Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 22, 7:38 PM ET

LMT max pain

Spot (delayed)$522.55
Max pain · Fri, Oct 23$535+2.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$37.5±7.2% by Fri, Oct 23
Put/Call OI1.03399 puts / 387 calls
Call wall$565largest call OI
Put wall$485largest put OI
IV3030.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$293Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $420
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 20usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$537.5+2.9%3d
Fri, Oct 2$545+4.3%10d
Fri, Oct 9$540+3.3%17d
Fri, Oct 16$540+3.3%24d
Fri, Oct 23$535+2.4%31d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 20)
Fri, Oct 30$535+2.4%38d
Fri, Nov 20$535+2.4%59d
Fri, Dec 18$530+1.4%87d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot535350440530620710800$8M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 535 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spot535350455495535575640108108
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LMT open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 23.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spot5353504554955355756402K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spot35044053062071080088%27%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 30.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spotflip 420350455495535575640+$183K$183K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 23

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.79-0.224900.00610.45-0.23-0.21
0.76-0.244950.00660.48-0.24-0.25
0.72-0.255000.00710.52-0.26-0.28
0.68-0.275050.00760.55-0.28-0.32
0.64-0.285100.00790.57-0.29-0.36
0.60-0.295150.00820.59-0.30-0.40
0.56-0.305200.00840.60-0.30-0.45
0.52-0.305250.00840.61-0.31-0.49
0.48-0.305300.00840.61-0.31-0.53
0.44-0.305350.00830.60-0.31-0.57
0.40-0.295400.00810.59-0.30-0.61
0.36-0.295450.00780.57-0.29-0.65
0.32-0.285500.00750.55-0.28-0.69
0.29-0.265550.00710.52-0.27-0.72
0.26-0.255600.00670.49-0.25-0.76

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 48 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot400522.5547.55806306853310
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2204005055706408004K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 43K call contracts, 34K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LMT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk