Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 27, 1:14 PM ET

LLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,186
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$1,230+3.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$84.53±7.1% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI1.717K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$1,600largest call OI
Put wall$800largest put OI
IV3031.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$2.1Mper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 28$1,210+2.0%1d
Fri, Sep 4$1,193+0.6%8d
Fri, Sep 11$1,195+0.8%15d
Fri, Sep 18$1,080-8.9%22d
Fri, Sep 25$1,230+3.7%29d
Fri, Oct 2$1,235+4.2%36d
Fri, Oct 16$1,160-2.2%50d
Fri, Nov 20$1,140-3.9%85d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot12306108161022122814341640$218M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1230 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot123061098011401215126513602K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 25.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot12306109801140121512651360985985
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot780952112412961468164083%29%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 30.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot80010651165123512901500+$1.2M$1.2M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.71-0.6211400.00311.17-0.63-0.29
0.68-0.6411500.00331.23-0.66-0.33
0.66-0.6611550.00341.25-0.67-0.34
0.64-0.6711600.00341.28-0.68-0.36
0.63-0.6811650.00351.30-0.69-0.38
0.59-0.6911750.00361.33-0.71-0.42
0.57-0.7011800.00371.34-0.71-0.43
0.53-0.7111900.00371.36-0.72-0.47
0.50-0.7112000.00371.36-0.72-0.51
0.46-0.7012100.00371.35-0.71-0.55
0.44-0.7012150.00371.35-0.71-0.57
0.42-0.6912200.00371.34-0.70-0.58
0.41-0.6812250.00361.32-0.70-0.60
0.39-0.6812300.00361.31-0.69-0.62
0.37-0.6712350.00361.29-0.68-0.64

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot800110511701225128514601K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3207108701030122014409K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 160K call contracts, 206K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk