Item 1A. Risk Factors
ITEM
1A – Risk Factors
Summary
of Risk Factors
● We have a history of operating losses and expect to incur losses for the foreseeable future.
We may never achieve profitability.
● We expect a number of factors to cause our operating results to fluctuate on a quarterly
and annual basis, which may make it difficult to predict our future performance.
● Our independent registered public accounting firm has included an explanatory paragraph relating
to our ability to continue as a going concern in its report on our audited financial statements.
● We will need additional capital to fund our operations.
● Our prospects are highly dependent on the success of TONMYA. If we are unable to successfully
commercialize or maintain approval for TONMYA, our business will be materially adversely affected.
● We have a limited operating history and only recently launched TONMYA in the United States,
which may make it difficult to evaluate the prospects for our future viability.
● TONMYA and our migraine products remain subject to ongoing regulatory review, and if we fail
to comply with continuing regulations, we could lose our approval and the sale of TONMYA or our migraine products could be suspended.
● If estimates of the size of the potential market for TONMYA are overstated or data we have
used to identify prescribing healthcare providers is inaccurate, our ability to earn revenue to support our business could be materially
adversely affected.
● Coverage and adequate reimbursement may not be available for our products.
● Healthcare legislative or regulatory reform measures, including government restrictions on
pricing and reimbursement, may have a negative impact on our business and results of operations.
● Even if we obtain regulatory approval to market our product candidates, our product candidates
may not be accepted by the market.
● Uncertainty in Government funding and in-kind support policies and programs may adversely
affect our business.
● Our product candidates are novel and still in development.
● If preclinical and nonclinical testing or clinical studies for our product candidates are
unsuccessful or delayed, we will be unable to meet our anticipated development and commercialization timelines.
● We are subject to extensive and costly government regulation.
● Our product candidates may cause serious adverse events, or SAEs, or undesirable side effects.
● Any breakthrough, fast track or orphan drug designation or grant of priority review status
by the FDA may not actually lead to the benefits we anticipate.
● Even if approved, our product candidates will be subject to extensive post-approval regulation.
● Our relationships with customers, physicians and third-party payors is subject to federal
and state healthcare laws and regulations
● If we obtain approval to commercialize any approved products outside of the United States,
a variety of risks associated with international operations could materially adversely affect our business.
● Governments outside the United States tend to impose strict price controls, which may adversely
affect our revenues, if any.
● If the FDA approves generic products that compete with TONMYA, sales of TONMYA would be adversely
affected.
● The biopharmaceutical industry is subject to extensive regulatory obligations and policies
that may be subject to change, including due to judicial challenges.
● Reductions in staffing and funding at FDA and other federal agencies could cause delays in
the development and approval of our products.
● We may never receive regulatory approval to market our current or future product candidates
outside of the U.S.
● Our future growth may depend, in part, on our ability to penetrate foreign markets, where
we would be subject to additional regulatory burdens and other risks and uncertainties that could materially adversely affect our business.
● There may not be market interest in TNX-801.
● If technology developed for the purposes of developing new medicines or vaccines can be applied
to the creation or development of biological weapons, then our technology may be considered “dual use” technology and be
subject to limitations on public disclosure or export.
● Competition and technological change may make our product candidates and technologies less
attractive or obsolete.
● Failure to protect our intellectual property could materially adversely affect our business.
● We are dependent on license relationships with third parties for certain of our drug development
programs.
● We may be involved in lawsuits to protect or enforce our patents, which could be expensive
and time consuming.
● If we infringe the rights of third parties we could be prevented from selling products, forced
to pay damages, and defend against litigation.
● There are risks to our intellectual property based on our international business initiatives.
● We may be unable to protect the confidentiality of our trade secrets, thus harming our business
and competitive position.
59
● Third parties may assert that our employees or consultants have wrongfully used or disclosed
confidential information or misappropriated trade secrets.
● We may need to license intellectual property from third parties, and such licenses may not
be available or may not be available on commercially reasonable terms.
● We rely on third parties to conduct, supervise and monitor our clinical studies, and if those
third parties perform in an unsatisfactory manner, it may harm our business.
● We may use our financial and human resources to pursue a particular research program or product
candidate and fail to capitalize on programs or product candidates that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood
of success.
● We will need to expand our operations and increase the size of our company, and we may experience
difficulties in managing growth.
● Our executive officers and other key personnel are critical to our business, and our future
success depends on our ability to retain them.
● If we are unable to hire additional qualified personnel, our ability to grow our business
may be harmed.
● We rely on, and expect to continue to rely on, third parties to manufacture our marketed
products and the compounds used in our studies.
● Failure by our third-party manufacturers to comply with the regulatory guidelines could delay
or prevent the completion of clinical studies, the approval of any product candidates or the commercialization of our products.
● We are exposed to cybersecurity and data privacy risks.
● Adverse global conditions, including economic uncertainty, may negatively impact our financial
results.
● Our internal computer systems, or those of our CROs or other contractors or consultants,
may fail or suffer security breaches.
● Corporate and academic collaborators may take actions to delay, prevent, or undermine the
success of our products.
● Data provided by collaborators and others upon which we rely that has not been independently
verified could turn out to be false, misleading, or incomplete.
● Our product candidates may face competition sooner than expected.
● We may be unable to establish, or engage third-parties to provide, effective marketing, sales
and distribution capabilities.
● We face the risk of product liability claims and may not be able to obtain insurance.
● Potential claims relating to improper handling, storage or disposal of hazardous chemicals
used in our business could affect us and be time-consuming and costly.
● Our insurance policies are expensive and protect us only from some business risks, which
will leave us exposed to significant uninsured liabilities.
● If we retain collaborative partners and our partners do not satisfy their obligations, we
will be unable to develop our partnered product candidates.
● We face risks in connection with existing and future collaborations with respect to the development,
manufacture, and commercialization of our product candidates.
● We face risks in connection with the testing, production and storage of our vaccine product
candidates.
● Changes in tax laws could adversely affect our business and financial condition.
● Sales of additional shares of our common stock could cause the price of our common stock
to decline.
● We may not be able to maintain compliance with the Listing Rules of the NASDAQ Stock Exchange.
● An active trading market for our common stock may not be sustained.
● The market price of our common stock has been extremely volatile in the past and may be volatile
in the future due to numerous circumstances beyond our control.
● A “short squeeze” due to a sudden increase in demand for shares of our common
stock that largely could lead to extreme price volatility in shares of our common stock.
● We do not anticipate paying dividends on our common stock.
● The rights of the holders of common stock may be impaired by the potential issuance of preferred
stock.
● If we fail to comply with the rules under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 related to accounting
controls and procedures, or if we discover material weaknesses and deficiencies in our internal control and accounting procedures, our
stock price could decline significantly and raising capital could be more difficult.
● If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or reports about our business,
or if they change their recommendations regarding our stock adversely, our stock price and trading volume could decline.
● Other companies may have difficulty acquiring us, even if doing so would benefit our stockholders,
due to provisions under our corporate charter and bylaws, as well as Nevada law.
● Our bylaws designate the Eighth Judicial District Court of Clark County, Nevada as the sole
and exclusive forum for certain types of actions and proceedings that may be initiated by our stockholders, which could limit our stockholders’
ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or agents.
RISKS
RELATED TO OUR FINANCIAL CONDITION AND CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
We
have a history of operating losses and expect to incur losses for the foreseeable future. We may never achieve profitability.
We
started generating revenues from product sales in the third quarter of 2023, and from sales of TONMYA in the fourth quarter of 2025.
We have incurred losses in each year of our operations, and we expect to continue to incur operating losses for the foreseeable
future as our sales and marketing, research, development, preclinical and nonclinical testing, and clinical study activities
increase, and if and when we acquire rights to additional products and product candidates. The amount of future losses and when, if
ever, we will achieve profitability are uncertain. Failure to achieve profitability could diminish our ability to sustain
operations, pay dividends on our common stock, obtain additional required funds and make required payments on any future
indebtedness. We have three products that have generated commercial revenue in the past two years, but we do not expect revenues
from the commercial sale of products to exceed expenses in the near future. Our ability to generate revenue and achieve
profitability will depend on, among other things, successfully commercializing our products; establishing a favorable competitive
position; successful completion of the development of our product candidates; obtaining necessary regulatory approvals from the FDA;
establishing manufacturing, sales, and marketing arrangements with third parties; and raising sufficient funds to finance our
activities. Many of these factors will depend on circumstances beyond our control. We might not succeed at any of these
undertakings. If we are unsuccessful at some or all of these undertakings, our business, prospects, and results of operations may be
materially adversely affected.
60
We
expect a number of factors to cause our operating results to fluctuate on a quarterly and annual basis, which may make it difficult
to predict our future performance.
Our
financial condition has varied significantly in the past and will continue to fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year
due to a variety of factors, many of which are beyond our control. Factors relating to our business that may contribute to these
fluctuations include other factors described elsewhere in this Annual Report and include, among other things:
● our
ability to obtain additional funding to commercialize our products and develop our product
candidates;
● market
acceptance of our products;
● the
ability of patients or healthcare providers to obtain coverage of or sufficient reimbursement
for our products;
● our
ability to maintain regulatory approval for TONMYA and our migraine products, and to
obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates in the United States and foreign
jurisdictions;
● delays
in the commencement, enrollment and timing of clinical studies;
● the
success of our clinical studies through all phases of clinical development;
● any
delays in regulatory review and approval of product candidates in clinical development;
● potential
nonclinical toxicity and/or side effects of our products or product candidates that could
delay or prevent commercialization, limit the indications for any approved drug, require
the establishment of a REMS, or cause an approved drug to be taken off the market;
● our
ability to establish or maintain collaborations, licensing or other arrangements;
● competition
from existing or new products;
● our
ability to leverage our proprietary technology platform to discover and develop additional
product candidates;
● our
ability and our licensors’ abilities to successfully obtain, maintain, defend and
enforce intellectual property rights important to our business; and
● potential
product liability claims.
Accordingly,
the results of any quarterly or annual periods should not be relied upon as indications of future operating performance.
Our
independent registered public accounting firm has included an explanatory paragraph relating to our ability to continue as a going
concern in its report on our audited financial statements.
If
we are unable to obtain sufficient funding, our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations will be materially
and adversely affected, and we may be unable to continue as a going concern. For example, we anticipate that our existing cash
and cash equivalents will enable us to maintain our current operations into the first quarter of 2027. If we are unable to continue
as a going concern, we may have to liquidate our assets and may receive less than the value at which those assets are carried
on our consolidated financial statements, and investors will likely lose all or a part of their investment. Future reports from
our independent registered public accounting firm may continue to include statements expressing substantial doubt about our ability
to continue as a going concern. If we seek additional financing to fund our business activities in the future and there remains
substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern, investors or other financing sources may be unwilling to provide
additional funding on commercially reasonable terms or at all. In connection with our management’s assessment, our report
from our independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, includes an explanatory paragraph
stating that our recurring losses from operations and net capital deficiency raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue
as a going concern.
61
We
will need additional capital to fund our operations. If additional capital is not available or is available at unattractive terms,
we may be forced to delay, reduce the scope of or eliminate our research and development programs, reduce our commercialization
efforts or curtail our operations.
In
order to successfully commercialize our marketed products and develop and bring our product candidates to market, we must commit
substantial resources to costly and time-consuming commercialization activities, research, preclinical and nonclinical testing,
clinical studies and the buildout of our sales, research and development and manufacturing facilities. We anticipate that our
existing cash and cash equivalents will enable us to maintain our current operations until the first quarter of 2027. We anticipate
using our cash and cash equivalents to commercialize TONMYA and to fund further research and development with respect to our product
candidates. We will, however, need to raise additional funding sooner if our business or operations change in a manner that consumes
available resources more rapidly than we anticipate. Our requirements for additional capital will depend on many factors, including:
● successful
commercialization of our marketed products;
● development
of marketing and sales capabilities;
● market
acceptance of our products;
● the
time and costs involved in obtaining regulatory approval for our product candidates;
● costs
associated with protecting our intellectual property rights; and
● payments
received under future collaborative agreements, if any.
To
the extent we raise additional capital through the sale of equity securities, the issuance of those securities could result in
dilution to our shareholders. In addition, if we obtain debt financing, a substantial portion of our operating cash flow may be
dedicated to the payment of principal and interest on such indebtedness, thus limiting funds available for our business activities.
If adequate funds are not available, we may be required to delay, reduce the scope of or eliminate our research and development
programs, reduce our commercialization efforts or curtail our operations. In addition, we may be required to obtain funds through
arrangements with collaborative partners or others that may require us to relinquish rights to technologies, product candidates
or products that we would otherwise seek to develop or commercialize ourselves or license rights to technologies, product candidates
or products on terms that are less favorable to us than might otherwise be available.
We
will require substantial funds to support our commercialization, research and development activities, and the anticipated costs
of preclinical and nonclinical testing and clinical studies, regulatory approvals and eventual commercialization of our product
candidates. Such additional sources of financing may not be available on favorable terms, if at all. If we do not succeed in raising
additional funds on acceptable terms, we may be unable to commence or complete clinical studies or obtain approval of any product
candidates from the FDA and other regulatory authorities. In addition, we could be forced to discontinue product development,
forego sales and marketing efforts and forego attractive business opportunities. Any additional sources of financing will likely
involve the issuance of our equity securities, which will have a dilutive effect on our shareholders.
There
is no assurance that we will be successful in raising the additional funds needed to fund our business plan. If we are not able
to raise sufficient capital in the near future, our continued operations will be in jeopardy, and we may be forced to cease operations
and sell or otherwise transfer all or substantially all of our remaining assets.
RISKS
RELATED TO OUR BUSINESS
Our
prospects are highly dependent on the success of TONMYA. If we are unable to successfully commercialize or maintain approval for
TONMYA, our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects and the value of our common stock will be materially
adversely affected.
In
August 2025, the FDA granted approval of TONMYA for the treatment of fibromyalgia. We have invested, and continue to invest, significant
efforts and financial resources in the launch of TONMYA. We have never, as an organization, launched any other product, and there
is no guarantee that we will be able to successfully commercialize TONMYA. There are numerous examples of failures to meet high
expectations of market potential, including by pharmaceutical companies with more experience and resources than us. We believe
that the commercial success of TONMYA depends on many factors, including the following:
● the
acceptance of TONMYA by physicians, patients and third-party payors;
● our
ability to effectively educate healthcare providers and patients on the risks and clinical
benefits of TONMYA;
● the
efficacy, cost, approved use, and side-effect profile of TONMYA relative to competitive
treatment regimens for fibromyalgia;
● TONMYA
may compete with the off-label use of currently marketed products and other therapies
in development that may in the future obtain approval for fibromyalgia;
● the
effectiveness of our commercial strategy for the marketing of TONMYA, including our pricing
strategy and the effectiveness of our efforts to obtain adequate third-party reimbursement;
62
● developing,
maintaining and successfully monitoring commercial manufacturing arrangements for TONMYA
with third-party manufacturers to ensure they meet our standards and those of regulatory
authorities, including the FDA, which extensively regulate and monitor pharmaceutical
manufacturing facilities;
● our
ability to negotiate and enter into any additional commercial, supply and distribution
contracts to support commercialization efforts, and to hire and manage additional qualified
personnel;
● our
ability to meet the demand for commercial supplies of TONMYA at acceptable costs;
● our
ability to remain compliant with laws and regulations that apply to us and our commercial
activities;
● the
actual market-size, ability to identify targeted patients and the demographics of patients
eligible for TONMYA, which may be different than what we currently expect;
● the
occurrence of any side effects, adverse reactions or misuse, or any unfavorable publicity
in these areas;
● our
ability to obtain, maintain or enforce our patents and other intellectual property rights;
and
● the
effect of current and future health care legislation in the United States.
While
we believe that TONMYA has a commercially competitive profile, we cannot accurately predict the amount of time needed to attain
a commercially successful profile or the amount of revenue that would be generated from sales of TONMYA, and there is no guarantee
that we will be able to maintain or increase product sales for TONMYA or any of our marketed products. While we have established
our commercial team and hired our U.S. sales force, we will need to further expand and develop the team in order to continue to
grow the business. Even if we are successful in developing our commercial team, there are many factors that could negatively impact
sales of our marketed products or cause commercialization efforts to be unsuccessful, including several factors that are outside
our control. If the continued commercialization of our marketed products or future sales are less successful than expected or
perceived as disappointing, our stock price could decline significantly, and our long-term success company could be harmed.
We
have a limited operating history and only recently launched TONMYA in the United States, which may make it difficult to evaluate
the prospects for our future viability.
We
are still in the relatively early stages of our transition from a clinical-stage to a commercial-stage company. Our operations
to date have been primarily limited to conducting research and development activities, including preclinical studies and clinical
trials and, more recently, commercializing our migraine products and launching TONMYA. We have not yet demonstrated an ability
to generate significant revenues, or to conduct sales and marketing activities on a long-term sustained basis necessary for successful
product commercialization. Initial sales of TONMYA may not be predictive of long-term commercial results.
We
may encounter unforeseen expenses, difficulties, complications, delays and other known or unknown factors in achieving our business
objectives. Accordingly, you should consider our prospects in light of the costs, uncertainties, delays and difficulties frequently
encountered by companies in the early commercial stage, especially pharmaceutical companies such as ours. Any predictions about
our future success or viability may not be as accurate as they could be if we had a longer operating history with these activities.
TONMYA
and our migraine products remain subject to ongoing regulatory review, and if we fail to comply with continuing regulations, we
could lose our approval and the sale of TONMYA or our migraine products could be suspended.
Even
though we received FDA approval for TONMYA, the manufacturing, labeling, packaging, distribution, adverse event reporting, storage,
advertising, promotion, sampling, and record keeping related to TONMYA and our migraine products will remain subject to extensive
regulatory requirements. These requirements include submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports, registration,
as well as continued compliance with cGMP regulations, and GCPs for any clinical trials that we conduct post-approval, all of
which may result in significant expense and limit our ability to commercialize TONMYA and our migraine products. As such, we and
our contract manufacturers will be subject to periodic review and inspections to assess compliance with cGMP and adherence to
commitments made in any NDA or other marketing application and previous responses to inspection observations. For certain commercial
prescription drug products, manufacturers and other parties involved in the supply chain must also meet chain of distribution
requirements and build electronic, interoperable systems for product tracking and tracing and for notifying the FDA of counterfeit,
diverted, stolen and intentionally adulterated products or other products that are otherwise unfit for distribution in the United
States. Accordingly, we and others with whom we work must continue to expend time, money, and effort in all areas of regulatory
compliance, including manufacturing, production and quality control. The FDA may also require a REMS program for TONMYA or any
future product candidates, which could include requirements for a medication guide, physician communication plans or additional
elements to ensure safe use, such as restricted distribution methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools.
63
If
we fail to comply with the regulatory requirements of the FDA and other applicable domestic and foreign regulatory authorities,
or previously unknown problems with any of our marketed products, manufacturer, or manufacturing process are discovered, we could
be subject to administrative or judicially imposed sanctions, including:
● restrictions
on marketing or manufacturing;
● withdrawal
of the product from the market;
● holds
on clinical trials;
● warning
letters or untitled letters;
● civil
or criminal penalties;
● fines;
● injunctions;
● product
seizures or detentions;
● pressure
to initiate voluntary product recalls;
● suspension
or withdrawal of regulatory approvals; and
● refusal
to approve supplements to approved applications.
If
any of these events occur, our ability to sell the affected product may be impaired, and we may incur substantial additional expense
to comply with regulatory requirements, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
If
estimates of the size of the potential market for TONMYA are overstated or data we have used to identify prescribing healthcare
providers is inaccurate, our ability to earn revenue to support our business could be materially adversely affected.
We
have relied on external sources, including market research funded by us and third parties, and internal analyses and calculations
to estimate the potential market opportunities for TONMYA. The externally sourced information used to develop these estimates
has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we have not verified the data from such sources, and their accuracy
and completeness cannot be assured. With respect to TONMYA, our internal analyses and calculations are based upon management’s
understanding and assessment of numerous inputs and market conditions. These understandings and assessments necessarily require
assumptions subject to significant judgment and may prove to be inaccurate. As a result, our estimates of the size of these potential
market for TONMYA could prove to be overstated, perhaps materially.
In
addition, we are relying on third-party data to identify the prescribers who treat the majority of fibromyalgia patients in the
United States; however, we may not be marketing to the appropriate prescribers and may therefore be limiting our market opportunity.
Coverage
and adequate reimbursement may not be available for our products, which could make it difficult for us to sell our products profitably.
Market
acceptance and sales of our products depends in part on the extent to which reimbursement for these drugs and related treatments
will be available from third-party payors, including government health administration authorities, pharmacy benefit managers (“PBMs”),
managed care organizations and other private health insurers. Third-party payors decide which therapies they will pay for and
establish reimbursement levels. Third-party payors often rely upon Medicare coverage policy and payment limitations in setting
their own coverage and reimbursement policies. However, decisions regarding the extent of coverage and amount of reimbursement
to be provided for any drug is made on a payor-by-payor basis. If PBMs other payers or payer affiliates deny formulary inclusion,
impose unfavorable tiering, or require burdensome utilization management restrictions, patient access to our products could be
significantly limited. Moreover, one payor’s determination to provide coverage for a drug does not assure that other payors
will also provide coverage, and adequate reimbursement, for the drug. Additionally, a third-party payor’s decision to provide
coverage for a therapy does not imply that an adequate reimbursement rate will be approved. Each payor determines whether or not
it will provide coverage for a therapy, what amount it will pay the manufacturer for the therapy, and on what tier of its formulary
it will be placed. The position on a payor’s list of covered drugs, or formulary, generally determines the co-payment that
a patient will need to make to obtain the therapy and can strongly influence the adoption of such therapy by patients and physicians.
Patients who are prescribed treatments for their conditions and providers prescribing such services generally rely on third-party
payors to reimburse all or part of the associated healthcare costs. Patients are unlikely to use our drugs unless coverage is
provided and reimbursement is adequate to cover a significant portion of the cost of our drugs.
A
primary trend in the U.S. healthcare industry and elsewhere is cost containment. Third-party payors have attempted to control
costs by limiting coverage and the amount of reimbursement for particular medications. We cannot be sure that coverage and reimbursement
will be available or continue to be available for any drug that we commercialize and, if reimbursement is available, what the
level of reimbursement will be. Inadequate coverage and reimbursement may impact the demand for, or the price of, any drug we
commercialize. If coverage and adequate reimbursement are not available, or are available only to limited levels, we may not be
able to successfully commercialize our current and any future drug products.
64
Access
to prescription drugs in the U.S. commercial market is largely controlled by three dominant entities: Emisar/Optum/United HealthCare,
Ascent/Express Scripts/Cigna, and Zinc/CVS Caremark/Aetna, which collectively manage a significant portion of formulary decisions
and reimbursement policies. These entities have the ability to deny or restrict formulary access to our products through various
techniques, including National Drug Code (“NDC”) blocks, exclusion lists, and unfavorable tier placement. Such actions
could severely limit patient access to our therapies, reduce sales, and negatively impact our financial performance. Additionally,
the consolidation of PBMs and insurers further strengthens their negotiating leverage, increasing the risk of unfavorable pricing
and reimbursement terms for our products.
Moreover,
PBMs have significant influence over prescription drug access through formulary decisions, reimbursement policies, and utilization
management practices. In some cases, PBMs may prioritize lower-cost alternatives, including off-label or unapproved therapies,
over our FDA-approved products. This could include steering patients toward opioid-based treatments for fibromyalgia or barbiturates
for migraine or other medications that do not meet the same regulatory and safety standards as our products. Such actions may
limit patient access to clinically appropriate therapies and negatively impact our sales.
Healthcare
legislative or regulatory reform measures, including government restrictions on pricing and reimbursement, may have a negative
impact on our business and results of operations.
In
the United States and some foreign jurisdictions, there have been, and continue to be, several legislative and regulatory changes
and proposed changes regarding the healthcare system that could prevent or delay marketing authorization of product candidates,
restrict or regulate post-approval activities, and affect our ability to profitably sell any of our commercialized products.
Among
policy makers and payors in the United States and elsewhere, there is significant interest in promoting changes in healthcare
systems with the stated goals of containing healthcare costs, improving quality and/or expanding access. In the United States,
the pharmaceutical industry has been a particular focus of these efforts and has been significantly affected by major legislative
initiatives. For example, in the United States, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (“ACA”), as supplemented
by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (“IRA”) and presidential executive orders, substantially changed the way healthcare
is financed by both the government and private insurers, and significantly affects the pharmaceutical industry. Many provisions
of the ACA impact the biopharmaceutical industry, including that in order for a biopharmaceutical product to receive federal reimbursement
under the Medicare Part B and Medicaid programs or to be sold directly to U.S. government agencies, the manufacturer must extend
discounts to entities eligible to participate in the drug pricing program under the Public Health Services Act, or PHS.
Additionally,
the IRA, which is subject to active modification efforts, includes policies that have a direct impact on drug prices and reduced
drug spending by the federal government. This legislation contains substantial drug pricing reforms, including the establishment
of a drug price negotiation program within the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services that requires manufacturers to charge
a negotiated “maximum fair price” for certain selected drugs covered by Medicare or pay an excise tax for noncompliance,
rebate payment requirements on manufacturers of certain drugs payable under Medicare Parts B and D to penalize price increases
that outpace inflation, and required discounts on Part D drugs. Moreover, presidential executive orders and agency guidance may
rapidly change reimbursement and pricing conditions.
Legislative,
administrative, and private payor efforts to control drug costs span a range of proposals, including drug price negotiation, Medicare
Part D redesign, drug price inflation rebates, international mechanisms, generic drug promotion and anticompetitive behavior,
manufacturer reporting, and reforms that could impact therapies utilizing the accelerated approval pathway. We cannot predict
the ultimate content, timing or effect of any changes to the ACA, the Inflation Reduction Act, or other federal and state healthcare
policy reform efforts including those aimed at drug pricing. There is no assurance that federal or state health care reform will
not adversely affect our future business and financial results, and we cannot predict how future federal or state legislative,
judicial or administrative changes relating to healthcare policy will affect our business.
At
the state level, legislatures are increasingly passing legislation and implementing regulations designed to control pharmaceutical
and biological product pricing, including price and patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product
access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other
countries and bulk purchasing. Other examples of proposed and recent changes include, but are not limited to, expanding post-approval
requirements, changing the Orphan Drug Act, restricting sales and promotional activities for pharmaceutical products, enacting
drug price transparency laws, and the creation of prescription drug affordability boards with authority to review and, in some
cases, constrain, payment levels.
We
cannot be sure whether additional legislative or administrative changes will be enacted, or whether government regulations, guidance
or interpretations will be changed, or what the impact of such changes would be on the marketing approvals, sales, pricing, or
reimbursement of our drug candidates or products, if any, may be. We expect that these and other healthcare reform measures that
may be adopted in the future, may result in more rigorous coverage criteria and in additional downward pressure on the price that
we receive for any approved drug. Any reduction in reimbursement from Medicare or other government programs may result in a similar
reduction in payments from private payors. The implementation of cost containment measures or other healthcare reforms may prevent
us from being able to generate revenue, attain profitability, or commercialize our drugs.
65
In
addition, FDA regulations and guidance may be revised or reinterpreted by the FDA in ways that may significantly affect our business
and our products. Any new regulations or guidance, or revisions or reinterpretations of existing regulations or guidance, may
impose additional costs or lengthen FDA review times for our product candidates. Moreover, ongoing policy focus on accelerated
approval oversight and facilitating the introduction of generics and biosimilars could tighten post-marketing obligations
and increase competitive pressure on reference products. We cannot determine how changes in regulations, statutes, policies, or
interpretations when and if issued, enacted or adopted, may affect our business in the future. Such changes could, among other
things, require:
● additional
clinical trials to be conducted prior to obtaining approval;
● changes
to manufacturing methods;
● increased
competition;
● recalls,
replacements, or discontinuance of one or more of our products; and
● additional
recordkeeping.
Such
changes would likely require substantial time and impose significant costs, or could reduce the potential commercial value of
our product candidates. In addition, delays in receipt of or failure to receive regulatory clearances or approvals for any other
products would harm our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Even
if we obtain regulatory approval to market our product candidates, our product candidates may not be accepted by the market.
Even
if the FDA approves one or more of our product candidates, physicians and patients may not accept or use it. Even if physicians
and patients would like to use our products, our products may not gain market acceptance among healthcare payors such as managed
care formularies, insurance companies or government programs such as Medicare or Medicaid. Acceptance and use of our products
will depend upon a number of factors including: perceptions by members of the health care community, including physicians, about
the safety and effectiveness of our drug or device product; cost-effectiveness of our product relative to competing products;
availability of reimbursement for our product from government or other healthcare payors; and effectiveness of marketing and distribution
efforts by us and our licensees and distributors, if any.
The
degree of market acceptance of any pharmaceutical product that we develop will depend on a number of factors, including:
● cost-effectiveness;
● the
safety and effectiveness of our product candidates, including any significant potential
side effects as compared to alternative products or treatment methods;
● the
timing of market entry as compared to competitive products;
● the
rate of adoption of our products by doctors and nurses;
● product
labeling or product insert required by the FDA for each of our products;
● reimbursement
policies of government and third-party payors;
● effectiveness
of our sales, marketing and distribution capabilities and the effectiveness of such capabilities
of our collaborative partners, if any; and
● unfavorable
publicity concerning our products or any similar products.
Because
we expect sales of our current product candidates, if approved, to generate product revenues, the failure of these products to
find market acceptance would harm our business and could require us to seek additional financing.
Uncertainty
in Government funding and in-kind support policies and programs may adversely affect our business.
Changes
in federal funding policies, including the ongoing review of DoD contracts and NIH grants and in-kind support by the current administration,
could impact our financial resources and the progress of research conducted with U.S.-based university collaborators. While we
have secured certain DoD and NIH funding and NIH in-kind support through Project NextGen, there is no guarantee that such funding
or in-kind support will not be rescinded or otherwise restricted, particularly as the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development
Authority (“BARDA”) has begun withdrawing or terminating some Project NextGen-related awards. Additionally, DoD,
NIH and BARDA funding for any of our future projects may be delayed, reduced, or denied altogether. Any such changes could adversely
affect our research programs, financial condition, and operational plans. Further, certain research projects conducted in collaboration
with U.S.-based university collaborators could be slowed or discontinued.
66
RISKS
RELATED TO PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT, REGULATORY APPROVAL, MANUFACTURING AND COMMERCIALIZATION
Our
product candidates are novel and still in development.
Our
drug development activities may not lead to commercially viable drugs for any of several reasons. For example, we may fail to
identify appropriate targets or compounds, our drug candidates may fail to be safe and effective in clinical studies, or we may
have inadequate financial or other resources to pursue development efforts for our drug candidates. Our drug candidates will require
significant additional development, clinical studies, regulatory clearances and additional investment by us or our collaborators
before they can be commercialized.
Further,
we and our product candidates are subject to extensive regulation by the FDA and comparable regulatory authorities in other countries
governing, among other things, research, testing, clinical studies, manufacturing, labeling, promotion, selling, adverse event
reporting and recordkeeping. We are not permitted to market any of our product candidates in the United States until we receive
approval of an NDA for a product candidate from the FDA or the equivalent approval from a foreign regulatory authority. Obtaining
FDA approval is a lengthy, expensive and uncertain process. The success of our business depends on the successful development,
approval and commercialization of our product candidates. Any projected sales or future revenue predictions are predicated upon
FDA approval and market acceptance. If projected sales do not materialize for any reason, it would have a material adverse effect
on our business and our ability to continue operations.
To
obtain revenues from sales of our product candidates, we must succeed, either alone or with third parties, in developing, obtaining
regulatory approval for, manufacturing and marketing drugs with commercial potential. We may never succeed in these activities,
and we may not generate sufficient revenues to continue our business operations or achieve profitability.
If
preclinical and nonclinical testing or clinical studies for our product candidates are unsuccessful or delayed, we will be unable
to meet our anticipated development and commercialization timelines.
We
rely and expect to continue to rely on third parties, including contract research organizations, or CROs, and outside consultants,
to conduct, supervise or monitor some or all aspects of preclinical and nonclinical testing and clinical studies involving our
product candidates. We have less control over the timing and other aspects of these preclinical and nonclinical testing activities
and clinical studies than if we performed the monitoring and supervision entirely on our own. Third parties may not perform their
responsibilities for our preclinical and nonclinical testing and clinical studies on our anticipated schedule or, for clinical
studies, consistent with a clinical study protocol. Delays in preclinical and nonclinical testing, and clinical studies could
significantly increase our product development costs and delay product commercialization. In addition, many of the factors that
may cause, or lead to, a delay in the clinical studies may also ultimately lead to denial of regulatory approval of a product
candidate.
The
commencement of clinical studies can be delayed for a variety of reasons, including delays in:
● demonstrating
sufficient safety and efficacy to obtain regulatory approval to commence a clinical study;
● reaching
agreement on acceptable terms with prospective CROs and study sites;
● developing
a stable formulation of a product candidate;
● manufacturing
sufficient quantities of a product candidate; and
● obtaining
institutional review board, or IRB, approval to conduct a clinical study at a prospective
site.
Once
a clinical study has begun, it may be delayed, suspended or terminated by us or the FDA or other regulatory authorities due to
a number of factors, including:
● ongoing
discussions with the FDA or other regulatory authorities regarding the scope or design
of our clinical studies;
● failure
to conduct clinical studies in accordance with regulatory requirements;
● lower
than anticipated recruitment or retention rate of patients in clinical studies;
● inspection
of the clinical study operations or study sites by the FDA or other regulatory authorities
resulting in the imposition of a clinical hold;
● lack
of adequate funding to continue clinical studies;
● negative
results of clinical studies;
● investigational
drug product out-of-specification; or
● nonclinical
or clinical safety observations, including adverse events and SAEs.
67
If
clinical studies are unsuccessful, and we are not able to obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates under development,
we will not be able to commercialize these products, and therefore may not be able to generate sufficient revenues to support
our business.
We
are subject to extensive and costly government regulation.
Product
candidates employing our technology are subject to extensive and rigorous domestic government regulation including regulation
by the FDA, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, other divisions of the United States Department of Health and Human
Services, the United States Department of Justice, state and local governments, and their respective foreign equivalents. The
FDA regulates the research, development, preclinical and nonclinical testing and clinical studies, manufacture, safety, effectiveness,
record-keeping, reporting, labeling, storage, approval, advertising, promotion, sale, distribution, import, and export of biopharmaceutical
products. The FDA regulates small molecule chemical entities as drugs, subject to an NDA under the FDCA. The FDA applies the same
standards for biologics, requiring an IND application, followed by a Biologic License Application, or BLA, prior to licensure.
Other products, such as vaccines, are also regulated under the Public Health Service Act. FDA has conflated the standards for
approval of NDAs and BLAs so that they require the same types of information on safety, effectiveness, and CMCs. If products employing
our technologies are marketed abroad, they will also be subject to extensive regulation by foreign governments, whether or not
they have obtained FDA approval for a given product and its uses. Such foreign regulation may be equally or more demanding than
corresponding United States regulation.
Government
regulation substantially increases the cost and risk of researching, developing, manufacturing, and selling our products. The
regulatory review and approval process, which includes preclinical and nonclinical testing and clinical studies of each product
candidate, is lengthy, expensive, and uncertain. We or our collaborators must obtain and maintain regulatory authorization to
conduct clinical studies. We or our collaborators must obtain regulatory approval for each product we intend to market, and the
manufacturing facilities used for the products must be inspected and meet legal requirements. Securing regulatory approval requires
the submission of extensive preclinical, nonclinical and clinical data and other supporting information for each proposed therapeutic
indication in order to establish the product’s safety and efficacy, and in the case of biologics also potency and purity,
for each intended use. The development and approval process takes many years, requires substantial resources, and may never lead
to the approval of a product.
Even
if we are able to obtain regulatory approval for a particular product, the approval may limit the indicated medical uses for the
product, may otherwise limit our ability to promote, sell, and distribute the product, may require that we conduct costly post-marketing
surveillance, and/or may require that we conduct ongoing post-marketing studies. Material changes to an approved product, such
as, for example, manufacturing changes or revised labeling, may require further regulatory review and approval. Once obtained,
any approvals may be withdrawn, including, for example, if there is a later discovery of previously unknown problems with the
product, such as a previously unknown safety issue.
If
we, our collaborators or our CMOs fail to comply with applicable regulatory requirements at any stage during the regulatory process,
such noncompliance could result in, among other things, delays in the approval of applications or supplements to approved applications;
refusal of a regulatory authority, including the FDA, to review pending market approval applications or supplements to approved
applications; warning letters; fines; import and/or export restrictions; product recalls or seizures; injunctions; total or partial
suspension of production; civil penalties; withdrawals of previously approved marketing applications or licenses; recommendations
by the FDA or other regulatory authorities against governmental contracts; and/or criminal prosecutions.
Our
product candidates may cause serious adverse events, or SAEs, or undesirable side effects which may delay or prevent marketing
authorization, or, if approval is received, require them to be taken off the market, require them to include safety warnings or
otherwise limit their sales.
SAEs
or undesirable side effects from any of our other product candidates could arise either during clinical development or, if approved,
after the approved product has been marketed. The results of future clinical studies may show that our product candidates cause
SAEs or undesirable side effects, which could interrupt, delay or halt clinical studies, resulting in delay of, or failure to
obtain, marketing authorization from the FDA and other regulatory authorities.
If
any of our product candidates cause SAEs or undesirable side effects or suffer from quality control issues:
● regulatory
authorities may impose a clinical hold or risk evaluation and mitigation strategies,
or REMS, which could result in substantial delays, significantly increase the cost of
development, and/or adversely impact our ability to continue development of the product;
68
● regulatory
authorities may require the addition of statements, specific warnings, or contraindications
to the product label, or restrict the product’s indication to a smaller potential
treatment population;
● we
may be required to change the way the product is administered or conduct additional clinical
studies;
● we
may be required to implement a risk minimization action plan, which could result in substantial
cost increases and have a negative impact on our ability to commercialize the product;
● we
may be required to limit the participants who can receive the product;
● we
may be subject to limitations on how we promote the product;
● we
may, voluntarily or involuntarily, initiate field alerts for product recall, which may
result in shortages;
● sales
of the product may decrease significantly;
● regulatory
authorities may require us to take our approved product off the market;
● we
may be subject to litigation or product liability claims; and
● our
reputation may suffer.
Any
of these events could prevent us from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the affected product or could substantially
increase commercialization costs and expenses, which in turn could delay or prevent us from generating significant revenues from
the sale of our products.
Any
breakthrough, fast track or orphan drug designation or grant of priority review status by the FDA may not actually lead to a faster
development or regulatory review or approval process, nor will it assure FDA approval of our product candidates. Additionally,
our product candidates may treat indications that do not qualify for priority review vouchers.
If
a product candidate offers major advances in treatment, the FDA may designate it eligible for priority review. The FDA has broad
discretion whether or not to grant these designations, so even if we believe a particular product candidate is eligible for these
designations, we cannot assure you that the FDA would decide to grant them. Even if we do receive fast track designation or priority
review, we may not experience a faster development process, review or approval compared to conventional FDA procedures. The FDA
may withdraw fast track designation if it believes that the designation is no longer supported by data from our clinical development
program.
Even
if approved, our product candidates will be subject to extensive post-approval regulation.
Once
a product is approved, numerous post-approval requirements apply. Among other things, the holder of an approved NDA is subject
to periodic and other FDA monitoring and reporting obligations, including obligations to monitor and report adverse events and
instances of the failure of a product to meet the specifications in the NDA. Application holders must submit new or supplemental
applications and obtain FDA approval for certain changes to the approved product, product labeling, or manufacturing process.
Application holders must also submit advertising and other promotional material to the FDA and report on ongoing clinical studies.
Depending
on the circumstances, failure to meet these post-approval requirements can result in criminal prosecution, fines, injunctions,
recall or seizure of products, total or partial suspension of production, denial or withdrawal of pre-marketing product approvals,
or refusal to allow us to enter into supply contracts, including government contracts. In addition, even if we comply with FDA
and other requirements, new information regarding the safety or effectiveness of a product could lead the FDA to modify or withdraw
product approval.
Our
relationships with customers, physicians and third-party payors is subject to federal and state healthcare fraud and abuse laws,
false claims laws, health information privacy and security laws, and other healthcare laws and regulations. If we are unable to
comply, or have not fully complied, with such laws, we could face substantial penalties.
Healthcare
providers, physicians and third-party payors in the United States and elsewhere will play a primary role in the recommendation
and prescription of our products. Our current and future arrangements with healthcare professionals, principal investigators,
consultants, customers and third-party payors subject us to various federal and state fraud and abuse laws and other health care
laws, including, without limitation, the federal Anti-Kickback Statute, the federal civil and criminal false claims laws and the
law commonly referred to as the Physician Payments Sunshine Act and regulations. These laws will impact, among other things, our
clinical research, sales, marketing and educational programs. In addition, we may be subject to patient privacy laws by both the
federal government and the states in which we conduct or may conduct our business. The laws that will affect our operations include,
but are not limited to:
● the
federal Anti-Kickback Statute, which prohibits, among other things, persons or entities
from knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying any remuneration
(including any kickback, bribe or rebate), directly or indirectly, overtly or covertly,
in cash or in kind, in return for the purchase, recommendation, leasing or furnishing
of an item or service reimbursable under a federal healthcare program, such as the Medicare
and Medicaid programs;
69
● federal
civil and criminal false claims laws, including, without limitation, the False Claims
Act, and civil monetary penalty laws which prohibit, among other things, individuals
or entities from knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, claims for payment
or approval from Medicare, Medicaid or other government payors that are false or fraudulent
or making a false statement to avoid, decrease or conceal an obligation to pay money
to the federal government;
● the
federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, or HIPAA, which
created new federal criminal statutes that prohibit a person from knowingly and willfully
executing a scheme or making false or fraudulent statements to defraud any healthcare
benefit program, regardless of the payor (e.g., public or private);
● HIPAA,
as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act,
or HITECH, and its implementing regulations, and as amended again by the final HIPAA
omnibus rule, Modifications to the HIPAA Privacy, Security, Enforcement, and Breach Notification
Rules Under HITECH and the Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act; Other Modifications
to HIPAA, published in January 2013, which imposes certain requirements relating to the
privacy, security and transmission of individually identifiable health information without
appropriate authorization by entities subject to the rule, such as health plans, health
care clearinghouses and health care providers, and their respective business associates;
additionally, several states have enacted comprehensive privacy and data protection laws
that may apply to health related and consumer data, some of which may not be protected
health information under HIPAA, and other jurisdictions, including, among others the
EU and UK, include strict rules on processing personal data, cross border data transfers,
and data subject rights, and may impose significant fines and corrective orders;
● federal
transparency laws, including the federal Physician Payments Sunshine Act, which is part
of PPACA, that require certain manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical
supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children’s
Health Insurance Program, with specific exceptions, to report annually to the Centers
for Medicare & Medicaid Services, or CMS, information related to: (i) payments or
other “transfers of value’’ made to covered recipients, including physicians,
certain non physician practitioners, and teaching hospitals; and (ii) ownership and investment
interests held by covered recipients and their immediate family members;
● state
and foreign law equivalents of each of the above federal laws, state laws that require
manufacturers to report information related to payments and other transfers of value
to physicians and other healthcare providers or marketing expenditures, and state laws
that require pharmaceutical companies to comply with the pharmaceutical industry’s
voluntary compliance guidelines and the relevant compliance guidance promulgated by the
federal government or to adopt compliance programs as prescribed by state laws and regulations,
or that otherwise restrict payments that may be made to healthcare providers; and
● state
and foreign laws that govern the privacy and security of health information in some circumstances,
many of which differ from each other in significant ways and often are not preempted
by HIPAA, thus complicating compliance efforts.
Because
of the breadth of these laws and the narrowness of the statutory exceptions and safe harbors available, it is possible that some
of our business activities could be subject to challenge under one or more of such laws.
It
is possible that government authorities will conclude that our business practices may not comply with current or future statutes,
regulations or case law involving applicable fraud and abuse or other healthcare laws and regulations. If our operations are found
to be in violation of any of these laws or any other governmental regulations that may apply to us, we may be subject to significant
civil, criminal and administrative penalties, damages, fines, disgorgement, imprisonment, exclusion of drugs from government funded
healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, additional reporting requirements and oversight if we become subject to a
corporate integrity agreement or similar agreement to resolve allegations of non-compliance with these laws and the curtailment
or restructuring of our operations.
The
risk of our being found in violation of these laws is increased by the fact that many of them have not been fully interpreted
by the regulatory authorities or the courts, their provisions are open to a variety of interpretations, and they are subject to
frequent policy changes. In addition, time-sensitive reporting and complex data aggregation requirements, and the need for
ongoing training and monitoring create a shifting compliance environment. Efforts to ensure that our business complies with applicable
healthcare laws and regulations involves substantial costs. Any action against us for violation of these laws, even if we successfully
defend against it, could cause us to incur significant legal expenses and divert our management’s attention from the operation
of our business. The shifting compliance environment and the need to build and maintain robust and expandable systems to comply
with multiple jurisdictions with different compliance and/or reporting requirements increases the possibility that we may run
afoul of one or more of the requirements.
70
If
we obtain approval to commercialize any approved products outside of the United States, a variety of risks associated with international
operations could materially adversely affect our business.
If
TONMYA or any of our product candidates is approved for commercialization outside of the United States, we intend to enter into
agreements with third parties to market them on a worldwide basis or in more limited geographical regions. We expect that we will
be subject to additional risks related to entering into international business relationships, including:
● different
regulatory requirements for drug approvals;
● reduced
protection for intellectual property rights, including trade secret and patent rights;
● unexpected
changes in tariffs, trade barriers and regulatory requirements;
● economic
weakness, including inflation, or political instability in particular foreign economies
and markets;
● compliance
with tax, employment, immigration and labor laws for employees living or traveling abroad;
● foreign
taxes, including withholding of payroll taxes;
● foreign
currency fluctuations, which could result in increased operating expenses and reduced
revenues, and other obligations incident to doing business in another country;
● workforce
uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the United States;
● production
shortages resulting from any events affecting raw material supply or manufacturing capabilities
abroad;
● business
interruptions resulting from geopolitical actions, including war and terrorism, or natural
disasters including earthquakes, hurricanes, floods and fires; and
● difficulty
in importing and exporting clinical study materials and study samples.
Governments
outside the United States tend to impose strict price controls, which may adversely affect our revenues, if any.
If
any our products are approved in foreign jurisdictions, we will be subject to pricing and reimbursement policies in those jurisdictions.
In some countries, including countries in the EU, the pricing of prescription pharmaceuticals is subject to governmental control.
In these countries, pricing negotiations with governmental authorities can take considerable time after the receipt of marketing
approval for a drug. To obtain reimbursement or pricing approval in some countries, governmental authorities adopt a number of
different methodologies for assessing drug costs and reimbursement levels. These include comparisons with currently available
medicines for the same indication and/or cost effectiveness assessments as the basis for negotiation. If reimbursement of our
drugs is unavailable or limited in scope or amount, or if pricing is set at unsatisfactory levels, our business could be materially
harmed.
If
the FDA approves generic products that compete with TONMYA, sales of TONMYA would be adversely affected.
Once
an NDA or marketing authorization application outside the United States is approved, the product covered thereby becomes a “listed
drug” that can, in turn, be cited by potential competitors in support of approval of an abbreviated new drug application
in the United States or equivalent marketing authorization application outside the United States. Agency regulations and other
applicable regulations and policies provide incentives to manufacturers to create modified, non-infringing versions of a drug
to facilitate the approval of an abbreviated new drug application or other application for generic substitutes in the United States
and in nearly every pharmaceutical market around the world. These manufacturers might only be required to conduct a relatively
inexpensive study to show that their product has the same active ingredient(s), dosage form, strength, route of administration
and conditions of use, or labeling, as our product and that the generic product is bioequivalent to our product, meaning it is
absorbed in the body at the same rate and to the same extent as our product. These generic equivalents, which must meet the same
quality standards as branded pharmaceuticals, would be significantly less costly than our product to bring to market, and companies
that produce generic equivalents are generally able to offer their products at lower prices. Thus, after the introduction of a
generic competitor, a significant percentage of the sales of any branded product are typically lost to the generic product. Accordingly,
competition from generic equivalents to TONMYA would materially adversely affect our future revenue, profitability and cash flows
and substantially limit our ability to obtain a return on the investments we have made.
The
biopharmaceutical industry is subject to extensive regulatory obligations and policies that may be subject to change, including
due to judicial challenges.
The
U. S. biopharmaceutical industry is highly regulated and subject to frequent and substantial changes, including as a result of
new judicial or government actions. Legislative and regulatory agendas as they relate to the biopharmaceutical industry are currently
uncertain. Changes in the regulatory approval process, or substantial reductions in the personnel who oversee that process, could
affect our ability to obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates or the timeline in which we can obtain that approval.
We and our current and future third-party collaborators rely on government programs and agencies, such as DTRA and the NIH, as
a source of grant funding for scientific research relevant to our product candidates. Funding from government agencies such as
DTRA and the NIH can fluctuate and is subject to the political process, which is often unpredictable, and the NIH and other research-funding
agencies are revising how they make grant decisions, which may result in fewer grants. Reductions in government grants to us or
our third-party collaborators may adversely impact our ability to develop our existing product candidates and our ability to identify
new product candidates. In addition, on June 28, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court issued an opinion holding that courts reviewing
agency action pursuant to the Administrative Procedure Act (“APA”) “must exercise their independent judgment”
and “may not defer to an agency interpretation of the law simply because a statute is ambiguous.” The decision could
have a significant impact on how lower courts evaluate challenges to agency interpretations of law, including those by the FDA
and other agencies with significant oversight and impact of the biopharmaceutical industry, and introduces additional uncertainty
into the regulatory landscape for biopharmaceutical products. The new framework may increase both the frequency of such challenges
and their odds of success by eliminating one way in which the government previously prevailed in such cases. As a result, significant
regulatory policies could be subject to increased litigation and judicial scrutiny. We cannot predict how other future federal
or state legislative or administrative changes relating to healthcare reform or the biopharmaceutical industry, or the regulatory
agencies that oversee the biopharmaceutical industry, will affect our business.
71
Reductions
in staffing and funding at FDA and other federal agencies could cause delays in the development and approval of our products.
Under
the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, our products cannot be investigated in humans or marketed without approval from FDA.
In addition, companies developing new therapies routinely seek and receive guidance from FDA regarding their methods and plans
for developing their products. We and companies like us may also benefit from FDA-administered programs like orphan drug designation
and expedited development pathways, e.g., breakthrough designation. Any material reductions in the ability of FDA to perform these
and other functions may delay the development and approval of our product candidates.
Recent
actions by the United States federal government have caused concern in the industry that this may occur. For example, beginning
in February 2025, the Department of Health and Human Services initiated the termination of a large number of its probationary
employees, a category that includes new federal employees and employees recently promoted or transferred to new positions or agencies.
Larger layoffs may follow, according to a memorandum issued by the Office of Personnel Management in February 2025, and subsequent
actions have, in fact, led to material workforce reductions at FDA. These terminations may significantly delay and impede our
interactions with FDA, resulting in fewer or delayed meetings, slower feedback on development plans, less guidance issuance, greater
variability in review times and possible delays in inspections or facility clearances. There are also reports that the United
States federal government intends to request Congress to reduce FDA funding in upcoming budgets. Such funding cuts may also delay
the development and approval of our products. Any significant decrease in FDA appropriations, or material reallocation of its
budget or personnel, could impair the FDA’s ability to carry out its existing responsibilities and further slow the development,
review, and potential approval of our product candidates. We cannot predict the scope, timing, outcome, or combined effect of
these or any future federal actions affecting the FDA, but any significant adverse impact on the agency’s operations could
materially and adversely affect our business and development timelines.
We may never receive
regulatory approval to market our current or future product candidates outside of the U.S.
We
plan to seek regulatory approval of our current or future product candidates outside of the U.S. In order to market any product outside
of the U.S., however, we must establish and comply with the numerous and varying safety, efficacy and other regulatory requirements of
other countries. Approval procedures vary among countries and can involve additional product candidate testing and additional administrative
review periods. The time required to obtain approvals in other countries might differ substantially from that required to obtain FDA approval.
The marketing approval processes in other countries generally implicate all of the risks detailed above regarding FDA approval in the
U.S. as well as other risks. In particular, in many countries outside of the U.S., products must receive pricing and reimbursement approval
before the product can be commercialized. Obtaining this approval can result in substantial delays in bringing products to market in such
countries. Marketing approval in one country does not ensure marketing approval in another, but a failure or delay in obtaining marketing
approval in one country may have a negative effect on the regulatory process in others. Failure to obtain marketing approval in other
countries or any delay or other setback in obtaining such approval would impair our ability to market our current or future product candidates
in such foreign markets. Any such impairment would reduce the size of our potential market, which could have a material adverse impact
on our business, results of operations and prospects.
Our future growth
may depend, in part, on our ability to penetrate foreign markets, where we would be subject to additional regulatory burdens and other
risks and uncertainties that could materially adversely affect our business.
We are not permitted
to market or promote any of our current or future product candidates before we receive regulatory approval from the applicable regulatory
authority in that foreign market, and we may never receive such regulatory approval for any of our current or future product candidates.
To obtain separate regulatory approval in many other countries we must comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements of such
countries regarding safety and efficacy and governing, among other things, clinical trials and commercial sales, pricing and distribution
of our current or future product candidates, and we cannot predict success in these jurisdictions. If we obtain approval of our current
or future product candidates and ultimately commercialize our current or future product candidates in foreign markets, we would be subject
to additional risks and uncertainties, including:
•
differing regulatory requirements in foreign countries, such that obtaining regulatory approvals outside of the U.S. may take longer and be more costly than obtaining approval in the U.S.;
•
our customers’ ability to obtain reimbursement for our current or future product candidates in foreign markets;
•
the burden of complying with complex and changing foreign regulatory, tax, accounting and legal requirements;
•
different medical practices and customs in foreign countries affecting acceptance in the marketplace;
•
import or export licensing requirements;
•
longer accounts receivable collection times;
•
longer lead times for shipping;
•
language barriers for technical training;
•
reduced protection of intellectual property rights in some foreign countries;
•
the existence of additional potentially relevant third-party intellectual property rights;
•
economic weakness, including inflation, or political instability in particular foreign economies and markets;
•
compliance with tax, employment, immigration and labor laws for employees living or traveling abroad;
•
foreign taxes, including withholding of payroll taxes;
•
foreign currency fluctuations, which could result in increased operating expenses and reduced revenue, and other obligations incident to doing business in another country;
•
difficulties staffing and managing foreign operations;
•
workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the U.S.;
•
potential liability under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 or comparable foreign regulations;
•
the interpretation of contractual provisions governed by foreign laws in the event of a contract dispute;
•
production shortages resulting from any events affecting raw material supply or manufacturing capabilities abroad; and
•
business interruptions resulting from geo-political actions, including war and terrorism.
Foreign sales of our
current or future product candidates could also be adversely affected by the imposition of governmental controls, political and economic
instability, trade restrictions and changes in tariffs (including tariffs that have been or may in the future be imposed by the United
States or other countries).
There
may not be market interest in TNX-801.
The
government is the only market for most medical countermeasures. This is because unlike other drugs and vaccines, these products
are not sold to doctors, hospitals, or pharmacies. The BioShield Special Reserve Fund, or SRF, has been the sole medical countermeasures
market for the last decade. The SRF is now appropriated annually and has not kept pace with the need for purchasing products ready
for stockpiling. As such, even if TNX-801 were to receive FDA licensure, the
commercial success of TNX-801 remains uncertain.
72
If
technology developed for the purposes of developing new medicines or vaccines can be applied to the creation or development of
biological weapons, then our technology may be considered “dual use” technology and be subject to limitations on public
disclosure or export.
Our
research and development of synthetic poxviruses is dedicated not only to creating tools that better protect public health but
also to safeguarding any information with broad, dual-use potential that could be inappropriately applied. “Dual use research”
is research conducted for legitimate purposes that generates knowledge, information, technologies, and/or products that can be
reasonably anticipated to provide knowledge, information, products, or technologies that could be directly misapplied to pose
a significant threat to public health, agricultural crops, or national security. Because variola, the agent that causes smallpox,
is a pox virus, the technology we created could be considered dual use and could be subject to export control, for example under
the Wassenaar Arrangement. Further, if federal authorities determine that our research is subject to institutional oversight,
we will need to implement a risk-management plan developed in collaboration with the institutional review entity. Failure to comply
with the plan may result in suspension, limitation, or termination of federal funding or loss of future federal funding opportunities
for any of our research.
Competition
and technological change may make our product candidates and technologies less attractive or obsolete.
We
compete with established pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies that are pursuing other forms of treatment for the same or
similar indications we are pursuing and that have greater financial and other resources. Other companies may succeed in developing
products earlier than us, obtaining FDA approval for products more rapidly, or developing products that are more effective than
our product candidates. Research and development by others may render our technology or product candidates obsolete or noncompetitive,
or result in treatments or cures superior to any therapy we develop. We face competition from companies that internally develop
competing technology or acquire competing technology from universities and other research institutions. As these companies develop
their technologies, they may develop competitive positions that may prevent, make futile, or limit our product commercialization
efforts, which would result in a decrease in the revenue we would be able to derive from the sale of any products.
There
can be no assurance that any of our product candidates will be accepted by the marketplace as readily as these or other competing
treatments. Furthermore, if our competitors’ products are approved before ours, it could be more difficult for us to obtain
approval from the FDA. Even if our products are successfully developed and approved for use by all governing regulatory bodies,
there can be no assurance that physicians and patients will accept our product(s) as a treatment of choice.
Additionally,
if a competitor receives FDA approval before we do for a drug that is similar to one of our product candidates, FDA approval for
our product candidate may be precluded or delayed due to periods of non-patent exclusivity and/or the listing with the FDA by
the competitor of patents covering its newly-approved drug product. Periods of non-patent exclusivity for new versions of existing
drugs such as TONMYA, can extend up to three and one-half years.
Furthermore,
the pharmaceutical research industry is diverse, complex, and rapidly changing. By its nature, the business risks associated therewith
are numerous and significant. The effects of competition, intellectual property disputes, market acceptance, and FDA regulations
preclude us from forecasting revenues or income with certainty or even confidence.
RISKS
RELATED TO OUR INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS AND REGULATORY EXCLUSIVITY
If
we fail to protect our intellectual property rights, our ability to pursue the development of our technologies and products would
be negatively affected.
Our
success will depend in part on our ability to obtain patents and maintain adequate protection of our technologies and products.
If we do not adequately protect our intellectual property, competitors may be able to use our technologies to produce and market
drugs using our technologies and patents in direct competition with us and erode our competitive advantage. Some foreign countries
lack rules and methods for defending intellectual property rights and do not protect proprietary rights to the same extent as
the United States. Many companies have had difficulty protecting their proprietary rights in these foreign countries. We may not
be able to prevent misappropriation of our proprietary rights and intellectual property rights in these and other countries.
We
have received, and are currently seeking, patent protection for numerous compounds and methods of treating diseases. However,
the patent process is subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, and there can be no assurance that we will be successful in
protecting our products by obtaining and defending patents related to them. These risks and uncertainties include the following:
patents that may be issued or licensed may be challenged, invalidated, or circumvented, or otherwise may not provide us any competitive
advantage; our competitors, many of which have substantially greater resources than we and many of which have made significant
investments in competing technologies, may seek, or may already have obtained, patents that will limit, interfere with, or eliminate
our ability to make, use, and sell our potential products either in the United States or in international markets; there may be
significant pressure on the United States government and other international governmental bodies to limit the scope of patent
protection both inside and outside the United States for treatments that prove successful as a matter of public policy regarding
worldwide health concerns; and countries other than the United States may have less robust patent laws than those upheld by United
States courts, allowing foreign competitors the ability to exploit these laws to create, develop, and market competing products
using our technologies and patents.
73
Moreover,
any patent issued to us may not provide us with meaningful protection, or others may challenge, circumvent or narrow our patents.
Third parties may also independently develop products similar to our products, duplicate our unpatented products or design around
any patents or propriety technologies on products we develop. Additionally, extensive time is required for development, testing
and regulatory review of a potential product. While extensions of patent terms due to regulatory delays may be available, it is
possible that, before any of our product candidates can be commercialized, any related patent, even with an extension, may expire
or remain in force for only a short period following commercialization, thereby reducing any advantages to us of the patent.
In
addition, the PTO and patent offices in other jurisdictions have often required that patent applications concerning pharmaceutical
and/or biotechnology-related inventions be limited or narrowed substantially to cover only the innovations specifically exemplified
in the patent application, thereby limiting the scope of protection against competitive challenges. Thus, even if we or our licensors
are able to obtain patents, the patents may be substantially narrower than anticipated.
Our
success depends on our patents and patent applications that may be licensed exclusively to us and other patents and patent applications
to which we may obtain assignment or licenses. We may not be aware, however, of all patents, published applications or published
literature that may affect our business either by blocking our ability to commercialize our product candidates, by preventing
the patentability of our product candidates to us or our licensors, or by covering the same or similar technologies. These patents,
patent applications, and published literature may limit the scope of our future patent claims or adversely affect our ability
to market our product candidates.
In
addition to patents, we rely on a combination of trade secrets, confidentiality, nondisclosure and other contractual provisions,
and security measures to protect our confidential and proprietary information. These measures may not adequately protect our trade
secrets or other proprietary information. If they do not adequately protect our rights, third parties could use our technology,
and we could lose any competitive advantage we may have. In addition, others may independently develop similar proprietary information
or techniques or otherwise gain access to our trade secrets, which could impair any competitive advantage we may have.
Patent
protection and other intellectual property protection is crucial to the success of our business and prospects, and there is a
substantial risk that such protections will prove inadequate.
We are dependent on license relationships
with third parties for certain of our drug development programs.
Companies
that license technologies to us that we use in our research and development programs may require us to achieve milestones or devote minimum
amounts of resources to develop products using those technologies. They may also require us to make significant royalty and milestone
payments, including a percentage of any sublicensing income, as well as payments to reimburse them for patent costs. The number and variety
of our research and development programs require us to establish priorities and to allocate available resources among competing programs.
From time to time, we may choose to slow down or cease our efforts on particular products. If in doing so we fail to fully perform our
obligations under a license, the licensor can terminate the license or permit our competitors to use the technology. Termination of these
licenses or reduction or elimination of our licensed rights may result in our having to negotiate new or reinstated licenses with less
favorable terms. Moreover, we may lose our right to market and sell any products based on the licensed technology. The occurrence of
such events could materially harm our business.
We
may be involved in lawsuits to protect or enforce our patents, which could be expensive and time consuming.
The
pharmaceutical industry has been characterized by extensive litigation regarding patents and other intellectual property rights,
and companies have employed intellectual property litigation to gain a competitive advantage. We may become subject to infringement
claims or litigation arising out of present and future patents and other proceedings of our competitors. The defense and prosecution
of intellectual property suits are costly and time-consuming to pursue, and their outcome is uncertain. Litigation may be necessary
to determine the enforceability, scope, and validity of the proprietary rights of others. An adverse determination in litigation
to which we may become a party could subject us to significant liabilities, require us to obtain licenses from third parties,
or restrict or prevent us from selling our products in certain markets. Although patent and intellectual property disputes might
be settled through licensing or similar arrangements, the costs associated with such arrangements may be substantial and could
include our paying large, fixed payments and ongoing royalties. Furthermore, the necessary licenses may not be available on satisfactory
terms or at all.
Competitors
may infringe our patents, and we may file infringement claims to counter infringement or unauthorized use. Third parties may assert
that our patents are invalid and/or unenforceable in these proceedings. Such litigation can be expensive, particularly for a company
of our size, and time-consuming. In addition, in an infringement proceeding, a court may decide that a patent of ours is not valid
or is unenforceable, or may refuse to stop the other party from using the technology at issue on the grounds that our patents
do not cover its technology. An adverse determination of any litigation or defense proceedings could put one or more of our patents
at risk of being invalidated or interpreted narrowly.
Third
parties may also assert that our patents are invalid in patent office administrative proceedings. These proceedings include oppositions
in the European Patent Office and inter partes review and post-grant review proceedings in the PTO. The success rate of
these administrative challenges to patent validity in the United States is higher than it is for validity challenges in litigation.
Interference
or derivation proceedings brought before the PTO may be necessary to determine priority of invention with respect to innovations
disclosed in our patents or patent applications. During these proceedings, it may be determined that we do not have priority of
invention for one or more aspects in our patents or patent applications and could result in the invalidation in part or whole
of a patent or could put a patent application at risk of not issuing. Even if successful, an interference or derivation proceeding
may result in substantial costs and distraction to our management.
74
Furthermore,
because of the substantial amount of discovery required in connection with intellectual property litigation or interference or
derivation proceedings, there is a risk that some of our confidential information could be compromised by disclosure. In addition,
there could be public announcements of the results of hearings, motions or other interim proceedings or developments. If investors
perceive these results to be negative, the price of our common stock could be adversely affected.
Except
for the oppositions to European Patents 2,968,992 and 2,683,245 (the Opposition Division in each of those oppositions maintained
our claims in unamended form; Opponent did not appeal those decisions) and the opposition to European Patent 2,501,234 (the Opposition
Division upheld the patent in unamended form; on appeal the Technical Board reversed and held the patent invalid, no appeal may
be had from that decision), there are no unresolved communications, allegations, complaints or threats of litigation related to
the possibility that our patents are invalid or unenforceable. Any litigation or claims against us, whether or not merited, may
result in substantial costs, place a significant strain on our financial resources, divert the attention of management and harm
our reputation. An adverse decision in litigation or administrative proceedings could result in inadequate protection for our
product candidates and/or reduce the value of any license agreements we have with third parties.
If
we infringe the rights of third parties we could be prevented from selling products, forced to pay damages, and defend against
litigation.
If
our products, methods, processes and other technologies infringe the proprietary rights of other parties, we could incur substantial
costs and we may have to: obtain licenses, which may not be available on commercially reasonable terms, if at all; abandon an
infringing product candidate; redesign our products or processes to avoid infringement; stop using the subject matter claimed
in the patents held by others; pay damages; and/or defend litigation or administrative proceedings which may be costly whether
we win or lose, and which could result in a substantial diversion of our financial and management resources.
There
are risks to our intellectual property based on our international business initiatives.
We
may face risks to our technology and intellectual property as a result of our conducting strategic business discussions outside
of the United States, and particularly in jurisdictions that do not have comparable levels of protection of corporate proprietary
information and assets such as intellectual property, trademarks, trade secrets, know-how and customer information and records.
While these risks are common to many companies, conducting business in certain foreign jurisdictions, housing technology, data
and intellectual property abroad, or licensing technology to joint ventures with foreign partners may have more significant exposure.
For example, we have shared intellectual properties with entities in China pursuant to confidentiality agreements in connection
with discussions on potential strategic collaborations, which may expose us to material risks of theft of our proprietary information
and other intellectual property, including technical data, manufacturing processes, data sets or other sensitive information.
For example, our technology may be reverse engineered by the parties or other parties, which could result in our patents being
infringed or our know-how or trade secrets stolen. The risk can be by direct intrusion wherein technology and intellectual property
is stolen or compromised through cyber intrusions or physical theft through corporate espionage, including with the assistance
of insiders, or via more indirect routes.
We may be unable to protect the confidentiality
of our trade secrets, thus harming our business and competitive position.
We rely upon trade secrets,
including unpatented know-how, technology and other proprietary information, to develop and maintain our competitive position, which we
seek to protect, in part, by confidentiality agreements with our employees and our collaborators and consultants. We also have agreements
with our employees that obligate them to assign their inventions to us. However, it is possible that technology relevant to our business
will be independently developed by a person that is not a party to such an agreement. Furthermore, if the employees, consultants or collaborators
that are parties to these agreements breach or violate the terms of these agreements, we may not have adequate remedies for any such breach
or violation, and we could lose our trade secrets through such breaches or violations. Further, our trade secrets could be disclosed,
misappropriated or otherwise become known or be independently discovered by our competitors. In addition, intellectual property laws in
foreign countries may not protect our intellectual property to the same extent as the laws of the United States. If our trade secrets
are disclosed or misappropriated, it would harm our ability to protect our rights and have a material adverse effect on our business.
Third parties may assert
that our employees or consultants have wrongfully used or disclosed confidential information or misappropriated trade secrets.
We employ individuals who
were previously employed at universities or other diagnostic or biopharmaceutical companies, including our competitors or potential competitors.
Although we try to ensure that our employees and consultants do not use the proprietary information or know-how of others in their work
for us, we may be subject to claims that we or our employees, consultants or independent contractors have inadvertently or otherwise used
or disclosed intellectual property, including trade secrets or other proprietary information, of a former employer or other third parties.
Litigation may be necessary to defend against these claims. If we fail in defending any such claims, in addition to paying monetary damages,
we may lose valuable intellectual property rights or personnel. Even if we are successful in defending against such claims, litigation
could result in substantial costs and be a distraction to management and other employees.
We may need to license
intellectual property from third parties, and such licenses may not be available or may not be available on commercially reasonable terms.
A third party may hold intellectual
property, including patent rights, that are important or necessary to the development of our drug candidates. It may be necessary for
us to use the patented or proprietary technology of a third party to commercialize our own technology or drug candidates, in which case
we would be required to obtain a license from such third party. A license to such intellectual property may not be available or may not
be available on commercially reasonable terms, which could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
GENERAL
COMPANY-RELATED RISKS
We
rely on third parties to conduct, supervise and monitor our clinical studies, and if those third parties perform in an unsatisfactory
manner, it may harm our business.
We
rely on CROs and clinical study sites to ensure the proper and timely conduct of our clinical studies. While we have agreements
governing their activities, we will have limited influence over their actual performance. We will control only certain aspects
of our CROs’ activities. Nevertheless, we will be responsible for ensuring that our clinical studies are conducted in accordance
with the applicable protocol, legal, regulatory and scientific standards and our reliance on the CROs does not relieve us of our
regulatory responsibilities.
We
and our CROs are required to comply with the FDA’s cGCP for conducting, recording and reporting the results of clinical
studies to assure that data and reported results are credible and accurate and that the rights, integrity and confidentiality
of clinical study participants are protected. The FDA enforces these cGCPs through periodic inspections of study sponsors, principal
investigators and clinical study sites. If we or our CROs fail to comply with applicable cGCPs, the clinical data generated in
our clinical studies may be deemed unreliable and the FDA may require us to perform additional clinical studies before approving
any marketing applications. Upon inspection, the FDA may determine that our clinical studies did not comply with cGCPs. Accordingly,
if our CROs fail to comply with these regulations, we may be required to repeat such clinical studies, which would delay the regulatory
approval process.
75
Our
CROs are not our employees, and we are not able to control whether or not they devote sufficient time and resources to our clinical
studies. These CROs may also have relationships with other commercial entities, including our competitors, for whom they may also
be conducting clinical studies, or other drug development activities which could harm our competitive position.
If
our CROs do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or obligations, fail to meet expected deadlines, or if the quality
or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to the failure to adhere to our clinical protocols or regulatory
requirements, or for any other reasons, our clinical studies may be extended, delayed or terminated, and we may not be able to
obtain regulatory approval for, or successfully commercialize our product candidates. As a result, our financial results and the
commercial prospects for such product candidates would be harmed, our costs could increase, and our ability to generate revenues
could be delayed.
We
also rely on other third parties to store and distribute drug products for our clinical studies. Any performance failure on the
part of our distributors could delay clinical development or marketing authorization of our product candidates or commercialization
of our products, if approved, producing additional losses and depriving us of potential product revenue.
In
addition, we currently rely on foreign CROs and CMOs, and will likely continue to rely on foreign CROs and CMOs in the future.
Foreign CMOs may be subject to U.S. legislation, including the proposed BIOSECURE Act, sanctions, trade restrictions and other
foreign regulatory requirements which could increase the cost or reduce the supply of material available to us, delay the procurement
or supply of such material or have an adverse effect on our ability to secure significant commitments from governments to purchase
our potential therapies.
We
may use our financial and human resources to pursue a particular research program or product candidate and fail to capitalize
on programs or product candidates that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood of success.
Because
we have limited financial and human resources, we are currently focusing on development of our lead product candidates. As a result,
we may forego or delay pursuit of opportunities with other product candidates or for other indications that later prove to have
greater commercial potential. Our resource allocation decisions may cause us to fail to capitalize on viable commercial products
or profitable market opportunities. Our spending on existing and future product candidates for specific indications may not yield
any commercially viable products. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular
product candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that product candidate through strategic alliance, licensing or other
royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization
rights to such product candidate, or we may allocate internal resources to a product candidate in a therapeutic area in which
it would have been more advantageous to enter into a partnering arrangement.
We
will need to expand our operations and increase the size of our company, and we may experience difficulties in managing growth.
As
we increase our commercialization efforts for TONMYA and advance our product candidates through preclinical and nonclinical testing
and clinical studies, and develop new product candidates, and buildout of our research and development and manufacturing facilities,
we will need to increase our commercial, administrative, product development, scientific, regulatory and compliance headcount
to manage these programs. In addition, to meet our obligations as a public company, we will need to increase our general and administrative
capabilities. Our management, personnel and systems currently in place may not be adequate to support this future growth. Our
need to effectively manage our operations, growth and various projects requires that we:
● successfully
attract and recruit new employees with the expertise and experience we will require;
● maintain
a marketing, distribution and sales infrastructure in addition to a post-marketing surveillance
program;
● manage
our clinical programs effectively, which we anticipate being conducted at numerous clinical
sites; and
● continue
to improve our operational, manufacturing, quality assurance, financial and management
controls, reporting systems and procedures.
If
we are unable to successfully manage this growth and increased complexity of operations, our business may be adversely affected.
Our
executive officers and other key personnel are critical to our business, and our future success depends on our ability to retain
them.
Our
success depends to a significant extent upon the continued services of Dr. Seth Lederman, our President and Chief Executive Officer
and Dr. Gregory M. Sullivan, our Chief Medical Officer. Dr. Lederman has overseen Tonix Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a wholly-owned
subsidiary, since inception and provides leadership for our growth and operations strategy as well as being an inventor on many
of our patents. Dr. Sullivan has served as our Chief Medical Officer since 2014 and directed the fibromyalgia program’s
Phase 2 AtEase study, Phase 3 RELIEF study, the Phase 3 RALLY study and the Phase 3 RESILIENT study. Loss of the services of Drs.
Lederman or Sullivan would have a material adverse effect on our growth, revenues, and prospective business. The loss of any of
our key personnel, or the inability to attract and retain qualified personnel, may significantly delay or prevent the achievement
of our research, development or business objectives and could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and
results of operations.
76
Any
employment agreement we enter into will not ensure the retention of the employee who is a party to the agreement. In addition,
we have only limited ability to prevent former employees from competing with us.
Furthermore,
our future success will also depend in part on the continued service of our key scientific and management personnel and our ability
to identify, hire, and retain additional personnel. We experience intense competition for qualified personnel and may be unable
to attract and retain the personnel necessary for the development of our business. Moreover, competition for personnel with the
scientific and technical skills that we seek is extremely high and is likely to remain high. Because of this competition, our
compensation costs may increase significantly.
If
we are unable to hire additional qualified personnel, our ability to grow our business may be harmed.
Over
time we will need to hire additional qualified personnel with expertise in sales and marketing, drug development, product registration,
clinical, preclinical and nonclinical research, quality compliance, government regulation, formulation and manufacturing and financial
matters. We compete for qualified individuals with numerous biopharmaceutical companies, universities and other research institutions.
Competition for such individuals is intense, and we cannot be certain that our search for such personnel will be successful. Attracting
and retaining qualified personnel will be critical to our success.
We
rely on third parties to manufacture our marketed products and the compounds used in our studies, and we intend to rely on them
in the future. If these third parties do not manufacture our products and product candidates in sufficient quantities and at an
acceptable cost, clinical development and commercialization of our products and product candidates could be delayed, prevented
or impaired.
We
rely on CMOs to manufacture all of our product candidates in clinical studies and our commercial products. Completion of our clinical
studies and commercialization of our products requires the manufacture of a sufficient supply of our products. We have contracted
with outside sources to manufacture our development compounds and commercial products. If, for any reason, we become unable to
rely on our current manufacturing sources, either for clinical studies or for commercial quantities, then we would need to identify
and contract with additional or replacement third-party manufacturers.
We
believe that there are a variety of manufacturers that we may be able to retain to produce these products. However, once we retain
a manufacturing source, if our manufacturers do not perform in a satisfactory manner, we may not be able to develop or commercialize
our products as planned. Certain specialized manufacturers are expected to provide us with modified and unmodified pharmaceutical
compounds, including finished products, for use in our preclinical and nonclinical testing and clinical studies and final product.
Some of these materials are available from only one supplier or vendor. Any interruption in or termination of service by such
sole source suppliers could result in a delay or interruption in manufacturing until we locate an alternative source of supply.
Any delay or interruption in manufacturing operations (or failure to locate a suitable replacement for such suppliers) could materially
adversely affect our business, prospects, or results of operations. We do not have any short-term or long-term manufacturing agreements
with many of these manufacturers. If we fail to contract for manufacturing on acceptable terms or if third-party manufacturers
do not perform as we expect, our development programs could be materially adversely affected, and our efforts to commercialize
our marketed products will be materially impaired. This may result in delays in filing for and receiving FDA approval for one
or more of our products and impair our revenues from sales. Any such delays could cause our prospects and financial condition
to suffer significantly.
Failure
by our third-party manufacturers to comply with the regulatory guidelines set forth by the FDA with respect to our products and
product candidates could delay or prevent the completion of clinical studies, the approval of any product candidates or the commercialization
of our products.
Third-party
manufacturers must be inspected by FDA for cGMP compliance before they can produce commercial product. We may be in competition
with other companies for access to these manufacturers’ facilities and may be subject to delays in manufacturing if the
manufacturers give other clients higher priority than they give to us. If we are unable to secure and maintain third-party manufacturing
capacity, the development and sales of our products and our financial performance may be materially affected.
Manufacturers
are obligated to operate in accordance with FDA-mandated requirements. A failure of any of our third-party manufacturers to establish
and follow cGMP requirements and to document their adherence to such practices may lead to significant delays in the availability
of material for clinical studies, may delay or prevent filing or approval of marketing applications for our products, and may
cause delays or interruptions in the availability of our products for commercial distribution following FDA approval. This could
result in higher costs to us or deprive us of potential product revenues.
77
Drug
manufacturers are subject to ongoing periodic unannounced inspections by the FDA, the Drug Enforcement Administration, or DEA,
and corresponding state and foreign agencies to ensure strict compliance with cGMP requirements and other requirements under Federal
drug laws, other government regulations and corresponding foreign standards. If we or our third-party manufacturers fail to comply
with applicable regulations, sanctions could be imposed on us, including fines, injunctions, civil penalties, failure by the government
to grant marketing approval of drugs, delays, suspension or withdrawal of approvals, seizures or recalls of product, operating
restrictions and criminal prosecutions.
We
are exposed to cybersecurity and data privacy risks that, if realized, could expose us to legal liability, damage our reputation
and harm our business.
We
face risks of cyber-attacks, computer hacks, theft, viruses, malicious software, phishing, employee error, denial-of-service attacks
and other security breaches that could jeopardize the performance of our software and expose us to financial and reputational
harm. Any of these occurrences could create liability for us, put our reputation in jeopardy and harm our business. Such harm
could be in the form of theft of our or our customers’ confidential information, the inability to access our systems. In
some cases, we rely on the safeguards put in place by third parties to protect against security threats. These third parties,
including vendors that provide products and services for our operations, could also be a source of security risk to us in the
event of a failure or a security incident affecting their own security systems and infrastructure. Our network of partners could
also be a source of vulnerability to the extent their applications interface with ours, whether unintentionally or through a malicious
backdoor. We do not review the software code included in third-party integrations in all instances. Because the techniques used
to obtain unauthorized access or to sabotage systems change frequently and generally are not recognized until launched against
a target, we or these third parties may be unable to anticipate these techniques or to implement adequate preventative measures.
We have internal controls designed to prevent cyber-related frauds related to authorizing the transfer of funds, but such internal
controls may not be adequate. With the increasing frequency of cyber-related frauds to obtain inappropriate payments and other
threats related to cyber-attacks, we may find it necessary to expend resources to remediate cyber-related incidents or to enhance
and strengthen our cybersecurity. Our remediation efforts may not be successful and could result in interruptions, delays or cessation
of service. Although we have insurance coverage for losses associated with cyber-attacks, as with all insurance policies, there
are coverage exclusions and limitations, and our coverage may not be sufficient to cover all possible claims, and we may still
suffer losses that could have a material adverse effect on our reputation and business.
The
increase in remote working arrangements by our employees, vendors, and other third parties also increase the risk of a data security
compromise and the possible attack surfaces. Although we conduct training as part of our information security, cybersecurity,
and data privacy efforts, that training cannot be completely effective in preventing those attacks from being successful. There
can be no assurance that our cybersecurity risk management program and processes, including our policies, controls, or procedures,
will be fully implemented, complied with or effective in protecting our systems and information.
Adverse
global conditions, including economic uncertainty, may negatively impact our financial results.
Global
conditions, dislocations in the financial markets, or inflation could adversely impact our business. In addition, the global macroeconomic
environment has been and may continue to be negatively affected by, among other things, instability in global economic markets,
increased U.S. trade tariffs and trade disputes with other countries, instability in the global credit markets, supply chain weaknesses,
instability in the geopolitical environment, political tensions, and foreign governmental debt concerns. Such challenges have
caused, and may continue to cause, uncertainty and instability in local economies and in global financial markets, which may adversely
affect our business.
Our
internal computer systems, or those of our CROs or other contractors or consultants, may fail or suffer security breaches, which
could result in a material disruption of our product development programs.
Despite
the implementation of security measures, our internal computer systems and those of our CROs and other contractors and consultants
are vulnerable to damage or disruption from computer viruses, software bugs, unauthorized access, natural disasters, terrorism,
war, and telecommunication, equipment and electrical failures.
While
we have not, to our knowledge, experienced any significant system failure, accident or security breach to date, if such an event
were to occur and cause interruptions in our operations, it could result in a material disruption of our programs. For example,
the loss of clinical trial data from completed or ongoing clinical trials for any of our product candidates could result in delays
in our regulatory approval efforts and significantly increase our costs to recover or reproduce the data. Moreover, our information
security systems and those of our CROs are also subject to laws and regulations requiring that we take measures to protect the
privacy and security of certain information gathered and used in our business. For example, HIPAA and its implementing regulations
impose, among other requirements, certain regulatory and contractual requirements regarding the privacy and security of personal
health information. In the European Union the General Data Protection Regulation, or GDPR, is even more restrictive with respect
to all personal information, including information masked by a coding system. In addition to HIPAA and GDPR, numerous other federal
and state laws, including, without limitation, state security breach notification laws, state health information privacy laws
and federal and state consumer protection laws, govern the collection, use, disclosure and storage of personal information. To
the extent that any disruption or security breach results in a loss of or damage to our data or applications, or inappropriate
disclosure or theft of confidential or proprietary information, we could incur liability, the further development of our product
candidates could be delayed, our competitive position could be compromised, or our business reputation could be harmed.
78
Corporate
and academic collaborators may take actions to delay, prevent, or undermine the success of our products.
Our
operating and financial strategy for the development, clinical testing, manufacture, and commercialization of drug candidates
is heavily dependent on our entering into collaborations with corporations, academic institutions, licensors, licensees, and other
parties. Our current strategy assumes that we will successfully establish these collaborations, or similar relationships; however,
there can be no assurance that we will be successful establishing such collaborations. Some of our existing collaborations are,
and future collaborations may be, terminable at the sole discretion of the collaborator. Replacement collaborators might not be
available on attractive terms, or at all. The activities of any collaborator will not be within our control and may not be within
our power to influence. There can be no assurance that any collaborator will perform its obligations to our satisfaction or at
all, that we will derive any revenue or profits from such collaborations, or that any collaborator will not compete with us. If
any collaboration is not pursued, we may require substantially greater capital to undertake development and marketing of our proposed
products and may not be able to develop and market such products effectively, if at all. In addition, a lack of development and
marketing collaborations may lead to significant delays in introducing proposed products into certain markets and/or reduced sales
of proposed products in such markets.
Data
provided by collaborators and others upon which we rely that has not been independently verified could turn out to be false, misleading,
or incomplete.
We
rely on third-party vendors, scientists, and collaborators to provide us with significant data and other information related to
our projects, clinical studies, and our business. If such third parties provide inaccurate, misleading, or incomplete data, our
business, prospects, and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Our
product candidates may face competition sooner than expected.
We
intend to seek data exclusivity or market exclusivity for our product candidates provided under the FDCA and similar laws in other
countries. We believe that TNX-801 could qualify for 12 years of data exclusivity under the Biologics Price Competition and Innovation
Act of 2009, or BPCIA. Under the BPCIA, an application for a biosimilar product or BLA cannot be submitted to the FDA until four
years, or if approved by the FDA, until 12 years, after the original brand product identified as the reference product is approved
under a BLA. The BPCIA provides an abbreviated pathway for the approval of biosimilar and interchangeable biological products.
The new abbreviated regulatory pathway establishes legal authority for the FDA to review and approve biosimilar biologics, including
the possible designation of a biosimilar as “interchangeable” based on its similarity to an existing brand product.
If the BPCIA is repealed or amended to shorten this exclusivity period, potentially creating the opportunity for biosimilar competition
sooner than anticipated after the expiration of our patent protection, or business may be harmed. Moreover, the extent to which
a biosimilar, once approved, will be substituted for any reference product in a way that is similar to traditional generic substitution
for non-biological products is not yet clear, and will depend on a number of marketplace and regulatory factors that are still
developing.
Our
product candidates that are not, or are not considered, biologics that would qualify for exclusivity under the BPCIA may be eligible
for market exclusivity as drugs under the FDCA. The FDCA provides a five-year period of non-patent marketing exclusivity within
the U.S. to the first applicant to gain approval of an NDA for a new chemical entity (“NCE”). A drug is an NCE if
the FDA has not previously approved any other new drug containing the same active moiety, which is the molecule or ion responsible
for the action of the drug substance. During the exclusivity period, the FDA may not accept for review an abbreviated new drug
application, or ANDA, or a 505(b)(2) NDA, submitted by another company for another version of such drug where the applicant does
not own or have a legal right of reference to all the data required for approval. However, an application may be submitted after
four years if it contains a certification of patent invalidity or non-infringement. The FDCA also provides three years of marketing
exclusivity for an NDA, 505(b)(2) NDA or supplement to an existing NDA if new clinical investigations, other than bioavailability
studies, that were conducted or sponsored by the applicant are deemed by the FDA to be essential to the approval of the application,
for example, for new indications, dosages, or strengths of an existing drug. This three-year exclusivity covers only the conditions
associated with the new clinical investigations and does not prohibit the FDA from approving ANDAs for drugs containing the original
active agent.
79
Even
if our product candidates are considered to be reference products eligible for 12 years of exclusivity under the BPCIA or five
years of exclusivity under the FDCA, another company could market competing products if the FDA approves a full BLA or full NDA
for such product containing the sponsor’s own preclinical data and data from adequate and well-controlled clinical trials
to demonstrate the safety, purity and potency of the products. Moreover, an amendment or repeal of the BPCIA could result in a
shorter exclusivity period for our product candidates, which could have a material adverse effect on our business.
If
we are unable to establish effective marketing, sales and distribution capabilities or enter into agreements with third parties
to market, sell and distribute our products, we may be unable to generate significant product awareness and that lack of awareness
may limit the product revenues that we generate.
We
recently expanded our commercial infrastructure for the marketing, sale, and distribution of pharmaceutical products, which includes
a field-based sales force conducted through a combination of internal commercial personnel and contracted sales representatives
to promote our commercial stage products throughout the United States. This effort requires additional compliance with a range
of federal and state laws.
While
many of our officers and employees have experience commercializing drug products with prior companies, as an organization we have
limited experience in the marketing, sale, and distribution of pharmaceutical products, and there are significant risks involved
in building, managing and maintaining a commercial infrastructure. We have to compete with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology
companies to recruit, hire, train, manage, and retain marketing and sales personnel. In the event we are unable to maintain our
marketing and sales infrastructure, we may not be able to successfully commercialize any of our existing commercial stage products
or future product candidates, which would limit our ability to generate revenue. Factors that may inhibit our efforts to commercialize
any of our products on our own include:
● our
inability to recruit, train, manage, and retain adequate numbers of effective sales and
marketing personnel;
● the
inability of sales personnel to obtain access to physicians or appropriately persuade
adequate numbers of physicians to prescribe any of our current or future product candidates;
● our
inability to effectively oversee a geographically dispersed sales and marketing team;
● the
application of federal and state drug distribution and supply chain requirements to our
business;
● the
costs associated with training sales and marketing personnel on legal and regulatory
compliance matters and monitoring their actions;
● an
inability to secure adequate or any coverage and reimbursement by government and private
health plans or other payers;
● the
clinical indications and labeled claims for which the product is approved;
● limitations
or warnings, including distribution or use restrictions, contained in the product’s
approved labeling;
● any
distribution and use restrictions imposed by the FDA or to which we agree as part of
a mandatory REMS or voluntary risk management plan;
● liability
for sales or marketing personnel who fail to comply with the applicable legal and regulatory
requirements;
● the
lack of complementary products to be offered by sales personnel, which may put us at
a competitive disadvantage relative to companies with more extensive product lines; and
● unforeseen
costs and expenses associated with creating an independent sales and marketing organization
or engaging a contract sales organization.
If
additional product candidates are approved, we may incur expenses prior to product launch in expanding our sales force and compliant
marketing and sales infrastructure. If a commercial launch is delayed as a result of FDA requirements or other reasons, we may
incur these expenses prior to being able to realize any revenue from sales of such product candidate(s). Furthermore, our sales
force and marketing teams may not be successful in commercializing any of our current or future product candidates.
We
face the risk of product liability claims and may not be able to obtain insurance.
Our
business exposes us to the risk of product liability claims that are inherent in the sale and development of drugs. If the use
of one or more of our or our collaborators’ drugs harms people, we may be subject to costly and damaging product liability
claims brought against us by clinical study participants, consumers, health care providers, pharmaceutical companies or others
selling our products. Our inability to obtain sufficient product liability insurance at an acceptable cost to protect against
potential product liability claims could prevent or inhibit the commercialization of pharmaceutical products we develop, alone
or with collaborators. While we currently carry clinical study insurance and product liability insurance, we cannot predict all
of the possible harms or side effects that may result and, therefore, the amount of insurance coverage we hold now or in the future
may not be adequate to cover all liabilities we might incur. We expanded our insurance coverage to include the sale of TONMYA
and our migraine products. However, if we are unable to maintain insurance at an acceptable cost or otherwise protect against
potential product liability claims, we will be exposed to significant liabilities, which may materially and adversely affect our
business and financial position. If we are sued for any injury allegedly caused by our or our collaborators’ products, our
liability could exceed our total assets and our ability to pay the liability. A product liability claim or series of claims brought
against us would decrease our cash and could cause our stock price to fall.
80
We
use hazardous chemicals in our business. Potential claims relating to improper handling, storage or disposal of these chemicals
could affect us and be time-consuming and costly.
Our
research and development processes and/or those of our third-party contractors may involve the controlled use of hazardous materials
and chemicals. These hazardous chemicals are reagents and solvents typically found in a chemistry laboratory. Our operations also
produce hazardous waste products. Federal, state and local laws and regulations govern the use, manufacture, storage, handling
and disposal of hazardous materials. While we attempt to comply with all environmental laws and regulations, including those relating
to the outsourcing of the disposal of all hazardous chemicals and waste products, we cannot eliminate the risk of contamination
from or discharge of hazardous materials and any resultant injury. In the event of such an accident, we could be held liable for
any resulting damages and any liability could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Compliance
with environmental laws and regulations may be expensive. Current or future environmental regulations may impair our research,
development or production efforts. We might have to pay civil damages in the event of an improper or unauthorized release of,
or exposure of individuals to, hazardous materials. We are not insured against these environmental risks.
If
we enter into collaborations with third parties, they might also work with hazardous materials in connection with our collaborations.
We may agree to indemnify our collaborators in some circumstances against damages and other liabilities arising out of development
activities or products produced in connection with these collaborations.
In
addition, the federal, state and local laws and regulations governing the use, manufacture, storage, handling and disposal of
hazardous or radioactive materials and waste products may require us to incur substantial compliance costs that could materially
adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our
insurance policies are expensive and protect us only from some business risks, which will leave us exposed to significant uninsured
liabilities.
We
carry insurance for most categories of risk that our business may encounter, however, we may not have adequate levels of coverage.
We currently maintain general liability, clinical study, property, workers’ compensation, products liability and directors’
and officers’ insurance, along with an umbrella policy, which collectively costs approximately $1,500,000 per annum. We
cannot provide any assurances that we will be able to maintain existing insurance at current or adequate levels of coverage. Any
significant uninsured liability may require us to pay substantial amounts, which would adversely affect our cash position and
results of operations.
If
we retain collaborative partners and our partners do not satisfy their obligations, we will be unable to develop our partnered
product candidates.
In
the event we enter into any collaborative agreements, we may not have day-to-day control over the activities of our collaborative
partners with respect to any of these product candidates. Any collaborative partner may not fulfill its obligations under these
agreements. If a collaborative partner fails to fulfill its obligations under an agreement with us, we may be unable to assume
the development of the products covered by that agreement or enter into alternative arrangements with a third party. In addition,
we may encounter delays in the commercialization of the product candidate that is the subject of the agreement. Accordingly, our
ability to receive any revenue from the product candidates covered by these agreements will be dependent on the efforts of our
collaborative partner. We could also become involved in disputes with a collaborative partner, which could lead to delays in or
termination of our development and commercialization programs and time-consuming and expensive litigation or arbitration. In addition,
any such dispute could diminish our collaborators’ commitment to us and reduce the resources they devote to developing and
commercializing our products. Conflicts or disputes with our collaborators, and competition from them, could harm our relationships
with our other collaborators, restrict our ability to enter future collaboration agreements and delay the research, development
or commercialization of our product candidates. If any collaborative partner terminates or breaches its agreement, or otherwise
fails to complete its obligations in a timely manner, our chances of successfully developing or commercializing these product
candidates would be materially and adversely affected. We may not be able to enter into collaborative agreements with partners
on terms favorable to us, or at all. Our inability to enter into collaborative arrangements with collaborative partners, or our
failure to maintain such arrangements, would limit the number of product candidates that we could develop and ultimately decrease
our sources of any future revenues.
We
face risks in connection with existing and future collaborations with respect to the development, manufacture, and commercialization
of our product candidates.
We
face a number of risks in connection with our current collaborations. Our collaboration agreements are subject to termination
under various circumstances. Our collaborators may change the focus of their development and commercialization efforts or may
have insufficient resources to effectively assist in the development of our products. Any future collaboration agreements may
have the effect of limiting the areas of research and development that we may pursue, either alone or in collaboration with third
parties. Further, disagreements with collaborators, including disagreements over proprietary rights, contract interpretation,
or the preferred course of development, might cause delays, might result in litigation or arbitration, or might result in termination
of the research, development or commercialization of our products. Any such disagreements would divert management attention and
resources and be time-consuming and costly.
81
We
face risks in connection with the testing, production and storage of our vaccine product candidates.
Developing
our TNX-801 vaccine candidate requires testing of challenges with rabbitpox and vaccinia mpox viruses under controlled experimental
conditions. The testing of TNX-801 may carry risk of infection and harm to individuals.
In
addition, TNX-801 is a live form of the horsepox. We have initiated vaccine-manufacturing activities to support further nonclinical
testing of TNX-801. The production and storage of the synthesized horsepox virus stock may carry risk of infection and harm to
individuals. Any such infection could expose us to product and general liability claims, and may carry risk of infection and harm
to individuals.
Changes
in tax laws could adversely affect our business and financial condition.
Tax
legislation continues to evolve globally with new laws and regulations that create uncertainty in the global economy. For example,
on July 4, 2025, legislation commonly referred to as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (the “OBBBA”) was signed into law,
which includes significant provisions, including tax cut extensions and modifications to the international tax framework. We
assessed the impact the OBBBA had on our financial condition, results of operations, cash flows or effective tax rate, and
will continue to evaluate the impact of the legislative changes as additional guidance becomes available. Uncertainty remains
regarding timing and interpretation by the tax authorities in the affected jurisdictions. Future tax reform and legislative changes
could have an adverse impact on our future effective tax rate, tax liabilities, and cash tax.
RISKS
RELATED TO OUR STOCK
Sales
of additional shares of our common stock could cause the price of our common stock to decline.
Sales
of substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market, or the availability of such shares for sale, by us or others,
including the issuance of common stock upon exercise of outstanding options and warrants, could adversely affect the price of
our common stock. We and our directors and officers may sell shares into the market, which could adversely affect the market price
of shares of our common stock.
We may not be able to maintain compliance
with the Listing Rules of the NASDAQ Stock Exchange.
There can be no assurance that in the future we will be able to maintain
compliance with the Nasdaq Listing Rules, including the minimum bid price requirement and other applicable corporate governance requirements.
If we fail to maintain compliance with the minimum bid requirement or to meet the other applicable continued listing requirements for
the NASDAQ Global Select Market in the future and NASDAQ determines to delist our common stock, the delisting could adversely affect the
market price and liquidity of our common stock and reduce our ability to raise additional capital. In addition, if our common stock is
delisted from NASDAQ and the trading price remains below $5.00 per share, trading in our common stock might also become subject to the
requirements of certain rules promulgated under the Exchange Act, which require additional disclosure by broker-dealers in connection
with any trade involving a stock defined as a “penny stock” (generally, any equity security not listed on a national securities
exchange or quoted on NASDAQ that has a market price of less than $5.00 per share, subject to certain exceptions).
An
active trading market for our common stock may not be sustained.
Although our common stock is listed on the NASDAQ Global Select Market,
the market for our shares has demonstrated varying levels of trading activity. Furthermore, the current level of trading may not be sustained
in the future. The lack of an active market for our common stock may impair investors’ ability to sell their shares at the time
they wish to sell them or at a price that they consider reasonable, may reduce the fair market value of their shares and may impair our
ability to raise capital to continue to fund operations by selling shares and may impair our ability to acquire additional intellectual
property assets by using our shares as consideration.
The
market price of our common stock has been extremely volatile in the past and may be volatile in the future due to numerous circumstances
beyond our control.
The
market price of our common stock has fluctuated, and may fluctuate, widely, due to many factors, some of which may be beyond our
control. These factors include, without limitation:
● “short
squeezes”;
● “short
sellers”;
● comments
by securities analysts or other third parties, including blogs, articles, message boards
and social and other media;
● large
stockholders exiting their position in our common stock or an increase or decrease in
the short interest in our common stock;
● actual
or anticipated fluctuations in our financial and operating results;
● the
timing and allocations of new product candidates;
● public
perception of our product candidates and competitive products;
82
● changes
in financial estimates or recommendations by securities analysts;
● changes
in the reimbursement policies of third party insurance companies or government agencies;
and
● overall
general market fluctuations.
Stock
markets in general and our stock price in particular have experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations that have often been
unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of those companies and our company. Broad market fluctuations may adversely
affect the trading price of our common stock. In particular, a proportion of our common stock has been and may continue to be
traded by short sellers which may put pressure on the supply and demand for our common stock, further influencing volatility in
its market price. Additionally, these and other external factors have caused and may continue to cause the market price and demand
for our common stock to fluctuate, which may limit or prevent investors from readily selling their shares of common stock and
may otherwise negatively affect the liquidity of our common stock.
A
“short squeeze” due to a sudden increase in demand for shares of our common stock that largely could lead to extreme
price volatility in shares of our common stock.
Investors
may purchase shares of our common stock to hedge existing exposure or to speculate on the price of our common stock. Speculation
on the price of our common stock may involve long and short exposures. To the extent aggregate short exposure exceeds the number
of shares of our common stock available for purchase on the open market, investors with short exposure may have to pay a premium
to repurchase shares of our common stock for delivery to lenders of our common stock. Those repurchases may in turn, dramatically
increase the price of our common stock until additional shares of our common stock are available for trading or borrowing. This
is often referred to as a “short squeeze.” A proportion of our common stock has been and may continue to be traded
by short sellers which may increase the likelihood that our common stock will be the target of a short squeeze. A short squeeze
could lead to volatile price movements in shares of our common stock that are unrelated or disproportionate to our operating performance
or prospectus and, once investors purchase the shares of our common stock necessary to cover their short positions, the price
of our common stock may rapidly decline. Investors that purchase shares of our common stock during a short squeeze may lose a
significant portion of their investment.
We
do not anticipate paying dividends on our common stock and, accordingly, shareholders must rely on stock appreciation for any
return on their investment.
We
have never declared or paid cash dividends on our common stock and do not expect to do so in the foreseeable future. The declaration
of dividends is subject to the discretion of our board of directors and will depend on various factors, including our operating
results, financial condition, future prospects and any other factors deemed relevant by our board of directors. You should not
rely on an investment in our company if you require dividend income from your investment in our company. The success of your investment
will likely depend entirely upon any future appreciation of the market price of our common stock, which is uncertain and unpredictable.
There is no guarantee that our common stock will appreciate in value.
The
rights of the holders of common stock may be impaired by the potential issuance of preferred stock.
Our
articles of incorporation give our board of directors the right to create new series of preferred stock. As a result, the board
of directors may, without stockholder approval, issue preferred stock with voting, dividend, conversion, liquidation or other
rights which could adversely affect the voting power and equity interest of the holders of common stock. Preferred stock, which
could be issued with the right to more than one vote per share, could be utilized as a method of discouraging, delaying or preventing
a change of control. The possible impact on takeover attempts could adversely affect the price of our common stock. Although we
have no present intention to issue any shares of preferred stock or to create a series of preferred stock, we may issue such shares
in the future.
If
we fail to comply with the rules under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 related to accounting controls and procedures, or if we
discover material weaknesses and deficiencies in our internal control and accounting procedures, our stock price could decline
significantly and raising capital could be more difficult.
If
we fail to comply with the rules under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 related to disclosure controls and procedures, or, if we
discover material weaknesses and other deficiencies in our internal control and accounting procedures, our stock price could decline
significantly and raising capital could be more difficult. Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act requires annual management assessments
of the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. If material weaknesses or significant deficiencies are
discovered or if we otherwise fail to achieve and maintain the adequacy of our internal control, we may not be able to ensure
that we can conclude on an ongoing basis that we have effective internal controls over financial reporting in accordance with
Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Moreover, effective internal controls are necessary for us to produce reliable financial
reports and are important to helping prevent financial fraud. If we cannot provide reliable financial reports or prevent fraud,
our business and operating results could be harmed, investors could lose confidence in our reported financial information, and
the trading price of our common stock could drop significantly.
83
If
securities or industry analysts do not publish research or reports about our business, or if they change their recommendations
regarding our stock adversely, our stock price and trading volume could decline.
The
trading market for our common stock will be influenced by the research and reports that industry or securities analysts publish
about us or our business. Our research coverage by industry and financial analysts is currently limited. Even if our analyst coverage
increases, if one or more of the analysts who cover us downgrade our stock, our stock price would likely decline. If one or more
of these analysts cease coverage of our company or fail to regularly publish reports on us, we could lose visibility in the financial
markets, which in turn could cause our stock price or trading volume to decline.
Other
companies may have difficulty acquiring us, even if doing so would benefit our stockholders, due to provisions under our corporate
charter and bylaws, as well as Nevada law.
Provisions
in our articles of incorporation, our bylaws, and under Nevada law could make it more difficult for other companies to acquire
us, even if doing so would benefit our stockholders. Our articles of incorporation and bylaws contain the following provisions,
among others, which may inhibit an acquisition of our company by a third party:
● advance
notification procedures for matters to be brought before stockholder meetings
● a
limitation on who may call stockholder meetings
● a
limitation on the removal of directors
● the
ability of our board of directors to issue up to 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock
without a stockholder vote.
We
are also subject to provisions of Nevada law that prohibit us from engaging in any business combination with any “interested
stockholder,” meaning generally that a stockholder who beneficially owns 10 percent or more of our stock cannot acquire
us for a period of time after the date this person became an interested stockholder, unless various conditions are met, such as
approval of the transaction by our board of directors and stockholders.
Our
bylaws designate the Eighth Judicial District Court of Clark County, Nevada as the sole and exclusive forum for certain types
of actions and proceedings that may be initiated by our stockholders, which could limit our stockholders’ ability to obtain
a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or agents.
Our
bylaws require that, to the fullest extent permitted by law, and unless the Company consents in writing to the selection of an
alternative forum, the Eighth Judicial District Court of Clark County, Nevada, will, to the fullest extent permitted by law, be
the sole and exclusive forum for each of the following:
● any
derivative action or proceeding brought in the name or right of the Company or on its
behalf,
● any
action asserting a claim for breach of any fiduciary duty owed by any director, officer,
employee or agent of the Company to the Company or the Company’s stockholders,
● any
action arising or asserting a claim arising pursuant to any provision of NRS Chapters
78 or 92A or any provision of our articles of incorporation or bylaws, or
● any
action asserting a claim governed by the internal affairs doctrine, including, without
limitation, any action to interpret, apply, enforce or determine the validity of our
articles of incorporation or bylaws.
Because
the applicability of the exclusive forum provision is limited to the extent permitted by law, we believe that the exclusive forum
provision would not apply to suits brought to enforce any duty or liability created by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as
amended (Exchange Act), or any other claim for which the federal courts have exclusive jurisdiction, and that federal courts have
concurrent jurisdiction over all suits brought to enforce any duty or liability created by the Securities Act of 1933, as amended
(Securities Act). We note that there is uncertainty as to whether a court would enforce the provision and that investors cannot
waive compliance with the federal securities laws and the rules and regulations thereunder. Although we believe this provision
benefits us by providing increased consistency in the application of Nevada law in the types of lawsuits to which it applies,
the provision may have the effect of discouraging lawsuits against our directors and officers.