Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. (HOVRW)

CIK 1930021 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed sub-ratings (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGH$200M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this
Overhead supply
LOWwarrants = 0% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
HIGH+268% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
Cash need
HIGH~0.1 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2024-03-282026-10-09

Latest: 67.1M shares as of Oct 9, 2026 (10-Q).

⊙
EVIDENCE — filed/published fact
SourceSEC XBRL, cover-page share count
Fielddei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding
As of2026-10-09
HowThe newest cover-page count as filed. It is used as the current count only while it is no more than about 15 months older than the company’s newest periodic filing; the float checker applies a 200-day rule and sets it beside the balance-sheet count.
Open the source document →

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
Public Warrant11.5M$0.31——
Private Warrant Liabilities565,375$11.5——
Registered Direct Offering Two Warrants298,805$2.89——
General Warrants10,000not tagged——
Pre Funded Warrants1not tagged——
General Warrant Liabilitiesnot taggednot tagged—FV $17,000
Placement Warrant Liabilitiesnot taggednot tagged—FV $244,000

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Oct 9, 2026 →. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 10,000 underlying shares, as reported Feb 28, 2026 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $11.5 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $75.8M as of Aug 21, 2024.

Rough fully diluted estimate: 67.1M = 67.1M O/S + 10,000 warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed Oct 9, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding67.1MOct 9, 2026
+ Public Warrant (if exercised)11.5MAug 31, 2026
+ Private Warrant Liabilities (if exercised)565,375Aug 31, 2026
+ Registered Direct Offering Two Warrants (if exercised)298,805May 27, 2026
+ General Warrants (if exercised)10,000Aug 31, 2026
+ Pre Funded Warrants (if exercised)1Aug 31, 2026
Fully diluted estimate79.5M+18.4% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $200.0Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3Aug 28, 2026$200.0M registeredfiling →
S-3Mar 28, 2025no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →
S-3Feb 14, 2025no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 4 executed · 1 registered.

EXECUTEDSep 4, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EFFECTIVESep 4, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →
REGISTEREDAug 28, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3 →
EXECUTEDMay 27, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EXECUTEDMay 26, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EXECUTEDMay 8, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EXECUTEDOct 31, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EXECUTEDJun 27, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
UPDATEApr 4, 2025Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →
EFFECTIVEApr 4, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →
REGISTEREDMar 28, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3 →
EXECUTEDMar 26, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

Keep going: float checker · offering calendar · short-squeeze screener · full HOVRW workspace

Free to use. No account, no card.