Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 23, 1:56 AM ET

CMI max pain

Spot (delayed)$519.53
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$620+19.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$95.6±18.4% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.872K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$620largest call OI
Put wall$700largest put OI
IV3042.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$162Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $280

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$530+2.0%28d
Fri, Dec 18$590+13.6%56d
Fri, Mar 19$620+19.3%147d
Thu, Jun 17$500-3.8%237d
Fri, Sep 17$520+0.1%329d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot6202704285867449021060$83M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 620 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot620270390490590690800262262
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CMI open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot6202703904905906908007070
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot270428586744902106054%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 36.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 280270390490590690800+$185K−$185K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.78-0.114500.00240.98-0.13-0.23
0.75-0.124600.00261.04-0.13-0.26
0.72-0.134700.00271.10-0.14-0.28
0.69-0.144800.00291.16-0.14-0.31
0.66-0.144900.00301.20-0.15-0.35
0.63-0.145000.00311.24-0.15-0.38
0.60-0.155100.00321.27-0.15-0.41
0.56-0.155200.00331.29-0.16-0.44
0.53-0.155300.00341.30-0.16-0.48
0.50-0.155400.00341.31-0.16-0.51
0.47-0.155500.00341.30-0.15-0.55
0.43-0.155600.00341.29-0.15-0.58
0.40-0.155700.00331.27-0.15-0.61
0.37-0.145800.00321.24-0.14-0.64
0.34-0.145900.00321.21-0.14-0.68

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2704005106207309004600
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot270390510630750920777777
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 9K call contracts, 8K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CMI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk