Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
This information should
be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes included in Item 1 of Part I of this Form 10-Q. This Form 10-Q contains
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act,
and such forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. All statements (other than statements of historical fact) included
in this Form 10-Q that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, the Trust’s operations, the Sponsor’s
plans and references to the Trust’s future success and other similar matters are forward-looking statements. Words such as “could,”
“would,” “may,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “predict,” and
variations on such words or negatives thereof, and similar expressions that reflect our current views with respect to future events and
Trust performance, are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only predictions, subject
to risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict and many of which are outside of our control, and actual results could differ
materially from those discussed. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or outcomes
to differ materially from those expressed therein. We express our estimates, expectations, beliefs, and projections in good faith and
believe them to have a reasonable basis. However, we make no assurances that management’s estimates, expectations, beliefs, or projections
will be achieved or accomplished. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions about many important factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. We do not intend to update any forward-looking statements
even if new information becomes available or other events occur in the future, except as required by the federal securities law s.
Organization and Trust Overview
The Trust is a Delaware statutory
trust, formed on June 22, 2021, pursuant to the DSTA. The Trust operates pursuant to the Trust Agreement. The Trust is not registered
as an investment company under the 1940 Act and is not a commodity pool for purposes of the Commodity Exchange Act. The Trust is managed
and controlled by the Sponsor. The Sponsor is a limited liability company formed in the state of Delaware on June 16, 2021, and is a wholly
owned subsidiary of 21co Holdings Limited. The ultimate parent company of 21co Holdings Limited is FalconX. The Sponsor is not subject
to regulation by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity pool operator with respect to the Trust, or a commodity trading
advisor with respect to the Trust. The Trust is an exchange-traded fund that issues common shares of beneficial interest representing
fractional undivided beneficial interests in its net assets that trade on the Exchange. The Shares are listed for trading on the Exchange
under the ticker symbol “ARKB”.
The Trust’s investment
objective is to seek to track the performance of bitcoin, as measured by the performance of the Pricing Benchmark, adjusted for the Trust’s
expenses and other liabilities. CF Benchmarks Ltd. is the Pricing Benchmark Provider. The Pricing Benchmark is designed to reflect the
performance of bitcoin in U.S. dollars. In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the Trust holds bitcoin at its Custodians and
values its Shares daily based on the Pricing Benchmark. The Trust is a passive investment vehicle and is not a leveraged product. The
Sponsor does not actively manage the bitcoin held by the Trust.
The Trust issues Shares only
in Creation Baskets of 5,000 or multiples thereof. Creation Baskets are issued and redeemed in exchange for cash or bitcoin. Individual
Shares will not be redeemed by the Trust but are listed and traded on the Exchange under the ticker symbol “ARKB.” The Trust
issues Shares in Creation Baskets on a continuous basis at the applicable NAV per Share on the creation order date.
The Trust pays the unitary
Sponsor fee of 0.21% of the Trust’s NAV (the “Sponsor Fee”). The Sponsor agreed to waive the entire Sponsor Fee for
(i) a nine-month period which commenced on January 11, 2024 (the day the Trust’s Shares were initially listed on the Exchange),
or (ii) the first $1 billion of Trust assets, whichever came first. The Trust assets exceeded $1 billion in February 2024, at which time
the waiver period ended. The Sponsor fee is paid by the Trust to the Sponsor as compensation for services performed under the Trust Agreement.
The Sponsor Fee accrues daily and is payable in bitcoin weekly in arrears. The Administrator calculates the Sponsor Fee on a daily basis
by applying a 0.21% annualized rate to the Trust’s NAV, and the amount of bitcoin payable in respect of each daily accrual is determined
by reference to the Pricing Benchmark.
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Computation of NAV
The NAV of the Trust is used
by the Trust in its day-to-day operations to measure the net value of the Trust’s assets. The NAV is calculated on each day other
than a day when the Exchange is closed for regular trading (a “Business Day”) and is equal to the aggregate value of the Trust’s
assets less its liabilities based on the Pricing Benchmark price. In determining the NAV of the Trust on any Business Day, the Administrator
calculates the price of the bitcoin held by the Trust as of 4:00 p.m. ET on such day. The Administrator also calculates the “NAV
per Share” of the Trust, which equals the NAV of the Trust divided by the number of outstanding Shares.
In addition to calculating
NAV and NAV per Share, for purposes of the Trust’s financial statements, the Trust determines the net asset value of the Trust determined
on a GAAP basis (the “Principal Market NAV”) and net asset value of the Trust per Share determined on a GAAP basis (the “Principal
Market NAV per Share”) on each valuation date for such financial statements. The determination of the Principal Market NAV and Principal
Market NAV per Share is identical to the calculation of NAV and NAV per Share, respectively, except that the value of bitcoin is determined
using the fair value of bitcoin based on the price in the bitcoin market that the Trust considers its “principal market” as
of 4:00 p.m. ET on the valuation date, rather than using the Pricing Benchmark.
NAV and NAV per Share are
not measures calculated in accordance with GAAP and are not intended as substitutes for Principal Market and Principal Market NAV per
Share, respectively.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The financial statements and
accompanying notes are prepared in accordance with GAAP. The preparation of these financial statements relies on estimates and assumptions
that impact the Trust’s financial position and results of operations. These estimates and assumptions affect the Trust’s application
of accounting policies. Below is a summary of accounting policies on cash and investment valuation. There were no material estimates involving
a significant level of estimation uncertainty that had or are reasonably likely to have had a material impact on the Trust’s financial
condition used in the preparation of the financial statements. In addition, please refer to Note 2 to the Financial Statements included
in this report for further discussion of the Trust’s accounting policies.
Cash
Cash includes non-interest
bearing, non-restricted cash maintained with one financial institution that does not exceed U.S. federally insured limits.
Investment Valuation
The Trust’s policy is
to value investments held at fair value. The Trust follows the provisions of ASC 820, Fair Value Measurements (“ASC 820”).
ASC 820 provides guidance for determining fair value and requires increased disclosure regarding the inputs to valuation techniques used
to measure fair value. ASC 820 determines fair value to be the price that would be received for bitcoin in a current sale, which assumes
an exit price resulting from an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. ASC 820-10 requires the assumption
that bitcoin is sold in its principal market to market participants (or in the absence of a principal market, the most advantageous market).
The Trust utilizes an exchange
traded price from the Trust’s principal market for bitcoin as of 4:00 p.m. ET on the Trust’s financial statement measurement
date.
Results of Operations (Amounts in thousands,
except price and quantity of bitcoin and Shares outstanding)
As of March 31, 2026, the Trust had a net closing
balance of 35,246.5837 bitcoins with a value of $2,390,838, based on the Pricing Benchmark Price of $67,831.76 on March 31, 2026 (CME
CF Bitcoin Reference Rate – New York Variant, non-GAAP methodology). As of March 31, 2026, the total market value of the Trust’s
bitcoin was $2,388,764, based on the price of a bitcoin in the principal market of $67,772.92 on March 31, 2026.
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For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
The Trust’s NAV decreased
from $3,305,323 on December 31, 2025 to $2,388,670 on March 31, 2026, a 27.73% decrease. The decrease in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily
from a decrease in the price of bitcoin, which fell 22.56% from $87,515.28 on December 31, 2025 to $67,772.92 on March 31, 2026. The decrease
in the Trust’s NAV was further amplified by a net decrease in outstanding Shares, which fell from 113,755,000 Shares on December 31, 2025
to 106,210,000 Shares on March 31, 2026, a result of 19,980,000 Shares being created and 27,525,000 Shares being redeemed during
the quarter.
Net decrease in net assets
resulting from operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026 was $(716,842), resulting from a net change in unrealized depreciation
on investment in bitcoin of $(586,336), a net realized loss of $(128,899) from bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares, a net realized
loss of $(260) from bitcoin sold to pay the Sponsor Fee, a net realized gain of $90 from in-kind liabilities paid, a net change in unrealized
and realized gain on sponsor fee payable of $8, and a net investment loss of $(1,445). Other than the Sponsor Fee of $1,445, the Trust
had no expenses during the quarter.
For the Three Months Ended on March 31, 2025
The Trust’s NAV decreased
from $4,352,288 on December 31, 2024 to $3,915,458 on March 31, 2025, a 11.16% decrease. The decrease in the Trust’s NAV resulted
primarily from a decrease in the price of bitcoin, which fell 14.67% from $93,390.22 as of December 31, 2024 to $81,444.71 as of March
31, 2025. The decrease in in the Trust’s NAV was partially offset by an increase in the number of shares outstanding from 140,070,000
on December 31, 2024 to 142,815,000 on March 31, 2025.
Net realized and change in
unrealized loss on investment in bitcoin for the period December 31, 2024 through March 31, 2025, was $(585,181) which includes a net
realized gain on investment in bitcoin of $321,579 and a net change in unrealized depreciation on investment in bitcoin of $(907,296).
Net realized and unrealized gain on investment in bitcoin for the period was driven by bitcoin price depreciation. Net decrease in net
assets resulting from operations for the period ended March 31, 2025 was $(587,548), mainly attributed to a net decrease in the number
of shares outstanding accompanied by the aforementioned net realized gain and change in unrealized depreciation on investment in bitcoin.
The Trust’s expenses for the quarter were $2,367 relating to the Sponsor’s fees.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
The Trust is not aware of
any trends, demands, commitments, events, or uncertainties that are reasonably likely to result in material changes to its liquidity needs.
The Trust’s only ordinary recurring expense is the fee paid to the Sponsor at an annual rate of 0.21% of the Trust’s total
NAV. The Sponsor agreed to waive the entire Sponsor Fee for (i) a nine-month period which commenced on January 11, 2024 (the day the Trust’s
Shares were initially listed on the Exchange), or (ii) the first $1 billion of Trust assets, whichever came first. The Trust assets exceeded
$1 billion in February 2024, at which time the waiver period ended. In exchange for the Sponsor’s fee, the Sponsor has agreed to
assume the ordinary fees and expenses incurred by the Trust, including but not limited to the following: fees charged by the Sub-Adviser,
Administrator, the Custodians, the Transfer Agent and the Trustee, the Marketing Fee, the Exchange’s listing fees, typical maintenance
and transaction fees of the Depository Trust Company (“DTC”), U.S. Securities and Exchange (“SEC”) registration
fees, printing and mailing costs, website fees, tax reporting fees, audit fees, license fees and expenses, up to $100,000 per annum in
ordinary legal fees and expenses. The Sponsor bears expenses in connection with the Trust’s organization and initial offering costs.
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The Sponsor is not required
to pay any extraordinary or non-routine expenses. Extraordinary expenses are fees and expenses which are unexpected or unusual in nature,
such as legal claims and liabilities and litigation costs or indemnification or other unanticipated expenses. Extraordinary fees and expenses
also include material expenses which are not currently anticipated obligations of the Trust. The Trust will be responsible for the payment
of such expenses to the extent any such expenses are incurred. Routine operational, administrative, and other ordinary expenses are not
deemed extraordinary expenses. The Trust will sell bitcoin on an as-needed basis to pay the Sponsor’s fee.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
The Trust does not have any
off-balance sheet arrangements.
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