Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 23, 12:05 AM ET

IBIT max pain

Spot (delayed)$46
Max pain · Thu, Oct 29$45.5-1.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.81±3.9% by Thu, Oct 29
Put/Call OI0.33751 puts / 2K calls
Call wall$47.5largest call OI
Put wall$42.5largest put OI
IV3038.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$343Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $47.5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 23$46.5+1.1%today
Mon, Oct 26$47+2.2%3d
Tue, Oct 27$48+4.3%4d
Wed, Oct 28$47+2.2%5d
Thu, Oct 29$45.5-1.1%6d
Fri, Oct 30$47.5+3.3%7d
Fri, Nov 20$44-4.3%28d
Fri, Dec 18$43-6.5%56d
Fri, Jan 15$42-8.7%84d
Fri, Feb 19$42-8.7%119d
Fri, Mar 19$42-8.7%147d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot45.5303540455055$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 45.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Thu, Oct 29

spot45.530374245.54952.5730730
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)IBIT open contracts per strike for Thu, Oct 29.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Thu, Oct 29

spot45.530374245.54952.5802802
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Thu, Oct 29

spot303540455055127%34%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 35.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Thu, Oct 29

spotflip 47.530374245.54952.5+$224K−$224K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Thu, Oct 29

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.0342.50.05760.01-0.03-0.09
0.89-0.04430.07220.01-0.04-0.12
0.85-0.0443.50.08990.01-0.04-0.15
0.81-0.05440.11010.02-0.05-0.19
0.75-0.0644.50.13150.02-0.06-0.25
0.68-0.06450.15160.02-0.06-0.32
0.60-0.0745.50.16720.03-0.07-0.40
0.52-0.07460.17550.03-0.07-0.48
0.43-0.0746.50.17510.03-0.07-0.57
0.34-0.06470.16590.02-0.06-0.66
0.27-0.0547.50.14920.02-0.05-0.74
0.20-0.04480.12730.02-0.04-0.81
0.14-0.0448.50.10340.01-0.03-0.86
0.10-0.03490.08110.01-0.03-0.90
0.07-0.0249.50.06240.01-0.02-0.93

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 39 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot203742.54751.55842K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12840485875306K306K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 4.0M call contracts, 3.1M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: IBIT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk