Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 15, 7:58 PM ET

KEEL max pain

Spot (delayed)$2.57
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$3+17.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$0.98±38.0% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.654K puts / 6K calls
Call wall$5largest call OI
Put wall$1largest put OI
IV3099.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$5Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $3

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$3+17.0%1d
Fri, Oct 23$3+17.0%8d
Fri, Oct 30$3+17.0%15d
Fri, Nov 6$3+17.0%22d
Fri, Nov 13$2.5-2.5%29d
Fri, Nov 20$3.5+36.5%36d
Fri, Nov 27$2.5-2.5%43d
Fri, Dec 18$3+17.0%64d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot3124578$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 3 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot313573K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)KEEL open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot31357999999
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot124578203%98%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 98.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 31357+$2K−$2K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98—10.03510.000.00-0.02
0.79-0.0020.26030.00-0.00-0.21
0.44-0.0030.36780.00-0.00-0.56
0.21-0.0040.26270.00-0.00-0.80
0.10-0.0050.15800.00-0.00-0.91
0.06-0.0060.09350.00—-0.97
0.03-0.0070.05670.000.00-0.99
0.020.0080.03560.00-0.00-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot0.523.556.531K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.52.54.56.5913144K144K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 860K call contracts, 178K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: KEEL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk