6M−$2.6M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.72-0.121390.02590.11-0.12-0.28
0.69-0.131400.02710.11-0.13-0.31
0.66-0.131410.02810.12-0.13-0.34
0.63-0.141420.02900.12-0.14-0.37
0.60-0.141430.02980.13-0.14-0.40
0.57-0.141440.03040.13-0.14-0.43
0.54-0.141450.03070.13-0.14-0.46
0.51-0.141460.03090.13-0.14-0.49
0.48-0.141470.03090.13-0.14-0.52
0.45-0.141480.03070.13-0.14-0.55
0.42-0.141490.03040.13-0.14-0.58
0.39-0.141500.02980.12-0.14-0.61
0.32-0.13152.50.02780.12-0.13-0.68
0.26-0.121550.02510.10-0.12-0.75
0.21-0.10157.50.02200.09-0.10-0.80

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 45 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot6513214014816518515K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot409513214316019023K23K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 295K call contracts, 222K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MRK workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk