Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 1:50 AM ET

HBR max pain

Spot (delayed)$10.47
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$10-4.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.28±21.7% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.13112 puts / 891 calls
Call wall$25largest call OI
Put wall$10largest put OI
IV3067.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$3Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $10

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$11+5.1%26d
Fri, Dec 18$10-4.5%54d
Fri, Mar 19$8-23.6%145d
Thu, Jun 17$14+33.7%235d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot105913172125$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot105913172125298298
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HBR open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot10591317212566
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot5913172125140%61%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 68.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 105913172125+$1K−$1K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.0050.01640.00-0.00-0.04
0.94-0.0160.02660.01-0.01-0.06
0.91-0.0170.04240.01-0.01-0.10
0.86-0.0180.06660.01-0.01-0.15
0.78-0.0190.10030.01-0.01-0.23
0.66-0.01100.13510.01-0.01-0.35
0.51-0.01110.14900.02-0.01-0.50
0.38-0.01120.13690.02-0.01-0.63
0.29-0.01130.11560.01-0.01-0.72
0.23-0.01140.09560.01-0.01-0.79
0.19-0.01150.07930.01-0.01-0.83
0.15-0.01160.06650.01-0.01-0.87
0.13-0.01170.05650.01-0.01-0.89

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 13 strikes around the money — all 21 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot59131721257280
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot16111621735735
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 141 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HBR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk