Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 13, 2:29 AM ET

CBRL max pain

Spot (delayed)$58.5
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$40-31.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$16.85±28.8% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.633K puts / 5K calls
Call wall$62.5largest call OI
Put wall$52.5largest put OI
IV3058.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$155Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $37.5

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$52.5-10.3%8d
Fri, Sep 18$45-23.1%36d
Fri, Dec 18$42.5-27.4%127d
Fri, Jan 15$40-31.6%155d
Fri, Mar 19$52.5-10.3%218d
Fri, Dec 17$37.5-35.9%491d
Fri, Jan 21$37.5-35.9%526d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot401330486583100$22M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 40 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4012.527.542.557.572.5951K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CBRL open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4012.527.542.557.572.5951616
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot1330486583100140%52%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 56.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 37.512.527.542.557.572.595+$70K$70K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.87-0.01400.00910.08-0.02-0.13
0.84-0.0142.50.01060.09-0.02-0.16
0.80-0.02450.01200.10-0.02-0.19
0.76-0.0247.50.01340.11-0.02-0.23
0.72-0.02500.01480.13-0.02-0.27
0.68-0.0252.50.01590.13-0.02-0.31
0.64-0.03550.01680.14-0.03-0.36
0.59-0.0357.50.01750.15-0.03-0.40
0.55-0.03600.01790.15-0.03-0.45
0.50-0.0362.50.01820.15-0.03-0.49
0.46-0.03650.01820.15-0.03-0.53
0.42-0.0367.50.01800.15-0.02-0.57
0.38-0.03700.01760.14-0.02-0.61
0.34-0.0272.50.01700.14-0.02-0.65
0.31-0.02750.01640.13-0.02-0.68

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 32 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2535455565855K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12.527.542.557.572.5955K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 28K call contracts, 21K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CBRL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk