Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 27, 3:56 AM ET

CTNM max pain

Spot (delayed)$8.14
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$15+84.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.8±46.7% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.03302 puts / 10K calls
Call wall$15largest call OI
Put wall$15largest put OI
IV3097.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$24Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $10

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$12.5+53.6%24d
Fri, Dec 18$15+84.3%52d
Fri, Jan 15$15+84.3%80d
Fri, Apr 16$10+22.9%171d
Thu, Jun 17$22.5+176.4%233d
Fri, Jul 16$17.5+115.0%262d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot153814192530$8M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 15 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot152.5101522.5305K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CTNM open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot152.5101522.53011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot81217212630364%65%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 161.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 102.5101522.530+$18K−$18K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.002.50.01020.00-0.00-0.03
0.67-0.017.50.11080.01-0.01-0.34
0.37-0.01100.12300.01-0.01-0.63
0.21-0.0112.50.08540.01-0.01-0.80
0.13-0.01150.05820.01-0.01-0.88
0.07-0.01200.03210.00-0.00-0.94
0.06-0.0122.50.02560.00-0.00-0.96
0.05-0.00250.02100.00-0.00-0.97
0.03-0.00300.01520.000.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot5101520258K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.5308K8K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 24K call contracts, 7K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CTNM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk