Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 19, 5:57 PM ET

HCA max pain

Spot (delayed)$454.54
Max pain · Fri, Jan 19$370-18.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$171.25±37.7% by Fri, Jan 19
Put/Call OI0.1822 puts / 122 calls
Call wall$410largest call OI
Put wall$350largest put OI
IV3036.9%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$32Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $390

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$450-1.0%32d
Fri, Dec 18$430-5.4%60d
Fri, Jan 15$400-12.0%88d
Fri, Mar 19$420-7.6%151d
Thu, Jun 17$400-12.0%241d
Fri, Sep 17$410-9.8%333d
Fri, Jan 21$400-12.0%459d
Fri, Jan 19$370-18.6%823d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot370220304388472556640$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 370 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 19

spot3702203503904304706404040
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HCA open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 19

spot37022035039043047064011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 19

spot22030438847255664037%31%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 32.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 19

spotflip 390220350390430470640+$12K−$12K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.79-0.023800.00131.94-0.04-0.23
0.78-0.023900.00132.02-0.04-0.24
0.76-0.034000.00142.09-0.04-0.26
0.74-0.034100.00142.16-0.04-0.28
0.73-0.034200.00152.23-0.04-0.30
0.71-0.034300.00162.29-0.05-0.32
0.70-0.034400.00162.35-0.05-0.34
0.68-0.034500.00162.40-0.05-0.36
0.66-0.044600.00172.45-0.05-0.38
0.65-0.044700.00172.49-0.05-0.40
0.61-0.044900.00182.56-0.05-0.44
0.60-0.045000.00182.59-0.05-0.46
0.57-0.045200.00182.64-0.06-0.51
0.39-0.046400.00182.58-0.05-0.78

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 21 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1502703654304905551K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1703203954454906202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 16K call contracts, 14K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HCA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk