Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 27, 3:35 AM ET

CAE max pain

Spot (delayed)$26.08
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$22.5-13.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4.58±17.5% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI1.0024 puts / 24 calls
Call wall$30largest call OI
Put wall$22.5largest put OI
IV3048.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$160per 1% move · flip ≈ $15

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$25-4.1%24d
Fri, Dec 18$25-4.1%52d
Fri, Mar 19$22.5-13.7%143d
Thu, Jun 17$30+15.0%233d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot22.5131722263135$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 22.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot22.512.52025351010
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CAE open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot22.512.520253533
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot13172226313578%36%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 35.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 1512.5202535+$357−$357
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.0012.50.00660.00-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.00150.01340.01-0.00-0.04
0.86-0.01200.03380.03-0.01-0.13
0.76-0.0122.50.05120.05-0.01-0.23
0.60-0.01250.06640.06-0.01-0.38
0.29-0.01300.05830.06-0.01-0.69
0.13-0.01350.03350.04-0.00-0.85

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot12.52025352180
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12.517.522.53040273273
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 414 call contracts, 334 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CAE workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk