Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 17, 11:43 PM ET

MDY max pain

Spot (delayed)$715.35
Max pain · Fri, Dec 17$745+4.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$128.5±18.0% by Fri, Dec 17
Put/Call OI31.0020K puts / 652 calls
Call wall$800largest call OI
Put wall$370largest put OI
IV3013.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$9.6Mper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$690-3.5%4d
Fri, Sep 18$670-6.3%32d
Fri, Dec 18$685-4.2%123d
Fri, Jan 15$675-5.6%151d
Fri, Mar 19$515-28.0%214d
Thu, Jun 17$655-8.4%304d
Fri, Dec 17$745+4.1%487d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot745370456542628714800$282M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 745 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot7453704605306256757353K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MDY open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 17.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot74537046053062567573511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot37045654262871480036%18%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 19.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 17

spot370460530625675735+$720K$720K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 17

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.74-0.046600.00192.65-0.06-0.28
0.73-0.046650.00192.69-0.06-0.29
0.72-0.046700.00202.71-0.06-0.30
0.71-0.056750.00202.78-0.06-0.31
0.70-0.056800.00212.84-0.06-0.32
0.67-0.056950.00222.94-0.06-0.36
0.66-0.057000.00232.97-0.06-0.37
0.60-0.057250.00253.14-0.07-0.44
0.59-0.057300.00253.15-0.07-0.46
0.58-0.057350.00263.17-0.07-0.47
0.57-0.057400.00263.20-0.07-0.49
0.55-0.057450.00263.21-0.07-0.50
0.48-0.057750.00273.23-0.07-0.61
0.41-0.058000.00273.16-0.07-0.70

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 35 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4355956356757157551K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3704805806306857304K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 13K call contracts, 51K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MDY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk