Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 12:34 AM ET

HTLD max pain

Spot (delayed)$10.37
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$10-3.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.9±28.0% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.2413 puts / 55 calls
Call wall$12.5largest call OI
Put wall$7.5largest put OI
IV3036.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$572per 1% move · flip ≈ $10

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$10-3.6%23d
Fri, Dec 18$10-3.6%51d
Fri, Mar 19$10-3.6%142d
Thu, Jun 17$7.5-27.7%232d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot10369121518$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot102.57.51012.51517.53131
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HTLD open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot102.57.51012.51517.511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot8101214161888%38%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 57.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 102.57.51012.51517.5+$393−$393
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.002.50.00610.00-0.00-0.03
0.85-0.007.50.05570.01-0.00-0.15
0.63-0.00100.14650.02-0.00-0.38
0.32-0.0012.50.12220.02-0.00-0.70
0.21-0.00150.07740.02-0.00-0.81
0.16-0.0017.50.05590.02-0.00-0.86

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.57.512.517.522.5800
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.5308080
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 197 call contracts, 105 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HTLD workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk