Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 3, 10:30 PM ET

MFC max pain

Spot (delayed)$44.78
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe delayed quote, underlying price
Fieldcurrent_price
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 10:30 PM ET
HowAbout 15 minutes delayed.
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Max pain · Thu, Jun 17Not showntoo thin to read
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.58
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourceAt-the-money straddle midpoint
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 10:30 PM ET
HowCall midpoint plus put midpoint at the strike nearest spot for the 2027-06-17 expiration = 6.58 USD, 14.7% of 44.78 spot.
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±14.7% by Thu, Jun 17
Put/Call OI0.35
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INFERENCE — derived by arithmetic
SourcePut open interest divided by call open interest
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 10:30 PM ET
How20 put contracts / 57 call contracts = 0.35 for the 2027-06-17 expiration. Open interest is published once a day, before the open, so it describes the previous session.
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20 puts / 57 calls
IV3026.7%
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EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceCboe 30-day implied volatility for the underlying
Fieldiv30
As ofCboe delayed snapshot Nov 3, 10:30 PM ET
HowAs Cboe publishes it; not computed by us.
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30-day implied vol

Too thin to read: 77 open contracts across 11 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$40-10.7%16d
Fri, Dec 18one strike decides44d
Fri, Jan 15too thin72d
Fri, Mar 19$41-8.4%135d
Thu, Jun 17too thin225d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Too thin to read: 77 open contracts across 11 strikes. Max pain, walls and gamma print from 100 contracts across 5 strikes.

Open interest by strike · Thu, Jun 17

spot3538404549552121
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MFC open contracts per strike for Thu, Jun 17.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Thu, Jun 17

Implied volatility by strike · Thu, Jun 17

spot35394347515529%21%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 23.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Greeks by strike · Thu, Jun 17

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.90-0.00350.01810.06-0.00-0.11
0.86-0.00370.02430.08-0.01-0.16
0.83-0.00380.02770.09-0.01-0.18
0.80-0.00390.03130.10-0.01-0.21
0.77-0.01400.03490.10-0.01-0.25
0.69-0.01420.04190.12-0.01-0.33
0.56-0.01450.04910.14-0.01-0.47
0.51-0.01460.05020.14-0.01-0.52
0.36-0.01490.04850.13-0.01-0.67
0.32-0.01500.04650.12-0.01-0.71
0.15-0.00550.03090.08-0.00-0.91

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2031374145499630
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot203136414655997997
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 4K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

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