Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 2:08 PM ET

BILI max pain

Spot (delayed)$17.36
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$20+15.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4.65±26.8% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI1.0736K puts / 34K calls
Call wall$30largest call OI
Put wall$5largest put OI
IV3055.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$110Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $22

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$19.5+12.4%6d
Fri, Aug 28$18+3.7%13d
Fri, Sep 4$16-7.8%20d
Fri, Sep 18$19+9.5%34d
Fri, Oct 16$18+3.7%62d
Fri, Jan 15$20+15.2%153d
Fri, Dec 17$25+44.1%489d
Fri, Jan 21$25+44.1%524d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot2031222314150$66M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 20 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot203142026355022K22K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)BILI open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot203142026355022
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot31222314150132%50%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 52.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 2231420263550+$68K$68K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.0080.00760.01-0.00-0.03
0.95-0.00100.01530.01-0.00-0.05
0.89-0.00120.02920.02-0.00-0.11
0.85-0.01130.03770.03-0.01-0.15
0.80-0.01140.04600.03-0.01-0.20
0.74-0.01150.05340.04-0.01-0.26
0.68-0.01160.05920.04-0.01-0.33
0.61-0.01170.06320.04-0.01-0.39
0.55-0.01180.06530.04-0.01-0.46
0.49-0.01190.06550.04-0.01-0.52
0.43-0.01200.06420.04-0.01-0.58
0.38-0.01210.06170.04-0.01-0.64
0.33-0.01220.05840.04-0.01-0.69
0.29-0.01230.05460.04-0.01-0.73
0.26-0.01240.05070.04-0.01-0.77

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 31 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1216202533418K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot313.518.523.5334322K22K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 112K call contracts, 88K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: BILI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk