Item 1A. Risk Factors
Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Our business faces many risks, a number of which are described under the caption “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report. The COVID-19 pandemic may subject us to additional risks that are described below. The risks described in our Annual Report and below may not be the only risks we face. Other risks of which we are not yet aware, or that we currently believe are not material, may also materially and adversely impact our business operations or financial results. If any of the events or circumstances described in the risk factors contained in our Annual Report or described below occurs, our business, financial condition or results of operations could be adversely impacted and the value of an investment in our securities could decline. Investors and prospective investors should consider the risks described in our Annual Report and below, and the information contained under the caption “Warning Concerning Forward-Looking Statements” and elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q before deciding whether to invest in our securities.
Our business, operations, financial results and liquidity have been materially and adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, and it is not known what the duration of this pandemic will be or what its ultimate adverse impact on us and our business will be, but we expect it will be substantial.
COVID-19 has been declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization, and in response to the outbreak, the U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary has declared a public health emergency in the United States. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a substantial adverse impact on the global economy, including the U.S. economy, and has resulted in a global economic recession. These conditions have materially and adversely impacted our and many of our tenants' and our senior living communities' manager's businesses, results of operations and liquidity.
Our senior living communities have experienced increased operating costs. These increased costs result from staffing, including overtime, particularly if a community experiences a reduction in available personnel due to illness or otherwise, the increased need and cost for supplies, including personal protective equipment, adopting enhanced disinfection measures and/or implementing quarantines for residents. In addition, our senior living communities are experiencing downward pressures on occupancy as a result of restrictions on allowing outside persons to enter senior living communities due to social distancing and other containment measures, limitations on prospective residents being able to visit our senior living communities and perceptions that senior living communities are unsafe during a pandemic or other widespread illness. The occupancy at our senior living communities has declined since the start of the pandemic and we expect occupancy to continue to decline as a result of the pandemic and economic downturn, and the costs for operating those senior living communities have increased and we expect they may continue to increase during the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath, and these declines in occupancy and increases in operating costs may be significant. Those conditions would reduce the returns we realize from our senior living communities and the fees earned by the manager of our senior living communities, and these conditions may result in residents at our senior living communities being unable or unwilling to pay us rent and resident fees. Further, our manager and tenants may be limited in operating our senior living communities if they are unable to obtain the necessary staffing and supplies, such as a result of illness of staff, shortages of supplies due to supply chain or production challenges, or for other reasons. Additionally, downturns or stagnation in the U.S. housing market as a result of an economic downturn could adversely affect the ability, or perceived ability, of seniors to afford the resident fees and services at our senior living communities as prospective residents may use the proceeds from the sale of their homes to cover the cost of such fees.
In addition, economic downturns and recessions in the United States have historically negatively impacted the commercial office real estate market, including increased tenant defaults, decreased occupancies and reduced rental rates. The current economic conditions have had, and we expect that they will continue to have, similar negative impacts on our Office Portfolio and we expect that the extent of those negative consequences will depend to a large extent on the duration and depth of the economic recession in the United States and the strength and sustainability of any economic recovery that may follow.
We cannot predict the extent and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic or the severity and duration of its economic impact, but we expect it will be substantial.
Further, the extent and strength of any economic recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic ends or otherwise are uncertain and subject to various factors and conditions. Our business, operations and financial position may continue to be negatively impacted after the COVID-19 pandemic ends and may remain at depressed levels compared to prior to the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and those conditions may continue for an extended period.
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We have taken several actions in an attempt to address the operating and financial impact from the COVID-19 pandemic, and we continue to assess and explore other actions, but those actions and plans may not be sufficient to avoid continued and potentially increased substantial harm to our business, operations and financial condition.
We have taken several actions in an attempt to address the operating and financial impact from the COVID-19 pandemic, including:
• we reduced our quarterly cash distribution rate on our common shares to $0.01 per share payable;
• we amended certain financial covenants under our credit and term loan agreements through June 30, 2021 in order to provide us with additional flexibility;
• we have been in regular, frequent contact with our senior living communities' manager to adopt measures to minimize losses, preserve liquidity and maintain operations; and
• we have communicated with many of our medical office, life science and other tenants regarding their operation of or at our properties in the current challenging economic conditions, and we have agreed to provide deferrals of approximately $2.2 million of rent owed to us that are generally required to be repaid in installments beginning later this year.
There can be no assurance that these actions or others that we may take will be successful or that they will enable us to maintain sufficient liquidity and withstand the current economic challenges.
We recently reduced our quarterly cash distribution rate on our common shares to $0.01 per share; future distributions may remain at this level for an indefinite period or be eliminated and the form of payment could change.
Beginning in the second quarter of 2020, we reduced our quarterly cash distributions on our common shares to $0.01 per share. We currently intend to continue to make quarterly distributions to our shareholders at this rate for at least the Amendment Period, subject to applicable REIT tax requirements. However:
• our ability to make or sustain the rate of distributions may continue to be adversely affected by the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath on our business, results of operations and liquidity;
• our making of distributions is subject to restrictions contained in our credit and term loan agreements, including being limited to amounts required to maintain our qualification for taxation as a REIT and $0.01 per common share per quarter during the Amendment Period, and may be subject to restrictions in future debt obligations we may incur; during the continuance of any event of default under our credit and term loan agreements, we may be limited or in some cases prohibited from making distributions to our shareholders; and
• the timing and amount of any distributions will be determined at the discretion of our Board of Trustees and will depend on various factors that our Board of Trustees deems relevant, including our historical and projected net income, Normalized FFO, our then current and expected needs and availability of cash to pay our obligations, distributions which we may be required to pay to maintain our qualification for taxation as a REIT, limitations in the agreements governing our debt and other factors deemed relevant by our Board of Trustees in its discretion.
For these reasons, among others, our distribution rate may not increase for an indefinite period and could be eliminated.
In order to preserve liquidity, we may elect to pay distributions to our shareholders, in part, in a form other than cash, such as issuing additional common shares of ours to our shareholders, as permitted by the applicable tax rules.
Our investment activities, other than capital expenditures at our existing properties, have been significantly curtailed and we expect that to continue for an indefinite period.
We are not actively pursuing acquisitions at this time. In addition, we have reduced our expectations for capital spending significantly. In addition, our credit and term loan agreements limit our ability to make acquisitions. As a result, we will be limited in pursuing investments, which may limit our ability to grow and to act upon opportunities we believe would benefit us.
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Further, to the extent we defer capital expenditures, we may be required to make increased capital expenditures in later periods as a result and some of the expenditures may be greater in scope and amount than they may have been if made sooner.
We expect that the sale of assets that we previously announced an intention to sell will be delayed and could be changed or abandoned.
We expect that the sales of some of our assets that we had previously identified for sale will be delayed until 2021 as a result of current market conditions. However, any sales of these assets may be delayed beyond our current expectations, they may not occur or, if they do occur, they may be sold at prices less than previously expected and we may realize losses from those assets. Our ability to sell these assets, and the prices we receive upon a sale, may continue to be affected by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may be unable to execute our strategy.
Some of our tenants have requested relief from their obligations to pay rent due to us as a result of market disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic and we expect to receive additional similar requests in the future; we have provided certain limited relief in response to these requests and may determine to grant additional relief in the future if we determine it prudent or appropriate to do so.
The current economic conditions resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic have negatively impacted our tenants' businesses, operations and liquidity. As a result of market disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic, some of our tenants have requested relief from their obligations to pay rent due to us. As of November 2, 2020, we granted requests for certain of our tenants to defer rent payments totaling $2.2 million. These tenants are obligated to pay, in most cases, the deferred rents in 12 equal monthly installments beginning in 2020. We expect to receive additional similar requests in the future, and we may determine to grant additional relief in the future, which may vary from the type of relief we have granted to date, and could include more substantial relief, if we determine it prudent or appropriate to do so. If conditions do not sufficiently and sustainably improve for these tenants, they may be unable to pay deferred or future rent owed to us when due or otherwise. In addition, if our tenants and senior living communities' manager are unable to continue as going concerns as a result of the current economic conditions or otherwise, we will experience a reduction in rents and returns received and we may be unable to find suitable replacement tenants and managers for an extended period or at all and the terms of our agreements with those replacement tenants and managers may not be as favorable to us as the terms of our agreements with our existing tenants and manager.
We may need waivers or amendments from our lenders in order to avoid defaulting under our revolving credit facility.
We may need to obtain waivers or amendments from our lenders under our revolving credit facility in the future in order to avoid failing to satisfy certain financial covenants under our credit and term loan agreements, but our lenders are not required to grant any such waivers and may determine not to do so. If we fail to receive any required waiver, we may default under our credit and term loan agreements and the lenders could terminate the credit facility and require us to pay our then outstanding borrowings under our credit facility. Any future waiver we may obtain may impose restrictions, which may limit our ability to pay distributions to our shareholders, make investments that we believe we should make and could reduce our ability to pursue business opportunities, grow our business and improve our operating results.
We do not expect to reduce our debt leverage in accordance with the timing contemplated by our previous plans and our debt leverage may remain at or above current levels for an indefinite period.
We previously announced an intention to reduce our debt leverage from proceeds from the planned sales of certain of our assets. As noted elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, we expect that the sale of some of these assets will be delayed, they may not occur and, if they do occur, they may be sold at prices less than previously expected. We expect the delay in these sales will also delay our ability to reduce our debt leverage. Further, if we realize a lower amount of proceeds from any asset sales than we previously expected, any corresponding reduction in our debt leverage would be similarly reduced. In addition, we may elect to incur additional debt in order to try to ensure that we have sufficient liquidity to manage through the current economic conditions and any extended economic downturn or recession that may result.
The COVID-19 pandemic may have significant impacts on workplace practices and those changes could be detrimental to our business.
Temporary closures of businesses and stay in place orders and the resulting remote working arrangements for nonessential personnel in response to the COVID-19 pandemic may result in long-term changed work practices that could negatively impact us and our business. For example, the increased adoption of and familiarity with remote work practices could result in decreased demand for office space, which could materially adversely impact our Office Portfolio and the values of our office properties. In addition, certain of our tenants' businesses depend on people gathering in close proximity, including fitness
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centers, among others. To the extent that social distancing practices that have been adopted in response to the COVID-19 pandemic become sustained practices, those tenants' businesses may be materially adversely impacted, which will reduce their ability to pay us rent, increase the likelihood they will default in paying us rent and likely reduce the value of those properties.
The high levels of infected COVID-19 patients and deaths at senior living communities and resulting negative publicity may have a long term significant detrimental impact on the senior living industry, including us, even if our senior living communities do not experience similar levels of COVID-19 infections and deaths as others in the industry.
COVID-19 has proven to be particularly harmful to seniors and persons with other pre-existing health conditions. If the senior living industry continues to experience high levels of residents infected with COVID-19 and related deaths, and news accounts emphasize these experiences, seniors may increasingly delay or forgo moving into senior living communities or using other services provided by senior living operators. These trends could be realized across the senior living industry and not discriminate among owners and operators that have higher or lower levels of residents experiencing COVID-19 infections and related deaths. As a result, our operating results from our senior living communities, and the values of those communities, may experience a long term significant detrimental impact.
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.