Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 22, 7:38 PM ET

LMT max pain

Spot (delayed)$522.55
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$540+3.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$27.85±5.3% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.732K puts / 3K calls
Call wall$555largest call OI
Put wall$510largest put OI
IV3030.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$249Kper 1% move
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 20usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$537.5+2.9%3d
Fri, Oct 2$545+4.3%10d
Fri, Oct 9$540+3.3%17d
Fri, Oct 16$540+3.3%24d
Fri, Oct 23$535+2.4%31d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 20)
Fri, Oct 30$535+2.4%38d
Fri, Nov 20$535+2.4%59d
Fri, Dec 18$530+1.4%87d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot540460510560610660710$39M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 540 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot540460505537.5580630680527527
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LMT open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot540460505537.5580630680128128
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot46051056061066071078%22%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 25.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot460505537.5580630680+$1.1M$1.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.75-0.23502.50.00910.43-0.24-0.26
0.72-0.245050.00950.45-0.25-0.28
0.70-0.25507.50.00990.47-0.26-0.30
0.67-0.265100.01030.48-0.27-0.33
0.65-0.27512.50.01060.50-0.28-0.36
0.62-0.285150.01090.51-0.28-0.39
0.56-0.295200.01130.53-0.29-0.44
0.51-0.295250.01150.54-0.29-0.50
0.45-0.295300.01140.53-0.29-0.56
0.42-0.28532.50.01130.53-0.29-0.59
0.40-0.285350.01110.52-0.28-0.61
0.37-0.27537.50.01090.51-0.28-0.64
0.34-0.275400.01060.49-0.27-0.67
0.32-0.26542.50.01030.48-0.26-0.69
0.29-0.255450.00990.46-0.26-0.72

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 56 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot400522.5547.55806306853310
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2204005055706408004K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 43K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LMT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk