Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 19, 5:57 PM ET

HCA max pain

Spot (delayed)$454.54
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$420-7.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$74.95±16.5% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.40324 puts / 806 calls
Call wall$560largest call OI
Put wall$415largest put OI
IV3036.9%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$396Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $470

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$450-1.0%32d
Fri, Dec 18$430-5.4%60d
Fri, Jan 15$400-12.0%88d
Fri, Mar 19$420-7.6%151d
Thu, Jun 17$400-12.0%241d
Fri, Sep 17$410-9.8%333d
Fri, Jan 21$400-12.0%459d
Fri, Jan 19$370-18.6%823d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot420250364478592706820$25M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 420 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot420250335395440500680149149
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HCA open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot42025033539544050068011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot25036447859270682049%30%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 32.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 470250335395440500680+$97K−$97K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.71-0.104200.00360.99-0.11-0.29
0.69-0.104250.00371.02-0.11-0.31
0.67-0.114300.00381.05-0.11-0.33
0.65-0.114350.00391.07-0.12-0.35
0.63-0.114400.00401.09-0.12-0.38
0.61-0.114450.00411.12-0.12-0.40
0.59-0.124500.00411.13-0.12-0.42
0.57-0.124550.00421.14-0.12-0.44
0.55-0.124600.00421.15-0.12-0.46
0.53-0.124650.00431.16-0.12-0.48
0.51-0.124700.00431.16-0.12-0.51
0.47-0.124800.00431.16-0.12-0.55
0.43-0.124900.00431.15-0.12-0.59
0.39-0.115000.00421.12-0.12-0.64
0.31-0.105200.00391.04-0.11-0.71

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 50 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1502703654304905551K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1703203954454906202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 16K call contracts, 14K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HCA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk