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Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Expion360 Inc. (XPON)

CIK 1894954 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (overhead supply)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
MEDIUM$2.5M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this
Overhead supply
HIGHwarrants = 92% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW-86% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
HIGH~3 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2022-05-052026-08-06

Latest: 962,335 shares as of Aug 6, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 55.6M to 2.1M between Aug 9, 2024 and Nov 12, 2024, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-27); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

Warrants outstanding: 888,436 underlying shares, as reported Dec 31, 2022 (10-K).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $185,434 as of Dec 31, 2024.

Rough fully diluted estimate: 1.9M = 962,335 O/S + 888,436 warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed Aug 10, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding962,335Aug 6, 2026
+ Warrants (aggregate, as tagged) (if exercised)888,436Dec 31, 2022
Fully diluted estimate1.9M+92.3% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $2.5Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-1Jan 17, 2025$2.5M registeredfiling →
S-1Jul 25, 2024no fee data found in the structured exhibitsfiling →
S-1Jan 23, 2024no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 2 executed · 0 registered.

EXECUTEDDec 15, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EXECUTEDOct 17, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →
EXECUTEDFeb 18, 2025Final prospectus — offering priced (typical for IPOs and marketed share deals)424B4 →
EFFECTIVEFeb 11, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →
REGISTEREDJan 17, 2025S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1 →
EXECUTEDJan 3, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →
EXECUTEDJan 3, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →
EXECUTEDAug 8, 2024Final prospectus — offering priced (typical for IPOs and marketed share deals)424B4 →
EFFECTIVEAug 6, 2024SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →
REGISTEREDAug 2, 2024S-1/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1/A →
REGISTEREDJul 25, 2024S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1 →
EXECUTEDMay 7, 2024Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5 →

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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