TRICO BANCSHARES / 10-Q

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk Based on the changes in interest rates occurring subsequent to December 31, 2019, the following update of the Company’s assessment of market risk as of September 30, 2020 is being provided. These updates and changes should be read in conjunction with the additional quantitative and qualitative disclosures in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019. Subsequent to December 31, 2019, declines in several market interest rates, including many rates that serve as reference indices for variable rate loans declined markedly from previous levels. As of December 31, 2019 the Company's loan portfolio consisted of approximately $4,346,723,000 in outstanding principal with a weighted average rate of 4.89%. As of September 30, 2020 the Company's loan portfolio consisted of approximately $4,869,000,000 in outstanding principal with a weighted average coupon rate of 4.34%, inclusive of the PPP program loans. Excluding these loans, the Company's loan portfolio has approximately $4,431,000,000 outstanding with a weighted average coupon rate of 4.66% as of September 30, 2020. Included in this September 30, 2020 loan total exclusive of PPP loans, are variable rate loans totaling $2,991,000,000 of which 87.7% or $2,622,000,000 were at their floor rate. The remaining variable rate loans totaling $369,000,000, which carried a weighted average coupon rate of 5.07% as of September 30, 2020, are subject to further rate adjustment. If those remaining variable rate loans were to collectively, through future rate adjustments, be reduced to their respective floors, they would have a weighted average coupon rate of approximately 4.36% which would result in the reduction of the weighted average coupon rate of the total loan portfolio, exclusive of PPP loans, from 4.66% to approximately 4.61%. As of September 30, 2020 the overnight Federal funds rate, the rate primarily used in these interest rate shock scenarios, was less than 1.00%. Based on the historical nature of these rates in the United States not falling below zero, management believes that a shock scenario that reduces interest rates below zero would not provide meaningful results and therefore, have not been modeled. These scenarios assume that 1) interest rates increase or decrease evenly (in a “ramp” fashion) over a twelve-month period and remain at the new levels beyond twelve months or 2) that interest rates change instantaneously (“shock”). The simulation results shown below assume no changes in the structure of the Company’s balance sheet over the twelve months being measured. The following table summarizes the estimated effect on net interest income and market value of equity to changing interest rates as measured against a flat rate (no interest rate change) instantaneous shock scenario over a twelve month period utilizing the Company's specific mix of interest earning assets and interest bearing liabilities as of September 30, 2020. 61 Table of Contents Interest Rate Risk Simulations: Change in Interest Rates (Basis Points) Estimated Change in Net Interest Income (NII) (as % of NII) Estimated Change in Market Value of Equity (MVE) (as % of MVE) +200 (shock) 5.5 % 34.1 % +100 (shock) 2.8 % 20.0 % + 0 (flat) — — -100 (shock) (1.0) % (38.2) % -200 (shock) nm nm