Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 17, 11:43 PM ET

MDY max pain

Spot (delayed)$715.35
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$675-5.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$63.15±8.8% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI4.599K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$640largest call OI
Put wall$630largest put OI
IV3013.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$4.5Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $470

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$690-3.5%4d
Fri, Sep 18$670-6.3%32d
Fri, Dec 18$685-4.2%123d
Fri, Jan 15$675-5.6%151d
Fri, Mar 19$515-28.0%214d
Thu, Jun 17$655-8.4%304d
Fri, Dec 17$745+4.1%487d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot675470561652743834925$111M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 675 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot6754705906457007308152K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MDY open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot6754705906457007308152020
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot47056165274383492532%15%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 17.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 470470590645700730815+$2.0M$2.0M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.82-0.076450.00271.20-0.08-0.18
0.81-0.076500.00291.25-0.08-0.19
0.78-0.086600.00321.35-0.09-0.22
0.75-0.086700.00351.45-0.09-0.25
0.74-0.096750.00371.50-0.10-0.27
0.64-0.097000.00461.72-0.10-0.37
0.59-0.107100.00491.78-0.10-0.42
0.57-0.107150.00501.80-0.10-0.45
0.54-0.107200.00511.81-0.10-0.47
0.52-0.107250.00521.82-0.10-0.50
0.49-0.107300.00531.82-0.10-0.53
0.34-0.087600.00511.68-0.09-0.71
0.24-0.077800.00451.45-0.07-0.82
0.17-0.068000.00361.18-0.05-0.91
0.14-0.058100.00321.04-0.07-0.95

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 30 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot4355956356757157551K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3704805806306857304K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 13K call contracts, 51K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MDY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk