Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 27, 1:14 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,186
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$1,160-2.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$114.7±9.7% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI1.6918K puts / 10K calls
Call wall$1,300largest call OI
Put wall$520largest put OI
IV3031.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.4Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $1,440

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 28$1,210+2.0%1d
Fri, Sep 4$1,193+0.6%8d
Fri, Sep 11$1,195+0.8%15d
Fri, Sep 18$1,080-8.9%22d
Fri, Sep 25$1,230+3.7%29d
Fri, Oct 2$1,235+4.2%36d
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-2.2%50d
Fri, Nov 20$1,140-3.9%85d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1160490744998125215061760$637M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1160 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot11604907609501060116013203K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot1160490760950106011601320222222
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot5007521004125615081760100%31%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 32.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 14407609401040113012401420+$2.9M$2.9M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.73-0.4611200.00231.49-0.48-0.28
0.70-0.4811300.00241.54-0.50-0.30
0.68-0.5011400.00251.60-0.51-0.33
0.65-0.5111500.00261.65-0.53-0.35
0.63-0.5211600.00261.69-0.54-0.38
0.60-0.5311700.00271.72-0.55-0.41
0.57-0.5411800.00271.75-0.56-0.43
0.54-0.5511900.00281.76-0.56-0.46
0.52-0.5512000.00281.77-0.56-0.49
0.46-0.5512200.00281.77-0.56-0.55
0.41-0.5412400.00271.73-0.55-0.60
0.36-0.5212600.00261.66-0.53-0.66
0.31-0.4912800.00251.57-0.50-0.70
0.27-0.4513000.00231.47-0.46-0.75
0.23-0.4213200.00211.35-0.42-0.79

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot800110511701225128514601K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207108701030122014409K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 160K call contracts, 206K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk