PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC 10-Q

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk ​ Interest Rate Risk ​ We are exposed to the impact of interest rate changes on our PJI Revolving Facility. We attempt to minimize interest rate risk exposure by fixing our interest rate through the utilization of interest rate swaps, which are derivative financial instruments. As previously mentioned, these interest rate swaps were eligible for hedge accounting for part of the period and were de-designated following the issuance of the Notes. Our swaps are entered into with financial institutions that participate in the PJI Revolving Facility. By using a derivative instrument to hedge exposures to changes in interest rates, we expose ourselves to credit risk due to the possible failure of the counterparty to perform under the terms of the derivative contract. We do not enter into contracts for trading purposes and do not use leveraged instruments. The market risks associated with our debt obligations as of September 26, 2021 have not changed from those reported in “Part II. Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2020. See “Note 8” of “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements” for additional information on our debt obligations and derivative instruments. ​ Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk ​ We are exposed to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations from our operations outside of the United States, which can adversely impact our revenues, net income and cash flows. Our international operations principally consist of distribution sales to franchised Papa John’s restaurants located in the United Kingdom and our franchise sales and support activities, which derive revenues from sales of franchise and development rights and the collection of royalties from our international franchisees. Approximately 7% of our revenues were derived from these operations for the three and nine months ended September 26, 2021 and September 27, 2020. ​ We have not historically hedged our exposure to foreign currency fluctuations. Foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations had a favorable impact of approximately $2.1 million and $7.9 million on International revenues for the three and nine months ended September 26, 2021, respectively, and a favorable impact of approximately $650,000 and an unfavorable impact of approximately $1.4 million for the three and nine months ended September 27, 2020, respectively. Foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations had a favorable impact of approximately $400,000 and $1.7 million on operating income for the three and nine months ended September 26, 2021, respectively, and an unfavorable impact of $120,000 and $1.1 million on operating income for the three and nine months ended September 27, 2020, respectively. ​ Commodity Price Risk ​ In the ordinary course of business, the food and paper products we purchase, including cheese (our largest individual food cost item), are subject to seasonal fluctuations, weather, availability, demand and other factors that are beyond our control. We have pricing agreements with some of our vendors, including forward pricing agreements for a portion of our cheese purchases for our domestic Company-owned restaurants, which are accounted for as normal purchases; however, we remain exposed to on-going commodity volatility. ​ 39 Table of Contents The following table presents the actual average block price for cheese by quarter through the third quarter of 2021 and the projected average block price by quarter for 2021 (based on the October 29, 2021 Chicago Mercantile Exchange cheese futures market prices): ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ 2021 ​ 2020 ​ ​ Projected ​ Actual ​ Block Price Block Price ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Quarter 1 $ 1.676 $ 1.857 Quarter 2 ​ 1.680 ​ 1.679 Quarter 3 ​ 1.676 ​ 2.262 Quarter 4 ​ 1.780 ​ 2.235 Full Year $ 1.703 * $ 2.008 ​ *The full year estimate is based on futures prices and does not include the impact of forward pricing agreements we have for a portion of our cheese purchases for our domestic Company-owned restaurants. Additionally, the price charged to restaurants can vary somewhat by quarter from the actual block price based upon our monthly pricing mechanism. ​