Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item
2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The
following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the audited
consolidated financial statements as of December 31, 2024 and 2023 and for each of the two years in the period ended December 31, 2024,
together with related notes thereto, included in the Company’s final prospectus, dated June 12, 2025, filed with the SEC pursuant
to Rule 424(b) under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), on June 16, 2025 (the “Prospectus”),
and the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements as of September 30, 2025 and for the three and nine-month periods ended
September 30, 2025 and 2024 included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, which have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. Some of
the information contained in this discussion and analysis includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. You
should review the sections titled “Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in this Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q for a discussion of forward-looking statements and important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from the results described in or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in the following discussion and analysis.
Overview
We
are a technologically differentiated aerospace, autonomy, and air mobility platform targeting 21 st century aerospace and defense
opportunities. We leverage decades of industry expertise and connections across the drone, aviation, and avionics markets to provide
leading solutions to the aerospace and defense market. We offer connected and diversified solutions providing operational synergies across
our segments and are powered by an international footprint as well as supplier and public sector relationships. Supported by complementary
and innovative technologies, we believe we bring a unique value proposition to the market and are well-positioned to become a differentiated
leader in the industry.
Our
business is organized into four operating segments, each of which represents a critical growth vector in the aerospace and defense market:
Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. These four segments collectively target a combined total addressable market estimated
to be over $315.4 billion by 2030.
Drones .
The Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones and will provide drone services, such as DaaS, for military and commercial
end users. Our military drones are sold through our Sky-Watch brand, which is a key supplier to European NATO countries. A critical point
of differentiation lies in our drones’ ability to perform in a GPS-denied environment, which is a technology application relevant
for both military and commercial end markets.
Avionics .
The Avionics segment develops, manufactures, and sells avionics for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and eVTOLs. Our advanced
avionics products include flight displays, Connected Panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors, all of which have been installed on legacy military
aircraft and general aviation platforms. We sell our advanced avionics through our Aspen Avionics brand, which is well-recognized in
the general aviation aftermarket sector with over 20 years of operating history and long-term customer loyalty for our value proposition.
We also serve as an avionics supplier for OEMs, including Robinson Helicopters, Pilatus, and Honeywell. We believe our avionics solutions
have a considerable market opportunity as general aviation fleets continue to age, with owners and operators seeking to upgrade the avionics
technology on their aircraft.
51
Training .
The Training segment currently provides military pilot training and will provide commercial pilot training in the future. We offer professional
training and consulting services to the U.S. military, select NATO countries, and other U.S. allies under our CDI brand. These offerings
include adversary air, close air support, ISR, aircraft leasing, pilot training, ground liaison services, and JTAC, as well as full joint
theatre ISR and simulated ground strike training. We work closely with special military forces such as SEAL teams, the U.S. Naval Air
Warfare Center, and USAF Air Combat Command, and are a mandated recipient on a $5.7 billion IDIQ contract. Our personnel’s top
security clearances and established relationships at the Pentagon provide us with a differentiated ability to bid on mandates. We also
plan to offer commercial pilot training and plan to expand our non-military capabilities in response to the global pilot shortage.
Electric
Air Mobility . The Electric Air Mobility segment is developing a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo and passenger use through our Jaunt brand
for fixed route flights, on-demand trips, and cargo operations. Our R&D efforts are focused on developing a cargo eVTOL platform,
which will be a scaled-down version of our passenger eVTOL platform, and will target the attractive middle mile delivery cargo market.
Meanwhile, our long-term R&D efforts are focused on developing a full-scale multi-role eVTOL platform, which will be able to serve
both the cargo and passenger markets. We plan to certify our eVTOLs through existing CAR 529 Rotorcraft standards, with our platform
including the best attributes of both rotary and fixed wing aircraft. Our patented compound rotorcraft technology, a core point of technological
differentiation that will underpin our cargo eVTOL’s commercial capability, has over 300 piloted flight hours on multiple Jaunt
demonstrator aircraft. We believe the range and payload capabilities driven by this technology uniquely position us to provide a compelling
commercial solution for the eVTOL cargo market. Once developed and certified, we expect our cargo eVTOL program will serve as the foundation
of our commercialization efforts, with passenger applications serving as a longer-term secondary initiative.
Initial
Public Offering, Follow-on Offering and Repurchase
On
June 16, 2025, we completed the initial public offering of 6.9 million shares of our common stock (the “IPO”), which included
an additional 0.9 million shares of common stock pursuant to the full exercise of the underwriters’ option to purchase additional
shares, at an initial public offering price of $10.00 per share. Our common stock began trading on the Nasdaq Global Market under the
ticker symbol “AIRO” on June 13, 2025. The net proceeds to AIRO from the IPO, after deducting $10.7 million of underwriting
discounts and commissions, and issuance costs paid were $58.3 million.
On
September 12, 2025, the Company completed its Follow-on Offering of 4.8 million shares of its common stock, which included an additional
0.6 million shares of common stock pursuant to the full exercise of the underwriters’ option to purchase additional shares, at
an offering price of $18.50 per share. The net proceeds to AIRO from the Follow-on Offering, after deducting $6.8 million of underwriting
discounts and commissions were $82.6 million.
On
September 12, 2025, the Company repurchased 1.1 million shares, which included an additional 0.1 million shares of common stock as a result
of the underwriters’ option described above, from certain existing shareholders, including certain directors and executive officers
and their affiliates at an offering price of $17.39 per share. The proceeds to shareholders paid were $19.4 million.
Business
Combination Agreement
On
March 3, 2023, we entered into the Business Combination Agreement. On August 5, 2024, the Business Combination Agreement was terminated.
Business
Combinations
We
were formed in August 2021 for the purpose of acquiring and integrating various companies engaged in the aerospace and defense industry.
During the year ended December 31, 2022, we completed our Put-Together Transaction to acquire six companies which are now organized into
our four reportable segments, each with a diverse set of partners and customers: (i) Drones, through our subsidiaries, AIRO Drone and
Sky-Watch; (ii) Avionics, through our subsidiary, Aspen Avionics; (iii) Training, through our subsidiaries, Agile Defense and CDI; and
(iv) Electric Air Mobility, through our subsidiary, Jaunt.
52
We
acquired Agile Defense on February 25, 2022, pursuant to the terms and conditions of an Agreement and Plan of Merger by and among Agile
Defense, AIRO Group, Inc., n/k/a Old AGI, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Legacy AIRO”), us, Agile Defense Merger Sub, LLC,
and Joseph Burns as target representative, dated as of October 6, 2021, as amended, in exchange for consideration in the form of a promissory
note in the amount of $2.3 million (the “Agile Defense Promissory Note”). The Agile Defense Promissory Note bears no interest
and was originally payable within five business days following the commencement of public trading of our common stock. On October 2,
2023, the parties signed a promissory note termination agreement (the “Agile Defense Promissory Note Termination Agreement”)
whereby six of the seven note holders agreed to convert $1.4 million of the principal owed to them under the Agile Defense Promissory
Note into 34,360 shares of our common stock immediately prior to the closing of the BCA Transactions, with the remaining principal of
$0.2 million owed to such holders to be paid at the closing of the BCA Transactions. Given that the BCA Transactions were not consummated,
in connection with the Closing, we issued 34,360 shares of our common stock to satisfy our obligations pursuant to the Agile Defense
Promissory Note Termination Agreement and used proceeds of $1.0 million from the IPO to satisfy our obligations to the remaining holder
under the Agile Defense Promissory Note during the nine months ended September 30, 2025.
We
acquired AIRO Drone on February 25, 2022, pursuant to the terms and conditions of an Agreement and Plan of Merger by and among AIRO Drone,
Legacy AIRO, us, AIRO Drone Merger Sub, LLC and Joseph Burns as target representative, dated as of October 6, 2021, as amended, in exchange
for consideration in the form of a promissory note in the amount of $2.1 million (the “AIRO Drone Promissory Note”). The
AIRO Drone Promissory Note bears no interest and was originally payable within five business days following the commencement of public
trading of our common stock. On October 2, 2023, the parties signed a promissory note termination agreement (the “AIRO Drone Promissory
Note Termination Agreement”) whereby nine of the ten note holders agreed to convert approximately $1.5 million of the principal
owed to them under the AIRO Drone Promissory Note into 37,080 shares of our common stock immediately prior to the closing of the BCA
Transactions, with the remaining principal of $0.2 million owed to such holders to be paid at the closing of the BCA Transactions. Given
that the BCA Transactions were not consummated, in connection with the Closing, we issued 37,080 shares of our common stock to satisfy
our obligations pursuant to the AIRO Drone Promissory Note Termination Agreement and used proceeds of $0.6 million from the IPO to satisfy
our obligations to the remaining holder under the AIRO Drone Promissory Note and the other holders pursuant to the AIRO Drone Promissory
Note Termination Agreement during the nine months ended September 30, 2025.
We
acquired Jaunt on March 10, 2022, pursuant to the terms and conditions of an Agreement and Plan of Merger by and among Jaunt, Legacy
AIRO, us, Jaunt Merger Sub, LLC and Martin Peryea as member representative, dated as of October 6, 2021, as amended, in exchange for
consideration in the form of 3,143,001 shares of our common stock. As part of this acquisition, we acquired a contingent obligation originating
from Jaunt’s acquisition of certain patents, licenses, and other intellectual property from Carter Aviation, a former member of
Jaunt, in April 2019 (the “Jaunt Contingent Arrangement”). Under the Jaunt Contingent Arrangement, 10% of any cash receipt,
including all income, receipts, proceeds, debt or equity investment, earnings, sales, or winnings, up to $50 million is payable to Carter
Aviation. As of the acquisition date, $49.6 million in future payments remained on this obligation. The original terms of the Jaunt Contingent
Arrangement provided that upon the completion of a business combination, the contingent consideration assumed from Jaunt would be replaced
by promissory notes, the first of which would be for $23.0 million due one day after the closing of such business combination, and the
second would be for the remaining portion of the contingent consideration and would be paid over three years subsequent to such closing.
On October 27, 2023, we signed a satisfaction of indebtedness and satisfaction of covenant agreement (the “Jaunt Satisfaction of
Indebtedness and Satisfaction of Covenant Agreement”), whereby the holder agreed to convert $44.6 million of the obligations owed
to it as part of the Jaunt acquisition into 1,122,437 shares of our common stock immediately prior to the closing of the BCA Transactions,
with the remaining portion of the contingent consideration of $5.0 million owed to such holders to be paid at the closing of the BCA
Transactions. Given that the BCA Transactions were not consummated, in connection with the Closing, we issued 1,122,437 shares of our
common stock and funded $5.0 million to satisfy our obligations pursuant to the Jaunt Satisfaction of Indebtedness and Satisfaction of
Covenant Agreement during the nine months ended September 30, 2025.
53
We
acquired Sky-Watch on March 28, 2022, pursuant to the terms and conditions of an Equity Purchase Agreement by and among Sky-Watch, Legacy
AIRO, us, Dangroup ApS and Mekan I/S v/Per Pedersen & Claus Bo Jensen, dated as of October 6, 2021, as amended, in exchange for consideration
in the form of a promissory note in the amount of $12.9 million (the “Sky-Watch Promissory Note”), 524,064 shares of our
common stock and an earnout of up to $6.5 million based on performance commencing on the closing date of the acquisition through June
2024. The $6.5 million earnout was made up of $3 million that was payable on a dollar-for-dollar basis on revenue earned within the first
two-year anniversary of the acquisition and $3.5 million would become due and payable if Sky-Watch earns a minimum of $13.8 million in
revenue during the period from the acquisition date through June 2024. In December 2022, the Equity Purchase Agreement was amended to
increase the second earnout amount from $3.5 million to $7.5 million and to extend the earnout period to include the full fiscal year
periods of 2022 through 2024. In March 2023, the Equity Purchase Agreement was further amended to add a third earnout of $4.0 million
if revenue during the full fiscal year periods of 2022 through 2024 reaches $17.0 million. In March 2024, the parties further amended
the Equity Purchase Agreement, pursuant to which the former shareholders of Sky-Watch became eligible for an additional earnout of $1.0
million if Sky-Watch achieves earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”) of DKK 127,107,500
or above for fiscal year 2024. On June 28, 2024, the parties signed an amendment to the promissory notes (the “Sky-Watch Promissory
Note Amendment”) whereby (i) the remaining principal of $5.7 million payable within five business days of the date that we or our
successor closes one or more financing transactions with an aggregate value of at least $35.0 million and (ii) the remaining earnout
liability is payable within five business days following the date that the we, or our successor, closes one or more financing transactions
with an aggregate value of at least $45.0 million with interest continuing to accrue on the earned but unpaid earnout amounts at the
federal discount rate plus 5.0%, compounded quarterly. In December 2024, we made a $13.9 million payment which resulted in a remaining
balance of $3.1 million as of December 31, 2024. During the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we funded $3.2 million to satisfy our
obligations under these agreements.
We
acquired Aspen Avionics on April 1, 2022, pursuant to the terms and conditions of an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Aspen Merger
Agreement”) by and among Aspen, Legacy AIRO, us, Aspen Merger Sub, Inc. and John Uczekaj as target representative, dated as of
October 6, 2021, as amended, in exchange for consideration in the form of 1,515,151 shares of our common stock. As part of this transaction,
we agreed to assume $25.3 million of obligations, which primarily included $19.4 million related to the Aspen Notes, $2.9 million related
to the Aspen Carveout Contingency and $1.9 million attributable to future allowable services or to be payable to the former Aspen Avionics
shareholders at the Closing (“Aspen Contingent Debt”).
On
October 6, 2023, we signed a satisfaction of indebtedness and satisfaction of covenant agreement (the “Aspen Satisfaction of Indebtedness
and Satisfaction of Covenant Agreement”), whereby all of the holders agreed to convert various amounts due, which included $17.5
million under the Aspen Notes, $0.8 million related to the cash portion of Aspen Carveout Contingency, and $1.7 million attributable
to the Aspen Contingent Debt into 440,584 shares, 43,512 shares and 20,010 shares, respectively, of our common stock immediately prior
to the closing of the BCA Transactions, with the remaining amount of $2.2 million owed to such holders to be paid at the closing of the
BCA Transactions. The 2021 Management Carveout Plan also provides for a $2.0 million Aspen Carveout Stock Obligation which equates to
51,309 shares that is also due at the closing of a business combination. Given that the BCA Transactions were not consummated, in connection
with the Closing, during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we issued an aggregate of 484,096 shares of our common stock to partially
satisfy our obligations to the holders under the Aspen Satisfaction of Indebtedness and Satisfaction of Covenant Agreement. During July
2025, we issued the 71,319 shares of our common stock based on the amended Satisfaction of Indebtedness and Satisfaction of Covenant
Agreement dated June 30, 2025 and used proceeds of $0.1 million to satisfy our obligations to the participants in the Aspen Carveout
Plan. During the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we funded $1.9 million of the Aspen Bridge Notes and signed an agreement to fund
the remaining $0.2 million related to the Aspen Contingent Debt by December 1, 2025.
54
We
acquired CDI on April 26, 2022, pursuant to the terms and conditions of an Agreement and Plan of Merger by and among CDI, Legacy AIRO,
us, Coastal Merger Sub, Inc. and Jeffrey Parker as target representative, dated as of October 6, 2021, as amended, in exchange for consideration
in the form of a promissory note in the amount of $10.1 million (the “CDI Promissory Note”) and 1,069,514 shares of our common
stock. The CDI Promissory Note bears no interest and was originally payable within five business days following the commencement of public
trading of our common stock. On October 17, 2023, the parties signed a promissory note termination agreement (the “CDI Promissory
Note Termination Agreement”), as amended on March 7, 2025, whereby all of the holders agreed to convert $8.1 million of the principal
owed to them under the CDI Promissory Note into 203,707 shares of our common stock immediately prior to the closing of an initial public
offering, with the remaining principal of $2.0 million owed to such holders to be paid at the closing of an initial public offering.
During the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we issued 203,707 shares and funded $2.0 million to fully satisfy our obligations to
the holders of the CDI Promissory Note Termination Agreement.
Key
Factors Affecting Our Performance
Our
financial condition and results of operations have been, and will continue to be, affected by a number of factors, including the following.
Global
Supply Chain
We
are dependent on a global supply chain and in recent years have experienced supply chain disruptions that resulted in delays and increased
costs which adversely affected our performance. These disruptions impacted our ability to procure raw materials, microelectronics, and
certain commodities on a timely basis and/or at expected prices, and have been driven by supply chain market constraints and macroeconomic
conditions, including inflation and labor market shortages. Current geopolitical conditions, including conflicts and other causes of
strained intercountry relations, as well as sanctions and other trade restrictive activities, continue to contribute to these issues.
Furthermore, our suppliers and subcontractors have been impacted by these same issues. We also experience periodic shortages of electronic
and mechanical parts. Management continues to proactively manage the supply and transportation of parts during regular sales inventory
and operations meetings. This proactive planning is an integral part of our normal operations and has allowed us to anticipate potential
shortages and introduce redundancy along our supply chain. These mitigation efforts have not introduced new material risks related to
product quality, reliability or regulatory approval of products. We continue to monitor the condition of our supply chain and evaluate
our procurement strategy to reduce any negative impact on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. We have implemented
actions and programs designed to mitigate the impacts of supply chain disruptions, but anticipate that we and others in our industry
will continue to face such challenges for the foreseeable future. The supply chain disruptions discussed above did not materially impact
our outlook, business goals, results of operations or capital resources during 2024 or the first six months of 2025.
During
the quarter ended September 30, 2025, a key customer requested a configuration change to dual-band antennas on certain RQ-35 systems.
Under our revenue recognition policy, transfer of control had not occurred for the affected units as of September 30, 2025. We are qualifying
additional antenna suppliers and are implementing dual-sourcing to reduce component risk. The antenna update also requires incremental
retrofit and related services which are accounted for as a separate performance obligation.
55
Geopolitical
Matters
We
operate in a complex and evolving global security environment, and our business is affected by geopolitical and security issues. Conflicts,
including the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, conflicts in the Middle East and heightened tension in the Pacific region, have elevated
global security concerns resulting in increased interest for our products and services as countries seek to improve their security posture.
In addition, security assistance provided by NATO and its allies to Ukraine has increased demand to replenish NATO stockpiles, resulting
in additional and potential future orders, including for the ramp-up in production capacity for certain products. We continue to expect
additional orders over the next several years attributable to the global threat environment.
Economic
Environment
Our
business and financial performance is also affected by elevated levels of inflation and interest rates. Certain costs, including rising
labor rates and supplier costs, have increased as a result of inflation, and have adversely affected our margins on certain programs.
Due to the nature of our government and commercial aerospace businesses, and their respective customer and supplier contracts, we are
not always able to offset cost increases by increasing our contract value or pricing, in particular on our fixed-price contracts. Increasing
material, component, and labor prices could subject us to losses in our fixed price contracts in the event of cost overruns. In addition,
higher interest rates have increased the cost of borrowing and tightened the availability of capital. Among other things, these effects
can affect our ability to acquire equipment and constrain our customers’ purchasing power and decrease orders for our products
and services and impact the ability of our customers to make payments and of our suppliers to perform. Moreover, volatility in interest
rates and financial markets can lead to economic uncertainty, an economic downturn or recession and impact the demand for our products
and services as well as our supply chain.
Development
of the Electric Air Mobility Market
Our
revenue will be tied to the continued development of short distance aerial transportation. While we believe the global market for electric
air mobility will be large, it remains undeveloped and there is no guarantee of future demand. We anticipate receiving certification
of our 33% downscaled cargo eVTOL under drone rules as early as 2027 and expect our first passenger production aircraft to be certified
by the TCCA under existing CAR 529 Transport Category Rotorcraft airworthiness rules as early as 2031. Our business will require significant
investment leading up to launching these services, including, but not limited to, final engineering designs, prototyping and testing,
manufacturing, software development, certification, pilot training, infrastructure and commercialization. We benefit from supplier cost
sharing, whereby our suppliers have agreed to defer their non-recurring engineering costs until commercialization, which has reduced
our initial funding requirements prior to commercialization.
Key
Components of Results of Operations
Revenue
Revenue
consists primarily of product sales, fees for consulting services, licensing revenue, warranty sales and after sale services. A majority
of our revenue is derived from the Drones segment. To date, our Electric Air Mobility segment has not generated material revenue.
Cost
of Revenue
Cost
of revenue includes direct labor (including salary, benefits and taxes), material costs and indirect production costs. Indirect production
costs include indirect labor, purchasing, quality and manufacturing leadership, consumables, freight, charges for inventory reserves
and amortization of intangible assets. We expect our cost of revenue to fluctuate based on a number of factors including, among others,
availability and ability to obtain suitable aircraft, availability and cost of raw materials, such as lithium, and fluctuations in the
labor market, in particular with respect to individuals who are highly skilled and specialized, such as pilots, and foreign currency
exchange rates.
56
Operating
Expenses
Research
and Development
Research
and development (“R&D”) expenses consist primarily of personnel expenses, including salaries, benefits, costs of consulting,
equipment and materials, direct allocable overhead costs, including staff development cost, travel costs and technology costs, and amortization
of intangible assets. We expect our R&D expenses to increase as we continue to invest in our infrastructure and technology and seek
to develop new products and services.
Sales
and Marketing
Sales
and marketing expenses include salary, benefits and taxes, commissions, travel, costs of leased airplanes, advertising, trade shows and
amortization of intangible assets. We expect our sales and marketing expenses to increase as we seek to build out our capabilities in
these areas to acquire new customers.
General
and Administrative
General
and administrative expenses include costs of executive leadership, corporate governance, consulting fees, accounting and finance operations,
travel, and support functions, including human resources and information technology. We expect our general and administrative expenses
to increase as we incur additional costs associated with being a public company and certain terms of our consulting and incentive agreements
become effective.
Goodwill
Impairment
Goodwill
represents the excess of the aggregate purchase price over the fair value of net identifiable assets acquired in a business combination.
We manage our business primarily based upon four operating segments: (i) Drones, (ii) Avionics, (iii) Training and (iv) Electric Air
Mobility, each of which represents a reportable segment. See “—Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates—Goodwill”
for additional information.
Other
Income (Expense)
Interest
Expense, Net
Interest
expense, net consists primarily of the interest expense from borrowings relating to revolving lines of credit with external banks and
third-party notes, net of interest income earned on invested cash balances.
Gain
on Debt Extinguishment, Net
Gain
on debt extinguishment, net includes gains and losses on debt extinguishments.
Other
Income (Expense), Net
Other
income (expense), net includes changes in fair value on contingent consideration obligations and foreign currency exchange adjustments
based on the terms of payments related an earnout obligation.
57
Income
Tax (Expense) Benefit
Income
tax (expense) benefit primarily consists of income taxes in certain foreign jurisdictions in which we conduct business.
Non-GAAP
Financial Measures
To
supplement our condensed consolidated financial statements prepared and presented in accordance with GAAP, we use EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA
and Adjusted EBITDA margin, as described below, to facilitate analysis of our financial and business trends and for internal planning
and forecasting purposes.
We
define (1) EBITDA as net income (loss) before interest expense, income tax expense or provision, depreciation and amortization, (2) Adjusted
EBITDA as net income (loss) before interest expense, income tax expense or provision, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation,
contingent consideration fair value adjustments and impairments, and (3) Adjusted EBITDA margin as Adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue.
The above items are excluded from our Adjusted EBITDA measure because these items are either non-cash in nature, or because the amount
and timing of these items is unpredictable, or because they are not driven by core results of operations, thereby rendering comparisons
with prior periods and competitors less meaningful. We believe Adjusted EBITDA provides useful information to investors and others in
understanding and evaluating our results of operations, as well as provides a useful measure for period-to-period comparisons of our
business performance. Moreover, we have included Adjusted EBITDA in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q because it is a key measurement
used by our management internally to make operating decisions, including those related to analyzing operating expenses, evaluating performance,
and performing strategic planning and annual budgeting.
These
non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as alternatives to performance measures derived in accordance with GAAP. Our presentation
of these non-GAAP financial measures should not be construed to imply that our future results will be unaffected by items that are excluded
from these metrics. In addition, our definitions of these non-GAAP financial measures may be different from similarly titled non-GAAP
measures used by other companies. These non-GAAP financial measures have limitations as an analytical tool, and you should not consider
any of these non-GAAP financial measures in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. Some of
these limitations are that our non-GAAP financial measures:
●
do
not reflect our interest expense, or the cash requirements necessary to service interest or principal payments, on our debt;
●
exclude
depreciation and amortization expense, and although these are non-cash expenses, the assets being depreciated may have to be replaced
in the future, increasing our cash requirements; and
●
do
not reflect provision for or benefit from income taxes that reduces cash available to us.
Because
of these limitations, we consider, and you should consider, the non-GAAP financial measures alongside other financial performance measures,
including net income (loss) and our other GAAP results. A reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss), and Adjusted
EBITDA Margin to net income (loss) margin, the most directly comparable financial measures stated in accordance with GAAP, is provided
below. Investors are encouraged to review the related GAAP financial measures and the reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure
to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
58
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months
Ended September 30,
(in thousands, except percentages)
2025
2024
2025
2024
Net loss
$ (7,962 )
$ (30,331 )
$ (4,065 )
$ (37,940 )
Depreciation and amortization
2,910
3,134
9,035
9,478
Income tax (benefit) expense
(613 )
2,383
1,731
3,811
Interest (income) expense, net
(80 )
1,675
9,198
2,917
EBITDA
(5,745 )
(23,139 )
15,899
(21,734 )
Gain on extinguishment
-
-
(15,559 )
-
Stock-based compensation
1,092
122
19,855
593
Contingent consideration fair value adjustments
-
(4,100 )
(20,272 )
(2,400 )
Warrant fair value adjustment
-
-
(1,843 )
-
Goodwill impairment
-
37,994
-
37,994
IPO contingencies 1
(3,391 )
-
(1,322 )
-
Adjusted EBITDA
$ (8,044 )
$ 10,877
$ (3,242 )
$ 14,453
Net loss margin
(126.7 )%
(128.1 )%
(9.5 )%
(80.4 )%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
(128.0 )%
45.9 %
(7.6 )%
30.6 %
1
IPO contingencies for the three months ended September 30, 2025 are made up of a $1.2 million charge related to the Libertas warrants,
net of a $4.5 million gain on deferred compensation. IPO contingencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 are made up of $1.0
million related to Kipps, $0.8 million related to the legal settlement, $0.5 million legal accrual, $0.2 million for NGA, $0.3 million
bonus, $0.6 million Aspen contingent debt, $1.2 million charge related to the Libertas warrants, $0.1 million cash portion of the Aspen
carve-out, net of a $5.9 million gain on deferred compensation.
Results
of Operations
Three
and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025 and 2024
The
following table shows our consolidated financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024:
Three months ended
September 30,
Period over period change
(in thousands, except percentages)
2025
2024
$
%
Revenue
$ 6,284
$ 23,685
$ (17,401 )
(73.5 )%
Cost of revenue
3,494
7,404
(3,910 )
(52.8 )%
Gross profit
2,790
16,281
(13,491 )
(82.9 )%
Operating expenses
Research and development
4,124
3,259
865
26.5 %
Sales and marketing
1,603
1,557
46
3.0 %
General and administrative
9,043
3,839
5,204
135.6 %
Goodwill impairment
-
37,994
(37,994 )
(100.0 )%
Total operating expenses
14,770
46,649
(31,879 )
(68.3 )%
Loss from operations
(11,980 )
(30,368 )
18,388
60.6 %
Other income (expense):
Interest income (expense)
80
(1,675 )
1,755
104.8 %
Other income (expense), net
3,325
4,095
(770 )
(18.8 )%
Total other income
3,405
2,420
985
40.7 %
Net loss before income tax benefit
(8,575 )
(27,948 )
19,373
69.3 %
Income tax benefit (expense)
613
(2,383 )
2,996
125.7 %
Net loss
$ (7,962 )
$ (30,331 )
$ 22,369
73.7 %
59
Nine months ended
September 30,
Period over period change
(in thousands, except percentages)
2025
2024
$
%
Revenue
$ 42,629
$ 47,206
$ (4,577 )
(9.7 )%
Cost of revenue
17,872
16,662
1,210
7.3 %
Gross profit
24,757
30,544
(5,787 )
(18.9 )%
Operating expenses
Research and development
11,891
9,577
2,314
24.2 %
Sales and marketing
4,794
4,218
576
13.7 %
General and administrative
42,822
12,280
30,542
248.7 %
Goodwill impairment
-
37,994
(37,994 )
(100.0 )%
Total operating expenses
59,507
64,069
(4,562 )
(7.1 )%
Loss from operations
(34,750 )
(33,525 )
(1,225 )
(3.7 )%
Other income (expense):
Interest income (expense)
(9,198 )
(2,917 )
(6,281 )
(215.3 )%
Gain on debt extinguishment
15,559
-
15,559
100.0 %
Other income
26,055
2,313
23,742
N.m.
Total other income (expense)
32,416
(604 )
33,020
N.m.
Net loss before income tax benefit
(2,334 )
(34,129 )
31,795
93.2 %
Income tax benefit (expense)
(1,731 )
(3,811 )
2,080
54.6 %
Net loss
$ (4,065 )
$ (37,940 )
$ 33,875
89.3 %
N.m.
– Not meaningful
Revenue
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, the $17.4 million decrease in revenue was due to a $17.8 million
decrease in the Drones segment and a $0.5 million decrease in the Avionics segment partially offset by a $0.9 million increase in
the Training segment. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, the $4.6 million decrease in revenue was due to
a $3.7 million decrease in the Drones segment and a $2.0 million decrease in the Avionics segment partially offset by a $1.2 million
increase in the Training segment. The Drones decline was driven primarily by shipment timing as the planned third quarter deliveries
were delayed after a key customer requested a configuration change to dual-band antennas. Our incumbent supplier was unable to
provide the required units in time to complete deliveries scheduled to be delivered during the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
Avionics revenue reflects deliberate sequencing of R&D and commercialization activities during the period to prioritize drone
production. Training revenue continues to reflect deferred aircraft acquisitions; the segment benefited from a biennial government
contract with higher margins associated with ground target vehicle programs. Following the Company’s completed equity
offerings, we have begun reinitiating targeted investments in Avionics and Training.
Cost
of Revenue
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, cost of revenue decreased by $3.9 million primarily due to a $4.3 million
and a $0.4 million decrease in cost of revenue within the Drones and Avionics segments, respectively, offset by an increase of $0.7 million
in cost of revenue within the Training segment. Gross margin was 44.4% during the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 68.7%
during the same period in 2024. This 24.3% point decrease in gross margin was primarily attributable to an 8.4% decrease in the margin
within the Drones segment primarily due to product discounting and the mix of products sold during the period. The Training segment margin
increased 4.7% due to the higher profitability of the ground target vehicles contract and the Avionics segment had a 2.5% increase in
margin due to favorable operating variances.
60
For
the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, cost of revenue increased by $1.2 million primarily due to a $1.8 million
and a $0.9 million increase in cost of revenue within the Drones and Training segments, respectively, offset by a decrease of $1.5 million
within the Avionics segment. Gross margin decreased from 64.7% to 58.1% during the nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively,
with the decrease in the Drones segment margin partially offset by increases in margins within the Training and Avionics segments as
discussed above.
Operating
Expenses
Research
and Development
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, R&D expense increased $0.9 million primarily due to a $0.6 million increase
and a $0.3 million increase within the Drones segment and Avionics segment, respectively. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025
compared to 2024, R&D expense increased $2.3 million primarily due to increases within the Drones segment. Increases within the Drones
segment were primarily due to increased personnel and other costs.
Sales
and Marketing
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, sales and marketing expense remained relatively flat at $1.6 million. For
the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, sales and marketing expense increased $0.6 million primarily due to a $0.5
million increase within the Drones segment. Increases within the Drones segment were primarily due to increased personnel costs.
General
and Administrative
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, general and administrative expense increased $5.2 million primarily due to
a $4.1 million increase in corporate costs such rent, insurance, and recruiting fees as well as $1.3 million of compensation and $0.9
million of equity compensation.
For
the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, general and administrative expense increased $30.5 million primarily due to
a $17.1 million increase in corporate costs which included $7.7 million of equity compensation, $0.5 million of bonus compensation, $1.0
million of advisory services and $1.3 million of legal settlement accruals, all of which were contingent upon the IPO, $2.1 million increase
in incentive and consulting fees at the corporate level related to the expansion of the Drones segment, $1.0 million of bonus compensation
and $3.5 million of other corporate costs. There was also a $2.1 million increase within the Drones segment, a $10.3 million increase
within the Training segment, and a $1.8 million increase within the Avionics segment partially offset by a $0.8 million decrease within
the Electric Air Mobility segment. Increases within the Drones segment were primarily due to increases in personnel and other costs.
Increases within the Avionics segment and Training segment were primarily attributable to equity compensation. The $0.8 million decrease
within the Electric Air Mobility segment was due to cost reduction initiatives in the business.
Interest
Expense, Net
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025, we had interest income of $0.1 million compared to interest expense of $1.7 million for
the three months ended September 30, 2024 which was primarily due to the interest of the amounts due to Sky Watch as described in
Note 12 to our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, we had interest expense, net, of $9.2 million and $2.9 million,
respectively. The interest for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was primarily attributable to the interest paid in shares on
the investor notes which totaled $6.7 million and additional interest paid on borrowings with WebBank and Libertas. The 2024
interest was primarily attributable to interest accrued on investor notes.
61
Gain
on extinguishment of debt, net
For
the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we had a gain on debt extinguishment, net of $15.6 million which was the result of the partial
settlement in equity of the Aspen bridge notes which resulted in a $13.1 million gain and a $5.7 million gain on settlement of certain
investor notes at fair value, partially offset by losses on debt extinguishment of a combined $3.2 million for WebBank and Libertas.
Other
Income (Expense), Net
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, we had $3.3 million of other income, primarily due to $4.5 million of income
from the settlement of deferred compensation offset by a $1.2 million charge related to Libertas warrants as compared to $4.1 million
of other income during the three months ended September 30, 2024, which was primarily due to the decrease in the fair value of the Jaunt
Contingent Arrangement.
For
the nine months ended September 30, 2025 compared to 2024, we had $26.1 million of other income, primarily due to $20.3 million of income
from fair value adjustments on contingent consideration, $1.8 million of income from a fair value adjustment on the Libertas warrants
and $4.5 million of income from the settlement of deferred compensation offset by a $1.2 million charge related to Libertas warrants
and a $0.6 million contingency recorded related to the Aspen contingent debt as compared to $2.3 million of other income during the nine
months ended September 30, 2024, which was primarily due to the decrease in the fair value of the Jaunt Contingent Arrangement.
Income
Tax Expense
For
the three months ended September 30, 2025, our income tax benefit was $0.6 million as compared to $2.4 million of income tax expense
for the three months ended September 30, 2024. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, our income tax expense was $1.7
million and $3.8 million, respectively. Tax expense for both nine month periods ended September 30, 2025 and 2024 as well as for the
three months ended September 30, 2024 was primarily attributable to Sky-Watch generating positive pre-tax income. The tax benefit for
the three months ended September 30, 2025 was attributable to lower pre-tax income.
Liquidity
and Capital Resources
As
of September 30, 2025, we had cash and restricted cash of $83.7 million, of which $0.2 million was either restricted or was designated
exclusively for Sky-Watch operations, and working capital of $74.5 million.
Based
on its current operating plan and available liquidity, management believes that the Company has sufficient cash and resources to meet
its obligations and continue its operations for at least the next 12 months from the date of issuance of the financial statements.
The
Company is evaluating opportunistic debt financing to support growth initiatives; any proceeds, if obtained, would be used to expand
our market position, pursue strategic opportunities, and support revenue growth and long-term profitability.
Investor
Notes
As
of September 30, 2025, we had third party obligations of $2.8 million of Investor Notes as described within Note 2 to our unaudited condensed
consolidated financial statements which is due 190 days from the IPO; $3.8 million of Investor Notes as described in Note 12 to our unaudited
condensed consolidated financial statements which are due 190 days from the IPO; and $1.7 million of Investor Notes which we have elected
to record using the fair value election as further described in Note 2 to our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.
During July 2025, we amended certain Investor Notes such that $1.8 million inclusive of a $0.1 million extension fee, is due December
16, 2025. During the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we issued 1.1 million shares related to the Investor Notes and paid $3.0 million
out of IPO proceeds.
62
Dangroup
Incentive Agreement
In
June 2024, we entered the Dangroup Incentive Agreement with Dangroup, whereby we agreed to pay Dangroup 20% of Sky-Watch’s EBITDA
as an incentive bonus for their continued involvement in Sky-Watch’s governance, management and/or other operations, commencing
on January 1, 2025 for an initial term of five years, which shall renew upon mutual agreement of the parties. In December 2024, we amended
the Dangroup Incentive Agreement, whereby we agreed to transfer to Dangroup shares of our common stock immediately prior to the completion
of the IPO such that Dangroup’s ownership would be increased to 5% of our capital stock on a fully diluted basis. During the nine
months ended September 30, 2025, we issued 0.5 million shares to Dangroup in satisfaction of this agreement.
Cash
Flows
The
following summarizes our cash flows for the periods indicated:
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
(in thousands)
2025
2024
Net cash used in operating activities
$ (36,521 )
(2,453 )
Net cash used in investing activities
(2,007 )
(551 )
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
97,463
(1,364 )
Net
Cash Used in Operating Activities
Net
cash used in operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 totaled $36.5 million, and was primarily due to positive non-cash
adjustments including stock-based compensation, non-cash interest, legal settlement, charge related to Libertas warrants, and depreciation
and amortization, offset by negative non-cash adjustments of gains of IPO transactions, debt extinguishment and fair value adjustments
of contingent consideration and warrant liability and working capital adjustments, primarily consisting of the changes in accounts receivable,
prepaid expenses and other assets, inventory, accounts payable, accrued expenses and other long-term liabilities and deferred revenue.
Net cash used in operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 totaled $2.5 million which was due to a net loss of $37.9 million
and a change in working capital adjustments, primarily the change in deferred revenue, accounts receivable, inventory, prepaid expenses,
net of changes in accounts payable, accrued expenses and other long-term liabilities and deferred compensation and by positive non-cash
adjustments of goodwill impairment, depreciation and amortization, interest, and stock- based compensation, net of a negative non-cash
adjustment for change in fair value of the contingent consideration.
Net
Cash Used in Investing Activities
Cash
of $2.0 million and $0.6 million was used in investing activities during the nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively,
to purchase property and equipment and intangible assets.
Net
Cash Provided by (Used in) Financing Activities
Net
cash provided by financing activities during the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was $97.5 million primarily due to $58.3 million
of proceeds from the IPO net of issuance costs, $83.3 million of proceeds from the Follow-on Offering net of issuance costs, $8.5 million
of proceeds from the Libertas warrants and WebBank loans that were partially offset by $20.0 million of stock repurchases, $20.9 million
of debt repayments on borrowings and related borrowings, $8.5 million of contingent consideration payments and $3.2 million in payments
due to seller. Net cash used in financing activities during the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was $1.4 million, primarily due
to payments made to the sellers of Sky-Watch that were partially offset primarily by the proceeds from borrowings and related party borrowings,
net of repayments.
63
Critical
Accounting Policies and Estimates
Our
condensed consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States.
The preparation of these condensed consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported
amounts of assets, liabilities, revenue, costs and expenses, and related disclosures. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our estimates
and assumptions. Our actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. We believe that of our
significant accounting policies, which are described in Note 1 “The Company and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies”
to our condensed consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, the following accounting
policies and specific estimates involve a greater degree of judgment and complexity. Accordingly, these are the policies and estimates
we believe are the most critical to aid in fully understanding and evaluating our consolidated financial condition and results of operations:
●
the
standalone selling price (“SSP”) of performance obligations for revenue contracts with multiple performance obligations;
●
the
fair value of assets acquired and liabilities assumed for business combinations;
●
goodwill
impairment;
●
impairment
of indefinite lived and long-lived assets;
●
valuation
of debt;
●
stock-based
compensation;
●
inventory
valuation; and
●
the
recognition, measurement and valuation of current and deferred income taxes and uncertain tax positions.
As
described more fully below, these estimates bear the risk of change due to the inherent uncertainty of the estimate. We base our estimates
and judgments on historical experience, industry benchmarking information, and on various other factors that we believe to be reasonable
under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities
that are not readily apparent from other sources.
These
estimates may change, as new events occur and additional information is obtained, and such changes will be recognized in the condensed
consolidated financial statements as soon as they become known. Actual results could differ from these estimates and any such differences
may be material to our condensed consolidated financial statements.
Revenue
Recognition
We
recognize revenue when, or as, we satisfy performance obligations by transferring promised products or services to our customers in an
amount that reflects the consideration we expect to receive. We apply the following five steps: (i) identify the contract with a customer,
(ii) identify the performance obligations in the contract, (iii) determine the transaction price, (iv) allocate the transaction price
to the performance obligations in the contract, and (v) recognize revenue when a performance obligation is satisfied. We account for
a contract with a customer when there is a legally enforceable contract, the rights of the parties are identified, the contract has commercial
terms, and collectability of the contract consideration is probable.
64
For
certain sales, we have contracts with customers that include multiple performance obligations. For these contracts, we account for individual
performance obligations separately, by allocating the contract’s total transaction price to each performance obligation in an amount
based on the relative SSP of each distinct good or service in the contract. We determine the SSP based on our overall pricing objectives,
taking into consideration market conditions. Determining whether products or services are considered distinct performance obligations
that should be accounted for separately versus together may require significant judgment. A contract’s transaction price is allocated
to each distinct performance obligation and recognized as revenue when, or as, the performance obligation is satisfied. Revenue is recognized
when control of the promised services is transferred to the customer in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled
to receive in exchange for those services. Our contracts do not include highly variable components. The timing of revenue recognition,
billings, and cash collections can result in billed accounts receivable, unbilled receivables (contract assets), and deferred revenue
(contract liabilities). The costs to obtain contracts, primarily commission expenses, are expensed when incurred.
Amounts
that are invoiced are recorded in accounts receivable and revenue or deferred revenue, depending on whether the revenue recognition criteria
have been met. A large portion of our sales result in partial prepayments prior to shipment from customers. Otherwise, customer invoices
generally have payment terms of net 30 days and do not have a significant financing component.
Our
revenue is derived from various sources: (i) avionics products consisting primarily of hardware with embedded firmware sold to an authorized
dealer network and avionics and GNSS products sold to OEMs, (ii) R&D projects, (iii) sales-based royalties related to GNSS technology
licensed to OEMs, (iv) consultation and training services related to aerial integration and close air support providing the latest tactics,
technique, and procedures to incorporate contract close air support/intelligence surveillance reconnaissance with video downlink systems
into tactical operations, (v) technology and equipment sales (vi) mUAS, commonly referred to as “commercial drones,” sales,
including hardware, software, training, support and product service, and (vii) drone services, including surveys, imaging, security,
and other drone applications.
Business
Combinations
We
account for acquired businesses using the purchase method of accounting. Under the purchase method, our condensed consolidated financial
statements include the financial results of an acquired business starting from the date the acquisition is completed. In addition, the
assets acquired, liabilities assumed, and any contingent consideration must be recorded at the date of acquisition at their respective
estimated fair values, with any excess of the purchase price over the estimated fair values of the net assets acquired recorded as goodwill.
Significant judgment is required in estimating the fair value of contingent consideration and intangible assets and in assigning their
respective useful lives. Accordingly, we typically obtain the assistance of third-party valuation specialists for significant acquisitions.
The fair value estimates are based on available historical information and on future expectations and assumptions deemed reasonable by
management but are inherently uncertain.
We
use a discounted cash flow analysis given probability and estimated timing of payout to determine the fair value of contingent consideration
on the date of acquisition. Significant changes in the discount rate used could affect the accuracy of the fair value calculation. Contingent
consideration is adjusted based on experience in subsequent periods and the impact of changes related to assumptions are recorded in
operating expenses as incurred.
We
typically use an income method to estimate the fair value of intangible assets, which is based on forecasts of the expected future cash
flows attributable to the respective assets. Significant estimates and assumptions inherent in the valuations reflect a consideration
of other marketplace participants and include the amount and timing of future cash flows (including expected growth rates and profitability),
the underlying product or technology life cycles, the economic barriers to entry, and the discount rate applied to the cash flows. Unanticipated
market or macroeconomic events and circumstances may result in a triggering event for which we would test for impairment.
65
Goodwill
Goodwill
represents the excess of the aggregate purchase price over the fair value of net identifiable assets acquired in a business combination.
We manage our business primarily based upon four operating segments: (i) Drones, (ii) Avionics, (iii) Training and (iv) Electric Air
Mobility, each of which represents a reportable segment. We have determined that each reportable segment represents a reporting unit
and, in accordance with ASC 350, each reporting unit requires an allocation of goodwill. We will continue to reevaluate reportable and
operating segments.
Goodwill
is not amortized and is tested at the reporting unit level for impairment on an annual basis or whenever events or changes in circumstances
indicate that the carrying value may not be recoverable. We have selected October 1 st as the date to perform our annual impairment
test. In the valuation of goodwill, management must make assumptions regarding estimated future cash flows to be derived from our business.
If these estimates or their related assumptions change in the future, we may be required to record an impairment for these assets. Management
may first evaluate qualitative factors to assess if it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its
carrying amount and to determine if an impairment test is necessary. Management may choose to proceed directly to the evaluation, bypassing
the initial qualitative assessment. The impairment test involves comparing the fair value of the reporting unit to which goodwill is
allocated to its net book value, including goodwill. A goodwill impairment loss would be the amount by which a reporting unit’s
carrying value exceeds its fair value, however, the loss recognized should not exceed the total amount of goodwill allocated to that
reporting unit. No goodwill impairment charges were recorded for the three or nine months ended September 30, 2025. We recorded goodwill
impairment charges of $38.0 million during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024.
2024
Impairment Test
As
a result of the termination of our Business Combination Agreement and related transactions (the “BCA Transactions”) in August
2024 and the continued delays in securing financing, we determined it appropriate to test the fair value of each reporting unit for goodwill
impairment as of September 30, 2024 for all of our reporting units except Avionics as no goodwill had been allocated to this reporting
unit. We determined that the fair value of the Drones reporting unit substantially exceeded its respective carrying value. The Electric
Air Mobility and Training reporting unit fair values indicated goodwill impairment as detailed below.
Drones
Electric
AirMobility
Training
Goodwill
carrying value as of September 30, 2024
$
115.8
million
$
451.4
million
$
36.5
million
Fair
value of reporting unit as of September 30, 2024
$
185.1
million
$
510.2
million
$
25.1
million
Carrying
value of reporting unit as of September 30, 2024
$
133.5
million
$
527.2
million
$
46.1
million
Impairment
as of September 30, 2024
$
—
$
17.0
million
$
21.0
million
Estimates
and assumptions varied between each reporting unit depending on the facts and circumstances specific to that reporting unit. The discount
rate for each reporting unit is influenced by general market conditions as well as factors specific to the reporting unit. The fair value
of the reporting units for which we performed quantitative impairment tests was estimated using an income approach, which incorporates
the use of the discounted cash flow method. Projections used require the use of significant estimates and assumptions specific to the
reporting unit as well as those based on general economic conditions. Factors specific to each reporting unit include revenue growth,
profit margins, terminal value growth rates, capital expenditures projections, assumed tax rates, discount rates and other assumptions
deemed reasonable by management. For the 2024 impairment test, the WACC discount rates we used for our reporting units was 30%-35% and
the terminal value growth rate was 4%. The terminal value growth rate represents the expected long-term growth rate for our industry,
which incorporates the type of services each reporting unit provides as well as the global economy. Other factors influencing the revenue
growth rates include the nature of the services the reporting unit provides for its clients, the geographic locations in which the reporting
unit conducts business and the maturity of the reporting unit.
66
Specific
to the Electric Air Mobility segment’s projections as of September 30, 2024, projected revenue was revised to include projected
aircraft production timing for the Jaunt Journey in 2031 as compared to a previous estimate of 2028 and further incorporated production
of a cargo UAV (a smaller cargo derivative of the Jaunt Journey) in 2027. Projected revenue in years 1 and 2 of commercialization of
the cargo UAV as of September 30, 2024 were added to our September 30, 2024 projections based on an estimated assumed selling price and
expected production levels of approximately 240 units over the two-year period. Projected revenue in years 1 and 2 of commercialization
( i.e., 2028 and 2029 ) of the Jaunt Journey as of October 1, 2023 was based on a sales price that was in line with the negotiated
pricing contained in our non-binding letters of intent and projected volume of 630 units over the same two-year period. Following the
revision of the estimated commercialization date to 2031, the escalation rate utilized in our original projections continued to be consistently
applied. Accordingly, such escalation rate was applied to the original estimated selling price in 2028 for a period of three additional
years (i.e., 2028 to 2031). As a result, the sales price in the revised estimated first year of commercialization (2031) increased compared
to prior projections. Revenue projections for both programs were based on increasing production quantities year-over-year that max out
at approximately 400 units per year for the cargo UAV and 3,000 units per year for the Jaunt Journey at a single production facility,
and a per-unit sales price that increases over time assuming a 1.5% escalation rate. The foregoing escalation rate and production volume
of the Jaunt Journey remained consistent with prior year projections.
EBITDA
projections as of September 30, 2024 were developed using estimates of manufacturing costs, production hours per unit, learning curves
and subsequent efficiencies, and operating costs. While mid-term and long-term EBITDA projections at maximum capacity have not significantly
changed compared to our prior year testing date of October 1, 2023, the impact of delaying the projected cash flows from the Jaunt Journey
as a result of a later expected commercialization date resulted in a decrease in the fair value of the Electric Air Mobility segment,
which indicated impairment. Projected EBITDA as of October 1, 2023 gave effect to net research and development costs expected to be incurred
between 2024 and 2027 leading up to the commercialization of the Jaunt Journey aircraft and assumed positive EBITDA during the two years
following commercialization. Projected EBITDA as of September 30, 2024 gave effect to net research and development costs expected to
be incurred (i) between 2025 and 2028 leading up to the commercialization of the cargo UAV and (ii) between 2029 and 2031 leading up
to the commercialization of the Jaunt Journey and assumed positive EBITDA during the two years following commercialization. Mid-term
and long-term EBITDA margin projections at full rate production were reduced slightly (1-2%) compared to our prior year testing date
of October 1, 2023.
EBITDA
projections as of September 30, 2024 were also revised to incorporate estimates of manufacturing costs of the cargo UAV, which reduced
mid-term and long-term gross margins by approximately 2% at full rate production, as well as estimated efficiencies, which resulted in
reduced operating expenses slightly (0.5%-1%) as a percentage of revenue as compared to the October 1, 2023 projections.
While
the timing of projected cash flows from the Jaunt Journey has been delayed and as operations now include a plan to produce a cargo UAV,
profitability of the Electric Air Mobility segment post-commercialization of the Jaunt Journey has always been part of our projections.
We anticipate profitability in the Electric Air Mobility segment commencing in year two following commercialization of the cargo UAV.
As to the degree of uncertainty associated with our assumptions, we believe our long-term projected revenue is reasonable given a sales
price supported by non-binding letters of intent and a relatively small number of units in comparison to, according to the Morgan Stanley
Report, an anticipated global market ranging between an expected $1 trillion and with an upside $4.4 trillion by 2040. There is a higher
degree of uncertainty in projected EBITDA, as compared to projected revenue as projected EBITDA includes estimates as to future labor
and material costs, efficiency rates as to the number of production hours required over time, and synergies.
The
most sensitive factor in our analysis was the WACC discount rate. As of September 30, 2024, a 33% WACC discount rate was applied to the
Electric Air Mobility segment, which is fairly consistent with the 35% WACC discount rate used as of our prior year testing date of October
1, 2023. The 200 basis-point decrease from prior year was deemed appropriate due to more conservative projected long term EBITDA margins
as compared to sales in the prior year, regulatory harmonization that has occurred for the industry between the FAA, TCCA, and EASA,
advances in electric propulsion, battery density, and autonomous systems which lower remaining technical development risk. While these
factors reduce risk to the Electric Air Mobility segment, a larger decrease in the WACC was not deemed appropriate due to delays in funding
for development efforts and overall implementation risk that remains similar to October 1, 2023. As to the sensitivity of the WACC rate,
another hypothetical 100 basis-point increase in the WACC discount rate would have yielded an additional $46.0 million in goodwill impairment.
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We
believe the factors considered in the impairment analysis are reasonable; however, significant changes in any one of our assumptions
could produce a different result and result in additional impairment charges that could be material to our condensed consolidated financial
statements. For example, the fair value of the Electric Air Mobility segment could be adversely affected and may result in an additional
impairment of goodwill if this reporting unit is not able to advance the development of our aircraft and other products, obtain regulatory
approvals, and launch and commercialize our products at scale, if the estimated production costs are significantly higher than estimated
or if the WACC discount rate is increased.
Specific
to the Training segment’s projections as of September 30, 2024, we noted a significant decrease in sales and gross margins as a
result of not being able to meet contractual demands due to delays in the funding of aircraft. In prior years, government ISR aircraft
contracts did not require that the aircraft be able to employ weapons. As those contracts have aged-out, the new requirements for the
re-competitions require assets that have the ability to employ training munitions and have been approved by the government to do so.
CDI does not possess aircraft that can achieve this requirement; thus, we have either not been awarded or chose not to bid on certain
contracts. The projected revenue and margins were revised to include the timing of projected aircraft and investments to be made in flight
schools in the short-term (between 2025 and 2028) and then the acquisition of additional aircraft beginning in years after 2029.
EBITDA
projections as of September 30, 2024 have not significantly changed compared to our prior year testing date of October 1, 2023, and we
do not anticipate any changes until we are able to make more significant investments in aircraft, and at which time we can better leverage
our operating expenses. At that point, we anticipate that mid-term and long-term EBITDA margins would increase. The shifting and corresponding
discounting of these projections resulted in a significant decrease in the fair value of the Training segment, which indicated impairment.
As
to the degree of uncertainty associated with our assumptions, we believe our short-term projected revenue is reasonable given our history
with military contract practices and the historical results of flight schools, while our long-term projected revenue is subject to a
higher degree of uncertainty. To mitigate this risk, a 30% WACC discount rate was applied to these projections which was consistent with
our prior year testing date of October 1, 2023. As to the sensitivity of the WACC rate, another hypothetical 100-basis-point increase
in the WACC discount rate would have yielded an additional $3.4 million in goodwill impairment.
We
believe the factors considered in the impairment analysis are reasonable; however, significant changes in any one of our assumptions
could produce a different result and result in additional impairment charges that could be material to our condensed consolidated financial
statements. For example, the fair value of the Training segment could be adversely affected and may result in an additional impairment
of goodwill if this reporting unit is not able to purchase the needed aircraft, if the estimated costs for managing the flight schools
are significantly higher than estimated or if the WACC discount rate is increased.
Intangible
Assets
We
perform valuations of assets acquired and liabilities assumed on each acquisition accounted for as a business combination and allocates
the purchase price of the acquired business to the respective net tangible and intangible assets. We determine the appropriate useful
life by performing an analysis of expected cash flows based on historical experience of the acquired businesses. Intangible assets are
amortized over their estimated useful lives using the straight-line method which approximates the pattern in which the economic benefits
are consumed. We capitalize third-party legal costs and filing fees, if any, associated with obtaining patents. Once the patent asset
has been placed in service, we amortize these costs over the shorter of the asset’s legal life, generally 20 years from the initial
filing date, or its estimated economic life using the straight-line method.
The
estimated useful lives for our intangible assets are as follows:
Estimated
useful
life
Developed
technology
8
to 13 years
Tradenames
– definite-lived
4
to 8 years
Customer
relationships
3
to 7 years
Patents
up
to 20 years
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In
addition to the long-lived intangible assets, we also had $8.8 million of indefinite lived intangible assets which is primarily the $8.7
million tradename obtained in conjunction with the Jaunt acquisition.
Impairment
of Indefinite Lived Assets
Under
ASC 350-30-35-18, an intangible asset that is not subject to amortization shall be tested for impairment annually and more frequently
if events or changes in circumstances indicate that it is more likely than not that the asset is impaired. In testing for impairment,
we define our Asset Groups at the reporting unit level. Under ASC 360-10-35-26 when an asset group is a reporting unit, the asset group
includes goodwill. When goodwill and indefinite lived intangibles are included in the long-lived asset group being tested for impairment,
the indefinite-lived intangible assets are tested for impairment in accordance with ASC 350-30 first, then the long-lived assets (groups)
are tested for impairment in accordance with ASC 360-10, and goodwill is tested for impairment at the reporting unit level in accordance
with ASC 350-20 last.
ASC
350-30-35-18A specifies that an entity may first perform a qualitative assessment, as described in this paragraph and paragraphs 350-30-35-18B
through 35-18F, to determine whether it is necessary to perform the quantitative impairment test.
As
a result of the termination of our Business Combination Agreement in August 2024 and the continued delays in financing, we determined
it appropriate to perform a qualitative assessment considering factors listed in ASC 350, which includes cost factors, financial performance,
legal, regulatory, contractual, political, business, or other factors. Based on our review of these factors, there was no indication
of impairment for the Avionics or Drones segments. However, we determined it appropriate to perform a quantitative analysis on intangible
and long-lived assets within the Electric Air Mobility and Training segments. The fair value of the undiscounted cashflows of both the
Electric Air Mobility and Training segments was significantly higher than the respective asset group’s carrying value and therefore
no impairment charges were required to be recorded for the year ended December 31, 2024.
No
impairment charges were recorded during the three or nine months ended September 30, 2025 or 2024.
Impairment
of Long-Lived Assets
We
evaluate long-lived assets, including property and equipment and intangible assets, for impairment in accordance with ASC 360 whenever
events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of an asset may not be recoverable. Recoverability of assets held
and used is measured by a comparison of the carrying amount of an asset or an asset group to estimated undiscounted future net cash flows
expected to be generated by the asset or asset group. If such evaluation indicates that the carrying amount of the asset or the asset
group is not recoverable, any impairment loss would be equal to the amount the carrying value exceeds the fair value.
As
a result of the termination of our Business Combination Agreement in August 2024 and the continued delays in financing, we determined
it was appropriate to perform a qualitative assessment considering factors listed in ASC 350 Intangibles—Goodwill and Other (“ASC
350”) which includes cost factors, financial performance, legal, regulatory, contractual, political, business, or other factors.
Based on our review of these factors, there was no indication of impairment for the Avionics or Drones segments. However, we determined
it was appropriate to perform a quantitative analysis on intangible and long-lived assets within the Electric Air Mobility and Training
segments. The fair value of the undiscounted cashflows of both the Electric Air Mobility and Training segments was significantly higher
than the respective asset group’s carrying value and therefore no impairment charges were required to be recorded in 2024.
No
impairment charges were recorded during the three or nine months ended September 30, 2025 or 2024.
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Valuation
of Debt
During
2024, certain Investor Notes were amended which resulted in significant modifications of debt. In accordance with ASC 470-50, as this
significant modification was considered an extinguishment and created an election date for the fair value option and as the fair value
election is applied on an instrument-by-instrument basis, we chose to record these Investor Notes at fair value beginning on the modification
date in October 2024. Investor Notes have historically included various interest features in the form of both stock and cash upon the
closing of an initial public offering or qualified financing. In conjunction with the IPO, common stock was issued to partially settle
the Investor Notes at fair value. As of September 30, 2025, the valuation of the Investor Notes was limited to unpaid cash amounts.
Inventory
Valuation
We
write down our inventory for estimated obsolescence or unmarketable inventory equal to the difference between the cost of inventory and
the estimated net realizable value based upon assumptions about future demand and market conditions. Reductions to the carrying value
of inventory are charged to cost of revenue and a new, lower cost basis for that inventory is established. Subsequent changes to facts
or circumstances do not result in the restoration or increase in the related inventory value. If actual market conditions are less favorable
than those projected by management, additional inventory write-downs may be required.
Stock-based
Compensation
We
recognize compensation expense for stock-based awards based on the grant-date estimated fair value of the awards. Options and restricted
stock awards may be granted as time-based awards, performance-based awards or combinations of the time-based and performance-based awards.
We expense the fair value of our options to employees and non-employees on a straight-line basis over the associated service period for
time-based awards, which is generally the vesting period. The performance-based awards begin their period of ratable vesting at the time
that we determine that the achievement of the performance thresholds is probable. We account for forfeitures as they occur and does not
estimate forfeitures at the time of grant. Ultimately, the actual expense recognized over the vesting period will be for only those options
that vest.
Income
Taxes
We
account for income taxes in accordance with the asset and liability approach method. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized
for future tax consequences attributable to temporary differences between the condensed consolidated financial statements carrying amounts
of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases, as well as for net operating losses and tax credit carryforwards.
Deferred tax amounts are determined by using the enacted tax rates expected to be in effect when the temporary differences are expected
to be recovered or settled. The effect on deferred tax assets and liabilities of a change in tax rates is recognized in income in the
period that includes the enactment date. A valuation allowance reduces the deferred tax assets to the amount that is more-likely-than-not
to be realized.
We
evaluate our tax positions taken or expected to be taken in the course of preparing our tax returns to determine whether the tax positions
will more-likely-than-not be sustained by the applicable tax authority. Tax positions not deemed to meet the more-likely-than-not threshold
are not recorded as a tax benefit or expense in the current year. Interest and penalties, if applicable, are recorded in the period assessed
as income tax expense.
Off-Balance
Sheet Arrangements
As
of September 30, 2025 and December 31, 2024, we have not entered into any off-balance sheet financing arrangements, established any special
purpose entities, guaranteed any debt or commitments of other entities, or purchased any non-financial assets. We do not participate
in transactions that create relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, often referred to as variable interest
entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements.
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Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.