Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 22, 11:41 PM ET

ARKB max pain

Spot (delayed)$26.92
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$24-10.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.35±12.4% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.48968 puts / 2K calls
Call wall$29largest call OI
Put wall$16largest put OI
IV3041.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$100Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $29

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$26-3.4%28d
Fri, Dec 18$24-10.8%56d
Fri, Jan 15$21-22.0%84d
Fri, Mar 19$22-18.3%147d
Thu, Jun 17$28+4.0%237d
Fri, Jan 21$15-44.3%455d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot24151923273135$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 24 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot241519232731351K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ARKB open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2415192327313544
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot15192327313585%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 39.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 29151923273135+$72K−$72K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.00200.02140.01-0.01-0.07
0.92-0.01210.02830.02-0.01-0.09
0.89-0.01220.03730.02-0.01-0.12
0.85-0.01230.04860.03-0.01-0.15
0.80-0.01240.06220.03-0.01-0.20
0.73-0.01250.07720.04-0.01-0.27
0.65-0.01260.09110.04-0.01-0.36
0.55-0.01270.10030.04-0.01-0.46
0.45-0.01280.10180.04-0.01-0.56
0.36-0.01290.09570.04-0.01-0.66
0.28-0.01300.08480.04-0.01-0.74
0.22-0.01310.07220.03-0.01-0.81
0.17-0.01320.06030.03-0.01-0.86
0.14-0.01330.04980.02-0.01-0.90
0.11-0.01340.04110.02-0.01-0.93

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 21 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1119263340471K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1017243138451K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 9K call contracts, 3K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ARKB workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk