Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") is designed to provide a reader of AGNC Investment Corp.'s consolidated financial statements with a narrative from the perspective of management and should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for quarterly period ended March 31, 2025. Our MD&A is presented in the following sections:
• Executive Overview
• Financial Condition
• Results of Operations
• Liquidity and Capital Resources
• Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
• Forward-Looking Statements
• Website and Social Media Disclosure
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
We are a leading provider of private capital to the U.S. housing market, enhancing liquidity in the residential real estate mortgage markets and, in turn, facilitating home ownership in the U.S. We invest primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities ("Agency RMBS") on a leveraged basis. These investments consist of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise, such as Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae") and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation ("Freddie Mac," and together with Fannie Mae, the "GSEs"), or by a U.S. Government agency, such as Government National Mortgage Association ("Ginnie Mae"). We may also invest in other assets related to the housing, mortgage or real estate markets that are not guaranteed by a GSE or U.S. Government agency.
We are internally managed with the principal objective of generating favorable long-term stockholder returns with a substantial yield component. We generate income from the interest earned on our investments, net of associated borrowing and hedging costs, and net realized gains and losses on our investment and hedging activities. We fund our investments primarily through collateralized borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. We operate in a manner to qualify to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code.
We employ an active management strategy that is dynamic and responsive to evolving market conditions. The composition of our portfolio and our investment, funding, and hedging strategies are tailored to reflect our analysis of market conditions and the relative values of available options. Market conditions are influenced by a variety of factors, including interest rates, prepayment expectations, liquidity, housing prices, unemployment rates, general economic conditions, government participation in the mortgage market, regulations and relative returns on other assets.
Trends and Recent Market Impacts
Investor sentiment turned decidedly more cautious during the first quarter of 2025, as the potential adverse effects of government policy actions on economic growth and inflation caused increasing macroeconomic and monetary policy uncertainty. In response, investors initially rotated into high-quality assets—such as U.S. Treasuries, Agency RMBS, and cash—while reducing exposure to higher-risk assets, including equities and corporate debt.
Fixed income markets posted positive returns across major Bloomberg indices during the quarter, led by Agency RMBS with a total return of 3.1%. On a hedged basis, Agency RMBS performance was more mixed, as spreads to benchmark rates generally widened, particularly in the lower- and middle-coupon segments. The 30-year Agency RMBS current coupon spread to a blend of 5- and 10-year Treasury rates widened by eight basis points during the quarter.
Despite the modest spread widening, for the first quarter, AGNC had total comprehensive income of $0.12 per common share and generated an economic return on tangible common equity of 2.4%, consisting of $0.36 in dividends declared per common share and a $0.16 decline in tangible net book value per share.
Shortly after quarter-end in early April, volatility escalated following the administration’s announcement of tariffs that were significantly broader and greater in magnitude than anticipated. Recession concerns intensified, equity markets entered bear market territory from their February peaks, and interest rate volatility increased markedly. Over the first nine trading days of April, the 10-year Treasury yield fluctuated by more than 100 basis points—initially declining sharply before reversing
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materially higher. This elevated volatility and uncertainty disrupted typical market correlations, constrained liquidity, and further pressured investor sentiment.
The Agency RMBS market was not immune to these adverse developments and also came under significant pressure. In early April, the 30-year Agency RMBS current coupon spread to the blended 5- and 10-year Treasury rate widened to 160 basis points—the top of its five-quarter trading range. Agency RMBS relative performance to swaps was even weaker. The Agency RMBS current coupon spread to blended swap rates reached an intraday peak of 230 basis points, approaching the high of 235 basis points observed during the COVID-19 crisis. As of the end of April, these spreads have narrowed somewhat but remain elevated.
AGNC was well-positioned entering this period of market disruption. Consistent with our disciplined approach to balance sheet management, during the first quarter we maintained our tangible net book value "at risk" leverage within our target range, ending the quarter at 7.5x tangible equity. We also raised $509 million in common equity through our At-the-Market Offering Program at a material premium to tangible net book value, generating meaningful accretion for common stockholders and further enhancing our liquidity position. As a result, we concluded the quarter with $6.0 billion in cash and unencumbered Agency RMBS, representing 63% of tangible equity.
While our net asset value was negatively impacted by the widening of mortgage spreads to benchmark interest rates, the implied return potential on our portfolio and new investments have increased commensurately, reflecting these wider spread levels. At current valuations, we believe Agency RMBS offer compelling return opportunities on both a levered and unlevered basis. Historical spread behavior supports this view, as mortgage spreads to benchmark rates have not typically remained at these levels for extended periods. We also view Agency RMBS as an attractive alternative to corporate credit, particularly in the context of a weakening economic outlook. Accordingly, despite the likelihood of continued macroeconomic uncertainty, our outlook for Agency RMBS remains highly constructive. On the demand side, we continue to expect that regulatory relief and the potential for more favorable capital requirements will support increased bank demand for Agency RMBS and also benefit the Treasury and swap markets. At the same time, with mortgage rates in the mid-to-upper 6% range, new issuance of Agency RMBS is expected to remain relatively muted.
During the first quarter, our investment portfolio increased approximately $5 billion to $78.9 billion at quarter-end. Asset additions were concentrated in pools with favorable prepayment characteristics, while our TBA position was relatively stable, and the weighted average coupon of our holdings remained just over 5.0%.
In line with our asset growth, our interest rate hedge portfolio increased during the quarter to $64.1 billion in notional balance at quarter-end and covered 91% of the outstanding balance of our repurchase agreements used to fund our investment portfolio ("Investment Securities Repo"), TBA position, and other debt, unchanged from December 31, 2024. Our duration gap, which measures the estimated difference between the interest rate sensitivity of our assets and our liabilities, inclusive of interest rate hedges, was 0.4 years at quarter-end, compared to 0.3 years as of December 31, 2024.
Net spread and dollar roll income (a non-GAAP measure) for the first quarter increased $0.07 to $0.44 per common share, driven by a 21 basis point improvement in our net interest rate spread from the fourth quarter of 2024 to 2.12%. This improvement reflected higher asset yields, a greater proportion of swap-based hedges, and repo funding that fully reset to prevailing short-term rate levels.
Consistent with lower rates during the quarter, the average projected life CPR for our portfolio increased to 8.3% at quarter-end, from 7.7% as of December 31, 2024. Actual CPRs averaged 7.0% for the quarter, down from 9.6% in the fourth quarter.
For information regarding non-GAAP financial measures, including reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measure please refer to Results of Operations included in this MD&A below. For information regarding the sensitivity of our tangible net book value per common share to changes in interest rates and mortgage spreads, please refer to Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk in this form 10-Q .
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Market Information
The following table summarizes benchmark interest rates and prices of generic fixed rate Agency RMBS as of each date presented below:
Interest Rate/Security Price 1
Mar. 31, 2024 June 30, 2024 Sept. 30, 2024 Dec. 31, 2024 Mar. 31, 2025 Mar. 31, 2025
vs
Dec. 31, 2024
Target Federal Funds Rate:
Target Federal Funds Rate - Upper Band
5.50% 5.50% 5.00% 4.50% 4.50% — bps
SOFR:
SOFR Rate 5.34% 5.33% 4.96% 4.49% 4.41% -8 bps
SOFR Interest Rate Swap Rate:
2-Year Swap
4.55% 4.61% 3.44% 4.08% 3.72% -36 bps
5-Year Swap
3.98% 4.10% 3.25% 4.04% 3.65% -39 bps
10-Year Swap
3.84% 3.98% 3.32% 4.07% 3.76% -31 bps
30-Year Swap
3.62% 3.76% 3.30% 3.93% 3.79% -14 bps
U.S. Treasury Security Rate:
2-Year U.S. Treasury
4.62% 4.76% 3.64% 4.24% 3.89% -35 bps
5-Year U.S. Treasury
4.21% 4.38% 3.56% 4.38% 3.95% -43 bps
10-Year U.S. Treasury
4.20% 4.40% 3.78% 4.57% 4.21% -36 bps
30-Year U.S. Treasury
4.34% 4.56% 4.12% 4.78% 4.57% -21 bps
30-Year Fixed Rate Agency Price:
2.5%
$82.77 $81.87 $86.22 $81.38 $83.05 +$1.67
3.0%
$86.16 $85.26 $89.68 $84.88 $86.58 +$1.70
3.5%
$89.61 $88.67 $93.09 $88.38 $90.11 +$1.73
4.0%
$92.74 $91.68 $95.98 $91.32 $93.10 +$1.78
4.5% $95.34 $94.45 $98.27 $93.98 $95.55 +$1.57
5.0% $97.70 $96.81 $99.90 $96.44 $97.89 +$1.45
5.5% $99.58 $98.76 $101.15 $98.61 $99.79 +$1.18
6.0% $100.98 $100.39 $102.19 $100.45 $101.49 +$1.04
6.5% $102.21 $101.88 $103.10 $102.10 $103.08 +$0.98
15-Year Fixed Rate Agency Price:
1.5% $86.69 $85.61 $89.16 $85.80 $87.69 +$1.89
2.0% $88.71 $88.00 $91.41 $88.34 $90.30 +$1.96
2.5%
$91.07 $90.44 $93.68 $90.83 $92.44 +$1.61
3.0%
$93.17 $92.61 $95.82 $93.12 $94.55 +$1.43
3.5%
$95.13 $94.61 $97.88 $94.56 $96.16 +$1.60
4.0%
$96.95 $96.24 $99.28 $96.01 $97.37 +$1.36
________________________________
1. Price information is for generic instruments only and is not reflective of our specific portfolio holdings. Price information is as of 3:00 p.m. (EST) on such date and can vary by source. Price information is sourced from Barclays. Interest rate information is sourced from Bloomberg.
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The following table summarizes mortgage and credit spreads as of each date presented below:
Mortgage Rate/Credit Spread Mar. 31, 2024 June 30, 2024 Sept. 30, 2024 Dec. 31, 2024 Mar. 31, 2025 Mar. 31, 2025
vs
Dec. 31, 2024
Mortgage Rate: 1
30-Year Agency Current Coupon Yield to 5-Year U.S. Treasury Spread 139 149 140 145 156 +11
30-Year Agency Current Coupon Yield to 10-Year U.S. Treasury Spread 140 147 118 126 130 +4
30-Year Agency Current Coupon Yield to 5/10-Year U.S. Treasury Spread 139 149 129 135 143 +8
30-Year Agency Current Coupon Yield 5.60% 5.87% 4.96% 5.83% 5.51% -32 bps
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.74% 6.94% 6.14% 6.86% 6.60% -26 bps
Credit Spread (in bps): 2
CRT M2 182 166 159 137 163 +26
CMBS AAA 88 100 91 72 94 +22
CDX IG 51 54 53 50 61 +11
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1. 30-Year Current Coupon Yield represents yield on new production Agency RMBS. 30-Year Current Coupon Yields are sourced from Bloomberg and 30-Year Mortgage Rates are sourced from Clear Blue.
2. CRT and CDX spreads sourced from JP Morgan. CMBS spreads are the average of spreads sourced from Bank of America, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.
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FINANCIAL CONDITION
As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, our investment portfolio totaled $78.9 billion and $73.3 billion, respectively, consisting of: $70.5 billion and $65.5 billion Agency RMBS, at fair value, respectively; $7.5 billion and $6.9 billion net TBA securities, at fair value, respectively; $0.9 billion and $0.9 billion CRT, non-Agency RMBS and CMBS, at fair value, respectively; and other mortgage credit investments of $63 million and $64 million, respectively, which we account for under the equity method of accounting. The following table is a summary of our investment securities (including TBA securities) as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 (dollars in millions):
March 31, 2025 December 31, 2024
Investment Securities (Includes TBAs) 1
Amortized Cost Fair Value Average Coupon % Amortized Cost Fair Value Average Coupon %
Fixed rate Agency RMBS and TBA securities:
≤ 15-year:
≤ 15-year RMBS $ 88 $ 83 2.65 % — % $ 97 $ 90 2.68 % — %
15-year TBA securities — — — % — % — — — % — %
Total ≤ 15-year
88 83 2.65 % — % 97 90 2.68 % — %
20-year RMBS
560 498 3.12 % 1 % 578 506 3.12 % 1 %
30-year:
30-year RMBS 69,659 67,887 5.11 % 86 % 66,464 63,453 5.01 % 87 %
30-year TBA securities, net 2
7,429 7,473 4.51 % 9 % 6,887 6,861 5.37 % 9 %
Total 30-year
77,088 75,360 5.05 % 96 % 73,351 70,314 5.04 % 96 %
Total fixed rate Agency RMBS and TBA securities 77,736 75,941 5.03 % 96 % 74,026 70,910 5.02 % 97 %
Adjustable rate Agency RMBS 783 785 4.85 % 1 % 796 790 4.85 % 1 %
Multifamily 1,033 1,038 4.65 % 1 % 485 476 4.62 % 1 %
CMO Agency RMBS:
CMO 96 92 3.36 % — % 102 96 3.34 % — %
Interest-only strips 58 53 0.60 % — % 35 30 2.08 % — %
Principal-only strips 24 22 — % — % 25 23 — % — %
Total CMO Agency RMBS 3
178 167 3.36 % — % 162 149 3.34 % — %
Total Agency RMBS and TBA securities 3
79,730 77,931 5.02 % 99 % 75,469 72,325 5.02 % 99 %
Non-Agency RMBS 1,3
17 15 5.28 % — % 17 15 5.29 % — %
CMBS 3
235 212 6.82 % — % 264 236 6.59 % — %
CRT 595 640 10.26 % 1 % 583 633 10.44 % 1 %
Total investment securities 3
$ 80,577 $ 78,798 5.06 % 100 % $ 76,333 $ 73,209 5.06 % 100 %
________________________________
1. Table excludes other mortgage credit investments of $63 million and $64 million as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively.
2. TBA securities are presented net of long and short positions. For further details of our TBA securities refer to Note 5 of our Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q
3. Average coupon excludes interest-only and principal-only securities.
TBA securities are recorded as derivative instruments in our accompanying consolidated financial statements, and our TBA dollar roll transactions represent a form of off-balance sheet financing. As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, our TBA securities had a net carrying value of $44 million and $(26) million, respectively, reported in derivative assets/(liabilities) on our accompanying consolidated balance sheets. The net carrying value represents the difference between the fair value of the underlying security in the TBA contract and the price to be paid or received for the underlying security.
As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, the weighted average yield on our investment securities (excluding TBA and forward settling securities) was 4.87% and 4.77%, respectively.
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The following tables summarize certain characteristics of our fixed rate Agency RMBS portfolio, inclusive of TBA securities, as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 (dollars in millions):
March 31, 2025
Includes Net TBA Position Excludes Net TBA Position
Fixed Rate Agency RMBS and TBA Securities Par Value Amortized
Cost Fair Value Specified Pool % 1
Weighted Average Coupon Amortized
Cost Basis Weighted Average Projected
CPR 2
Yield 2
Age (Months)
Fixed rate
≤ 15-year:
2.0% $ 33 $ 34 $ 31 100% 2.00% 102.5% 1.33% 51 9%
2.5% 10 11 10 100% 2.50% 99.5% 2.80% 145 17%
3.0% 31 31 30 100% 3.00% 100.8% 2.38% 139 16%
3.5% 8 8 8 100% 3.50% 101.1% 2.61% 140 16%
4.0% 4 4 4 10% 4.00% 101.0% 1.98% 166 38%
Total ≤ 15-year 86 88 83 96% 2.65% 101.3% 2.03% 107 15%
20-year:
2.5% 300 313 266 —% 2.50% 104.4% 1.73% 57 5%
3.0% 23 24 21 97% 3.00% 103.4% 2.29% 68 8%
3.5% 92 94 89 77% 3.50% 101.6% 2.97% 139 9%
4.0% 56 58 55 92% 4.00% 103.6% 3.09% 95 9%
≥ 4.5% 67 71 67 97% 4.64% 104.7% 3.41% 90 10%
Total 20-year: 538 560 498 41% 3.12% 103.8% 2.32% 79 7%
30-year:
≤ 3.0% 2,674 2,614 2,251 62% 2.51% 98.1% 2.75% 48 6%
3.5% 4,997 5,174 4,602 82% 3.50% 104.1% 2.84% 112 6%
4.0% 6,686 6,941 6,325 78% 4.00% 105.6% 3.10% 95 7%
4.5% 9,547 9,547 9,196 38% 4.50% 103.2% 3.94% 57 8%
5.0% 15,380 15,207 15,132 25% 5.00% 99.3% 5.08% 20 7%
5.5% 20,837 20,909 20,960 33% 5.50% 100.3% 5.45% 16 8%
6.0% 11,893 12,072 12,196 44% 6.00% 101.6% 5.70% 18 10%
≥ 6.5% 4,504 4,624 4,698 37% 6.51% 102.7% 5.91% 17 14%
Total 30-year 76,518 77,088 75,360 42% 5.05% 101.4% 4.84% 35 8%
Total fixed rate $ 77,142 $ 77,736 $ 75,941 42% 5.03% 101.4% 4.82% 36 8%
________________________________
1. Specified pools include pools backed by lower balance loans with original loan balances of up to $200K, HARP pools (defined as pools that were issued between May 2009 and December 2018 and backed by 100% refinance loans with original LTVs ≥ 80%), and pools backed by loans 100% originated in New York and Puerto Rico. As of March 31, 2025, lower balance specified pools had a weighted average original loan balance of $188,000 and $139,000 for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, and HARP pools had a weighted average original LTV of 128% and 141% for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively.
2. Portfolio yield incorporates a projected life CPR based on forward rate assumptions as of March 31, 2025.
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December 31, 2024
Includes Net TBA Position Excludes Net TBA Position
Fixed Rate Agency RMBS and TBA Securities Par Value Amortized
Cost Fair Value Specified Pool % 1
Weighted Average Coupon Amortized
Cost Basis Weighted Average Projected
CPR 2
Yield 2
Age (Months)
Fixed rate
≤ 15-year:
≤ 2.0% $ 34 $ 35 $ 30 100% 2.00% 102.6% 1.34% 48 8%
≤ 2.5% 12 12 12 100% 2.50% 99.4% 2.80% 142 15%
3.0% 34 35 33 100% 3.00% 100.9% 2.38% 136 15%
3.5% 9 9 9 100% 3.50% 101.2% 2.61% 137 15%
4.0% 5 5 5 9% 4.00% 101.2% 1.96% 164 34%
4.5% 1 1 1 100% 4.50% 101.0% 2.71% 165 28%
Total ≤ 15-year 95 97 90 95% 2.68% 101.4% 2.05% 107 14%
20-year:
2.5% 307 321 267 —% 2.50% 104.5% 1.74% 54 5%
3.0% 23 24 21 97% 3.00% 103.5% 2.29% 65 7%
3.5% 98 99 93 78% 3.50% 101.7% 2.97% 136 9%
4.0% 58 60 56 92% 4.00% 103.7% 3.09% 93 9%
≥ 4.5% 71 74 69 97% 4.64% 104.8% 3.42% 87 10%
Total 20-year: 557 578 506 42% 3.12% 103.9% 2.33% 77 7%
30-year:
≤ 3.0% 3,734 3,726 3,052 66% 2.41% 97.9% 2.73% 43 6%
3.5% 4,910 5,114 4,439 86% 3.50% 104.1% 2.84% 109 6%
4.0% 5,980 6,302 5,567 90% 4.00% 105.7% 3.10% 92 7%
4.5% 8,206 8,273 7,786 45% 4.50% 103.4% 3.92% 55 8%
5.0% 12,013 11,898 11,663 32% 5.00% 99.6% 5.03% 20 7%
5.5% 19,627 19,758 19,502 31% 5.50% 100.4% 5.44% 15 7%
6.0% 13,334 13,517 13,512 38% 6.00% 101.6% 5.72% 16 9%
≥ 6.5% 4,641 4,763 4,793 37% 6.51% 102.7% 5.97% 15 11%
Total 30-year 72,445 73,351 70,314 44% 5.04% 101.5% 4.74% 36 8%
Total fixed rate $ 73,097 $ 74,026 $ 70,910 44% 5.02% 101.5% 4.71% 36 8%
________________________________
1. See Note 1 of preceding table for specified pool composition. As of December 31, 2024, lower balance specified pools had a weighted average original loan balance of $188,000 and $148,000 for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, and HARP pools had a weighted average original LTV of 128% and 141% for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively.
2. Portfolio yield incorporates a projected life CPR based on forward rate assumptions as of December 31, 2024.
For additional details regarding our CRT and non-Agency securities, including credit ratings, as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, please refer to Note 3 of our Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In addition to the results presented in accordance with GAAP, our results of operations discussed below include certain non-GAAP financial information, including "economic interest income," "economic interest expense," and "net spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders" and the related per common share measures and certain financial metrics derived from such non-GAAP information.
"Economic interest income" is measured as interest income (GAAP measure), adjusted to (i) exclude retrospective "catch-up" adjustments to premium amortization cost associated with changes in projected CPR estimates and (ii) include TBA dollar roll implied interest income. "Economic interest expense" is measured as interest expense (GAAP measure) adjusted to include TBA dollar roll implied interest expense/benefit and interest rate swap periodic cost/income. "Net spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders" is measured as comprehensive income (loss) available (attributable) to common stockholders (GAAP measure) adjusted to: (i) exclude gains/losses on investment securities recognized through net income and other comprehensive income and gains/losses on derivative instruments and other securities (GAAP measures); (ii) exclude retrospective "catch-up" adjustments to premium amortization cost associated with changes in projected CPR estimates; and (iii) include interest rate swap periodic income/cost, TBA dollar roll income and other interest income/expense. As defined "Net
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spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders" includes (i) the components of "economic interest income" and "economic interest expense", plus (ii) other interest income/expense, and less (iii) total operating expenses and dividends on preferred stock (GAAP measures).
By providing such measures, in addition to the related GAAP measures, we believe we give greater transparency into the information used by our management in its financial and operational decision-making. We also believe it is important for users of our financial information to consider information related to our current financial performance without the effects of certain measures and one-time events that are not necessarily indicative of our current investment portfolio performance and operations.
Specifically, in the case "net spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders" and components of such measure, "economic interest income" and "economic interest expense," we believe the inclusion of TBA dollar roll income is meaningful as TBAs, which are accounted for under GAAP as derivative instruments with gains and losses recognized in other gain (loss) in our consolidated statement of comprehensive income, are economically equivalent to holding and financing generic Agency RMBS using short-term repurchase agreements. Similarly, we believe that the inclusion of periodic interest rate swap settlements is meaningful as interest rate swaps are the primary instrument we use to economically hedge against fluctuations in our borrowing costs and it is more indicative of our total cost of funds than interest expense alone. Additionally, we believe the exclusion of "catch-up" premium amortization adjustments is meaningful as it excludes the cumulative effect from prior reporting periods due to current changes in future prepayment expectations and, therefore, exclusion of such adjustments is more indicative of the current earnings potential of our investment portfolio.
However, because such measures are incomplete measures of our financial performance and involve differences from results computed in accordance with GAAP, they should be considered as supplementary to, and not as a substitute for, results computed in accordance with GAAP. In addition, because not all companies use identical calculations, our presentation of such non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies.
Selected Financial Data
The following selected financial data is derived from our interim consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto. The selected financial data should be read in conjunction with the more detailed information contained in Item 1. Financial Statements and in this Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (in millions, except per share amounts):
March 31,
December 31,
Balance Sheet Data 2025
2024
(Unaudited)
Investment securities, at fair value of $71,325 and $66,348, respectively, and other mortgage credit investments
$ 71,388 $ 66,412
Total assets $ 95,889 $ 88,015
Repurchase agreements and other debt $ 66,200 $ 60,862
Total liabilities $ 85,847 $ 78,253
Total stockholders' equity $ 10,042 $ 9,762
Net book value per common share 1
$ 8.80 $ 9.00
Tangible net book value per common share 2
$ 8.25 $ 8.41
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Three Months Ended March 31,
Statement of Comprehensive Income Data (Unaudited)
2025 2024
Interest income $ 846 $ 642
Interest expense 687 672
Net interest income (expense) 159 (30)
Other gain (loss), net (81) 497
Operating expenses 28 24
Net income 50 443
Dividends on preferred stock 35 31
Net income available to common stockholders $ 15 $ 412
Net income $ 50 $ 443
Other comprehensive income (loss), net 93 (77)
Comprehensive income 143 366
Dividends on preferred stock 35 31
Comprehensive income available to common stockholders $ 108 $ 335
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic 918.3 702.2
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - diluted 921.9 704.2
Net income per common share - basic $ 0.02 $ 0.59
Net income per common share - diluted $ 0.02 $ 0.59
Comprehensive income per common share - basic $ 0.12 $ 0.48
Comprehensive income per common share - diluted $ 0.12 $ 0.48
Dividends declared per common share $ 0.36 $ 0.36
Three Months Ended March 31,
Other Data (Unaudited) * 2025 2024
Average investment securities - at par $ 69,704 $ 55,455
Average investment securities - at cost $ 70,725 $ 56,664
Average net TBA dollar roll position - at cost $ 7,428 $ 6,190
Average total assets - at fair value $ 92,683 $ 70,731
Average repurchase agreements and other debt outstanding 3
$ 61,707 $ 48,730
Average stockholders' equity 4
$ 9,935 $ 8,328
Average tangible net book value "at risk" leverage 5
7.3:1 7.0:1
Tangible net book value "at risk" leverage (as of period end) 6
7.5:1 7.1:1
Economic return on tangible common equity 7
2.4 % 5.7 %
Expenses % of average total assets - annualized
0.12 % 0.14 %
Expenses % of average assets, including average net TBA position - annualized
0.11 % 0.12 %
Expenses % of average stockholders' equity - annualized
1.13 % 1.15 %
________________________________
* Except as noted below, average numbers for each period are weighted based on days on our books and records.
1. Net book value per common share is calculated as total stockholders' equity, less preferred stock liquidation preference, divided by number of common shares outstanding as of period end.
2. Tangible net book value per common share excludes goodwill.
3. Amount represents the daily weighted average repurchase agreements outstanding for the period used to fund our investment securities and other debt. Amount excludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements and TBA contracts. Other debt includes debt of consolidated VIEs.
4. Average stockholders' equity calculated as average month-ended stockholders' equity during the period.
5. Average tangible net book value "at risk" leverage is calculated by dividing the sum of daily weighted average repurchase agreements used to fund our investment securities, other debt, and TBA and forward settling securities (at cost) (collectively "mortgage borrowings") outstanding for the period by the sum of average stockholders' equity adjusted to exclude goodwill for the period. Leverage excludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements.
6. Tangible net book value "at risk" leverage as of period end is calculated by dividing the sum of mortgage borrowings outstanding and receivable/payable for unsettled investment securities as of period end by the sum of total stockholders' equity adjusted to exclude goodwill as of period end. Leverage excludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements.
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7. Economic return on tangible common equity represents the sum of the change in tangible net book value per common share and dividends declared per share of common stock during the period over beginning tangible net book value per common share.
Economic Interest Income and Asset Yields
The following table summarizes our economic interest income (a non-GAAP measure) for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024, which includes the combination of interest income (a GAAP measure) on our holdings reported as investment securities on our consolidated balance sheets, adjusted to exclude estimated "catch-up" premium amortization adjustments for the cumulative effect from prior reporting periods due to changes in our CPR forecast, and implied interest income on our TBA securities (dollars in millions):
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2025 2024
Amount Yield Amount Yield
Interest income:
Cash/coupon interest income
$ 885 5.08 % $ 679 4.90 %
Net premium amortization benefit (cost) (39) (0.30) % (37) (0.37) %
Interest income (GAAP measure) 846 4.78 % 642 4.53 %
Estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost (benefit) due to change in CPR forecast 2 0.02 % (10) (0.07) %
Interest income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization 848 4.80 % 632 4.46 %
TBA dollar roll income - implied interest income 1,2
104 5.58 % 84 5.40 %
Economic interest income (non-GAAP measure) 3
$ 952 4.87 % $ 716 4.56 %
Weighted average actual portfolio CPR for investment securities held during the period 7.0 % 5.7 %
Weighted average projected CPR for the remaining life of investment securities held as of period end 8.3 % 10.4 %
30-year fixed rate mortgage rate as of period end 4
6.60 % 6.74 %
10-year U.S. Treasury rate as of period end 4
4.21 % 4.20 %
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1. Reported in gain (loss) on derivatives instruments and other securities, net in the accompanying consolidated statements of operations.
2. Implied interest income from TBA dollar roll transactions is computed as the sum of (i) TBA dollar roll income and (ii) estimated TBA implied funding cost (see Economic Interest Expense and Aggregate Cost of Funds below). TBA dollar roll income represents the price differential, or "price drop," between the TBA price for current month settlement versus the TBA price for forward month settlement and is the economic equivalent to interest income on the underlying Agency securities, less an implied funding cost, over the forward settlement period. Amount is net of TBAs used for hedging purposes. Amount excludes TBA mark-to-market adjustments.
3. The combined asset yield is calculated on a weighted average basis based on our average investment and TBA balances outstanding during the period and their respective yields.
4. 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates are sourced from Optimal Blue. 10-year U.S. Treasury rates are sourced from Bloomberg.
The principal elements impacting our economic interest income are the average size of our investment portfolio and the average yield on our securities. The following table includes a summary of the estimated impact of each of these elements on our economic interest income for the three months ended March 31, 2025 compared to the prior year period (in millions):
Impact of Changes in the Principal Elements Impacting Economic Interest Income
Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 vs. March 31, 2024
Due to Change in Average
Total Increase /
(Decrease) Portfolio
Size Asset
Yield
Interest Income (GAAP measure) $ 204 $ 159 $ 45
Estimated "catch-up" premium amortization due to change in CPR forecast 12 — 12
Interest income, excluding "catch-up" premium amortization 216 159 57
TBA dollar roll income - implied interest income 20 17 3
Economic interest income, excluding "catch-up" amortization (non-GAAP measure) $ 236 $ 176 $ 60
Our average investment portfolio (at cost), inclusive of TBAs, increased 24% for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the prior year period, primarily due to an increase in our capital base. The average yield on our investment portfolio, including TBA implied asset yields and excluding "catch-up" premium amortization, increased 31 basis points for the three months ended March 31, 2025 largely as a result of shifting our asset portfolio from lower coupon holdings toward a greater share of higher coupon, specified pools.
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Leverage
Our primary measure of leverage is our tangible net book value "at risk" leverage ratio, which is measured as the sum of our repurchase agreements and other debt used to fund our investment securities and net TBA and forward settling securities position (at cost) (together referred to as "mortgage borrowings") and our net receivable/payable for unsettled investment securities, divided by our total stockholders' equity adjusted to exclude goodwill.
We include our net TBA position in our measure of leverage because a forward contract to acquire Agency RMBS in the TBA market carries similar risks to Agency RMBS purchased in the cash market and funded with on-balance sheet liabilities. Similarly, a TBA contract for the forward sale of Agency securities has substantially the same effect as selling the underlying Agency RMBS and reducing our on-balance sheet funding commitments. (Refer to Liquidity and Capital Resources in this Form 10-Q for further discussion of TBA securities and dollar roll transactions). Repurchase agreements used to fund short-term investments in U.S. Treasury securities ("U.S. Treasury Repo") are excluded from our measure of leverage due to the temporary and highly liquid nature of these investments. The following table presents a summary of our leverage ratios for the periods listed (dollars in millions):
Investment Securities Repurchase Agreements and Other Debt 1
Net TBA Position
Long/(Short) 2
Average Tangible Net Book Value
"At Risk" Leverage during the Period 3
Tangible Net Book Value "At Risk" Leverage
as of
Period End 4
Quarter Ended Average Daily
Amount Maximum
Daily Amount Ending
Amount Average Daily
Amount Ending
Amount
March 31, 2025 $ 61,707 $ 63,789 $ 63,312 $ 7,428 $ 7,429 7.3:1 7.5:1
December 31, 2024 $ 59,690 $ 63,759 $ 59,426 $ 5,936 $ 6,887 7.2:1 7.2:1
March 31, 2024 $ 48,730 $ 49,894 $ 48,216 $ 6,190 $ 8,405 7.0:1 7.1:1
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1. Other debt includes debt of consolidated VIEs. Amounts exclude U.S. Treasury Repo agreements.
2. Daily average and ending net TBA position outstanding measured at cost. Includes forward settling non-Agency securities.
3. Average tangible net book value "at risk" leverage during the period represents the sum of our daily weighted average repurchase agreements and other debt used to fund acquisitions of investment securities and net TBA and forward settling securities position outstanding, divided by the sum of our average month-ended stockholders' equity, adjusted to exclude goodwill.
4. Tangible net book value "at risk" leverage as of period end represents the sum of our repurchase agreements and other debt used to fund acquisitions of investments securities, net TBA and forward settling securities position (at cost), and net receivable/payable for unsettled investment securities outstanding as of period end, divided by total stockholders' equity, adjusted to exclude goodwill as of period end.
Economic Interest Expense and Aggregate Cost of Funds
The following table summarizes our economic interest expense and aggregate cost of funds (non-GAAP measures) for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024 (dollars in millions), which includes the combination of interest expense on repurchase agreements and other debt used to fund acquisitions of investment securities (GAAP measure), implied financing cost of our TBA securities and interest rate swap periodic income:
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2025 2024
Economic Interest Expense and Aggregate Cost of Funds 1
Amount Cost of Funds Amount Cost of Funds
Investment securities repurchase agreement and other debt - interest expense (GAAP measure) $ 687 4.45 % $ 672 5.45 %
TBA dollar roll income - implied interest expense 2,3
81 4.34 % 84 5.34 %
Economic interest expense - before interest rate swap periodic income, net 4
768 4.44 % 756 5.44 %
Interest rate swap periodic income, net 2,5
(293) (1.69) % (536) (3.86) %
Total economic interest expense (non-GAAP measure) $ 475 2.75 % $ 220 1.58 %
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1. Amounts exclude interest rate swap termination fees and variation margin settlements paid or received, forward starting swaps and the impact of other supplemental hedges, such as swaptions and U.S. Treasury positions.
2. Reported in gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net in our consolidated statements of comprehensive income.
3. The implied funding cost (benefit) of TBA dollar roll transactions is determined using the price differential, or "price drop," between the TBA price for current month settlement versus the TBA price for forward month settlement and market based assumptions regarding the "cheapest-to-deliver" collateral that can be delivered to satisfy the TBA contract, such as the anticipated collateral’s weighted average coupon, weighted average maturity and projected 1-month CPR. The average implied funding cost (benefit) for all TBA transactions is weighted based on our daily average TBA balance outstanding for the period.
4. The combined cost of funds for total mortgage borrowings outstanding, before interest rate swap periodic income, is calculated on a weighted average basis based on average investment securities repurchase agreements, other debt and TBA securities outstanding during the period and their respective cost of funds.
5. Interest rate swap periodic income is measured as a percent of average mortgage borrowings outstanding for the period.
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The principal elements impacting our economic interest expense are (i) the size of our average mortgage borrowings and interest rate swap portfolio outstanding during the period, (ii) the average interest rate on our mortgage borrowings and (iii) the average net interest rate paid/received on our interest rate swaps. The following table includes a summary of the estimated impact of these elements on our economic interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2025 compared to the prior year period (in millions):
Impact of Changes in the Principal Elements of Economic Interest Expense
Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 vs. March 31, 2024
Due to Change in Average
Total Increase / (Decrease) Borrowing / Swap Balance Borrowing / Swap Rate
Investment securities repurchase agreement and other debt interest expense $ 15 $ 179 $ (164)
TBA dollar roll income - implied interest expense (3) 17 (20)
Interest rate swap periodic income/cost 243 (3) 246
Total change in economic interest expense $ 255 $ 193 $ 62
Our average mortgage borrowings, inclusive of TBAs, increased 26% for the three months ended March 31, 2025, consistent with the increase to our average investment portfolio. The average interest rate on our mortgage borrowings, excluding the impact of interest rate swap periodic income, decreased 100 basis points for the three months ended March 31, 2025 due to lower short-term interest rates.
Interest rate swap periodic income declined for the three months ended March 31, 2025, primarily due to higher pay rates on our pay-fixed swaps—driven by the maturity of lower-cost swaps—and lower receive rates. The ratio of interest rate swaps outstanding to mortgage borrowings also declined, reflecting a shift towards a higher proportion of U.S. Treasury-based hedges. The following is a summary of our interest rate swaps outstanding during the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024 (dollars in millions). Amounts exclude forward starting swaps not yet in effect.
Three Months Ended
March 31,
Average Ratio of Interest Rate Swaps (Excluding Forward Starting Swaps) to Mortgage Borrowings Outstanding 2025 2024
Average investment securities repo and other debt outstanding $ 61,707 $ 48,730
Average net TBA dollar roll position outstanding - at cost $ 7,428 $ 6,190
Average mortgage borrowings outstanding
$ 69,135 $ 54,920
Average notional amount of interest rate swaps outstanding (excluding forward starting swaps), net $ 44,179 $ 43,903
Ratio of average interest rate swaps to mortgage borrowings outstanding
64 % 80 %
Average interest rate swap pay-fixed rate (excluding forward starting swaps) 1.73 % 0.84 %
Average interest rate swap receive-floating rate
(4.38) % (5.67) %
Average interest rate swap net pay/(receive) rate
(2.65) % (4.83) %
For the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024, we had an average forward starting net pay-fixed rate swap balance of $286 million and $585 million, respectively. Forward starting interest rate swaps do not impact our economic interest expense and aggregate cost of funds until they commence accruing net interest settlements on their forward start dates.
Net Interest Spread
The following table presents a summary of our net interest spread (including the impact of TBA dollar roll income, interest rate swaps and excluding "catch-up" premium amortization) for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024:
Three Months Ended
March 31,
Investment and TBA Securities - Net Interest Spread 2025 2024
Average asset yield 4.87 % 4.56 %
Average aggregate cost of funds (2.75) % (1.58) %
Average net interest spread 2.12 % 2.98 %
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Net Spread and Dollar Roll Income
The following table presents a reconciliation of net spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders (non-GAAP measure) from comprehensive income (loss) available (attributable) to common stockholders (the most comparable GAAP financial measure) for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024 (dollars in millions):
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2025 2024
Comprehensive income available to common stockholders
$ 108 $ 335
Adjustments to exclude realized and unrealized (gains) losses reported through net income:
Realized loss on sale of investment securities, net
245 91
Unrealized (gain) loss on investment securities measured at fair value through net income, net
(1,183) 471
(Gain) loss on derivative instruments and other securities, net
1,019 (1,059)
Adjustment to exclude unrealized (gain) loss reported through other comprehensive income:
Unrealized (gain) loss on available-for-sale securities measure at fair value through other comprehensive income, net
(93) 77
Other adjustments:
Estimated "catch-up" premium amortization cost (benefit) due to change in CPR forecast 1
2 (10)
TBA dollar roll income, net 2
23 —
Interest rate swap periodic income, net 2
293 536
Other interest income (expense), net 2,3
(11) (35)
Net spread and dollar roll income available to common stockholders (non-GAAP measure) 403 406
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic 918.3 702.2
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - diluted 921.9 704.2
Net spread and dollar roll income per common share - basic $ 0.44 $ 0.58
Net spread and dollar roll income per common share - diluted $ 0.44 $ 0.58
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1. Reported in interest income in our consolidated statements of comprehensive income.
2. Reported in gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net in our consolidated statements of comprehensive income.
3. Other interest income (expense), net includes interest income on cash and cash equivalents; price alignment interest income (expense) ("PAI") on interest rate swap margin deposits posted by or (to) the Company; and other miscellaneous interest income (expense).
Gain (Loss) on Investment Securities, Net
The following table is a summary of our net gain (loss) on investment securities for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024 (in millions):
Three Months Ended
March 31,
Gain (Loss) on Investment Securities, Net 1
2025 2024
Loss on sale of investment securities, net $ (245) $ (91)
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment securities measured at fair value through net income, net 2
1,183 (471)
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment securities measured at fair value through other comprehensive income, net
93 (77)
Total gain (loss) on investment securities, net
$ 1,031 $ (639)
________________________________
1. Amounts exclude gain (loss) on TBA securities, which are reported in gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net in our Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income.
2. Investment securities acquired after fiscal year 2016 are measured at fair value through net income (see Note 2 of our Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q).
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Gain (Loss) on Derivative Instruments and Other Securities, Net
The following table is a summary of our gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024 (in millions):
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2025 2024
TBA securities, dollar roll income $ 23 $ —
TBA securities, mark-to-market gain (loss) 54 (58)
Interest rate swaps, periodic income 293 536
Interest rate swaps, mark-to-market gain (loss) (862) 113
Credit default swaps - buy protection — (3)
Payer swaptions (19) 33
U.S. Treasury securities - short position (460) 338
U.S. Treasury securities - long position 60 (43)
U.S. Treasury futures contracts - short position (100) 186
SOFR futures contracts - long position 10 (10)
Other interest income (expense)
(11) (35)
Other gain (loss) (7) 2
Total gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net $ (1,019) $ 1,059
For further details regarding our use of derivative instruments and related activity refer to Notes 2 and 5 of our Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q.
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LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Our business is dependent on our ability to maintain adequate levels of liquidity and capital resources to fund day-to-day operations, fulfill collateral requirements under our funding and derivative agreements, and to satisfy our dividend distribution requirement of at least 90% of our taxable income to maintain our qualification as a REIT. Our primary sources of liquidity are unencumbered cash and securities, borrowings available under repurchase agreements, TBA dollar roll financing and monthly receipts of principal and interest payments. We may also conduct asset sales, change our asset or funding mix, issue equity or undertake other capital enhancing actions to maintain adequate levels of liquidity and capital resources. There are various risks and uncertainties that can impact our liquidity, such as those described in Item 1A. Risk Factors of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures of Market Risks in this Form 10-Q. In assessing our liquidity, we consider a number of factors, including our current leverage, collateral levels, access to capital markets, overall market conditions, and the sensitivity of our tangible net book value over a range of scenarios. We believe that we have sufficient liquidity and capital resources available to meet our obligations and execute our business strategy.
Leverage and Financing Sources
Our leverage will vary depending on market conditions and our assessment of relative risks and returns, but we generally expect our leverage to be between six and twelve times the amount of our tangible stockholders' equity, measured as the sum of our total mortgage borrowings and net payable / (receivable) for unsettled investment securities, divided by the sum of our total stockholders' equity adjusted to exclude goodwill. Our tangible net book value "at risk" leverage ratio was 7.5x and 7.2x as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively. The following table includes a summary of our mortgage borrowings outstanding as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 (dollars in millions). For additional details of our mortgage borrowings refer to Notes 2, 4 and 5 to our Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q.
March 31, 2025 December 31, 2024
Mortgage Borrowings Amount % Amount %
Investment securities repurchase agreements 1,2
$ 63,250 89 % $ 59,362 90 %
Debt of consolidated variable interest entities, at fair value 62 — % 64 — %
Total debt 63,312 89 % 59,426 90 %
TBA and forward settling non-Agency securities, at cost 7,429 11 % 6,887 10 %
Total mortgage borrowings $ 70,741 100 % $ 66,313 100 %
________________________________
1. Includes Agency RMBS, CRT and non-Agency MBS repurchase agreements. E xcludes U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements totaling $2.9 billion and $1.4 billion as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively.
2. As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, 47% and 47%, respectively, of our total repurchase agreements, including 49% and 49% or our investment securities repurchase agreements, respectively, were funded through the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation's GCF Repo service.
Our primary financing sources are collateralized borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. We enter into repurchase agreements, or "repo," through bi-lateral arrangements with financial institutions and independent dealers. We also enter into third-party repurchase agreements through our wholly-owned registered broker-dealer subsidiary, Bethesda Securities, LLC, such as tri-party repo offered through the FICC's GCF Repo service. We manage our repurchase agreement funding position through a variety of methods, including diversification of counterparties, maintaining a suitable maturity profile and utilization of interest rate hedging strategies. We also use TBA dollar roll transactions as a means of synthetically financing Agency RMBS.
The terms and conditions of our repurchase agreements are determined on a transaction-by-transaction basis when each such borrowing is initiated or renewed and, in the case of GCF Repo, by the prevailing margin requirements calculated by the FICC, which acts as the central counterparty. The amount borrowed is generally equal to the fair value of the securities pledged, as determined by the lending counterparty, less an assessed discount, referred to as a "haircut," that reflects the underlying risk of the specific collateral and protects the counterparty against a change in its value. Interest rates are generally fixed based on prevailing rates corresponding to the term of the borrowing. None of our repo counterparties are obligated to renew or otherwise enter into new borrowings at the conclusion of our existing borrowings.
The use of TBA dollar roll transactions increases our funding diversification, expands our available pool of assets, and increases our overall liquidity position, as TBA contracts typically have lower implied haircuts relative to Agency RMBS pools funded with repo financing. TBA dollar roll transactions may also have a lower implied cost of funds than comparable repo funded transactions (referred to as "dollar roll specialness") offering incremental return potential. However, if it were to become uneconomical to roll our TBA contracts into future months it may be necessary to take physical delivery of the underlying securities and fund those assets with cash or other financing sources, which could reduce our liquidity position.
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Collateral Requirements and Unencumbered Assets
Amounts available to be borrowed under our repurchase agreements are dependent upon prevailing interest rates, the lender’s "haircut" requirements and collateral value. Each of these elements may fluctuate with changes in interest rates, credit quality and liquidity conditions within the financial markets. To help manage the adverse impact of interest rate changes on our borrowings, we utilize an interest rate risk management strategy involving the use of derivative financial instruments. In particular, we attempt to mitigate the risk of the cost of our short-term funding liabilities increasing at a faster rate than the earnings of our long-term fixed rate assets during a period of rising interest rates.
The collateral requirements, or haircut levels, under our repo agreements are typically determined on an individual transaction basis or by the prevailing requirements established by the FICC for GCF tri-party repo. Consequently, haircut levels and minimum margin requirements can change over time and may increase during periods of elevated market volatility. If the fair value of our collateral declines, our counterparties will typically require that we post additional collateral to re-establish the agreed-upon collateral levels, referred to as "margin calls." Similarly, if the estimated fair value of our investment securities increases, we may request that counterparties release collateral back to us. Our counterparties typically have the sole discretion to determine the value of pledged collateral but are required to act in good faith in making determinations of value. Our agreements generally provide that in the event of a margin call, collateral must be posted on the same business day, subject to notice requirements. As of March 31, 2025, we had met all our margin requirements.
The value of Agency RMBS collateral is impacted by market factors and is reduced by monthly principal pay-downs on the underlying mortgage pools. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac publish monthly security pay-down factors for their mortgage pools on the fifth day after month-end, but do not remit payment to security holders until generally the 25th day after month-end. Bi-lateral repo counterparties assess margin to account for the reduction in value of Agency collateral when factors are released. The FICC assesses margin on the last day of each month, prior to the factor release date, based on its internally projected pay-down rates (referred to as the "blackout period exposure adjustment" or "blackout margin"). On the factor release date, the blackout margin is released and collateralization requirements are adjusted to actual factor data. Due to the timing difference between associated margin calls and our receipt of principal pay-downs, our liquidity is temporarily reduced each month for principal repayments. We attempt to manage the liquidity risk associated with principal pay-downs by monitoring conditions impacting prepayment rates and through asset selection. As of March 31, 2025, approximately 9% of our investment portfolio consisted of TBA securities, which are not subject to monthly principal pay-downs. The remainder of our portfolio primarily consisted of Agency RMBS, which had an average one-year CPR forecast of 8% as of March 31, 2025.
Collateral requirements under our derivative agreements are subject to our counterparties' assessment of their maximum risk of loss associated with the derivative instrument, referred to as the initial or minimum margin requirement, and may be adjusted based on changes in market volatility and other factors. We are also subject to daily variation margin requirements based on changes in the value of the derivative instrument and/or collateral pledged. Daily variation margin requirements also entitle us to receive collateral if the value of amounts owed to us under the derivative agreement exceeds the minimum margin requirement. The collateral requirements under our TBA contracts are governed by the Mortgage-Backed Securities Division ("MBSD") of the FICC. Collateral levels for interest rate derivative agreements are typically governed by the central clearing exchange and the associated futures commission merchants ("FCMs"), which may establish margin levels in excess of the clearing exchange. Collateral levels for interest rate derivative agreements not subject to central clearing are established by the counterparty financial institution.
Haircut levels and minimum margin requirements imposed by our counterparties reduce the amount of our unencumbered assets and limit the amount we can borrow against our investment securities. During the three months ended March 31, 2025, haircuts on our repo funding arrangements remained stable. As of March 31, 2025, the weighted average haircut on our repurchase agreements was approximately 3.0% of the value of our collateral, compared to 3.2% as of December 31, 2024.
To mitigate the risk of margins calls, we seek to maintain excess liquidity by holding unencumbered liquid assets that can be used to satisfy collateral requirements, collateralize additional borrowings or sold for cash. As of March 31, 2025, our unencumbered assets totaled approximately $6.1 billion, or 64% of tangible equity, consisting of $6.0 billion of cash and unencumbered Agency RMBS and $0.1 billion of unencumbered credit assets. This compares to $6.2 billion of unencumbered assets, or 67% of tangible equity, as of December 31, 2024, consisting of $6.1 billion of cash and unencumbered Agency RMBS and $0.1 billion of unencumbered credit assets.
Counterparty Risk
Collateral requirements imposed by counterparties subject us to the risk that the counterparty does not return pledged assets to us as and when required. We attempt to manage this risk by monitoring our collateral positions and limiting our counterparties to registered clearinghouses and major financial institutions with acceptable credit ratings. We also diversify our funding across multiple counterparties and by region.
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As of March 31, 2025, our maximum amount at risk (or the excess/shortfall of the value of collateral pledged/received over our repurchase agreement liabilities/reverse repurchase agreement receivables) with any of our repurchase agreement counterparties, excluding the FICC, was less than 2% of our tangible stockholders' equity, with our top five repo counterparties, excluding the FICC, representing 5% of our tangible stockholders' equity. As of March 31, 2025, 8% of our tangible stockholder's equity was at risk with the FICC. Excluding central clearing exchanges, as of March 31, 2025, our amount at risk with any counterparty to our derivative agreements was less than 1% of our stockholders' equity.
Asset Sales
Agency RMBS securities are among the most liquid fixed income securities, and the TBA market is the second most liquid market (after the U.S. Treasury market). Although market conditions fluctuate, the vitality of these markets enables us to sell assets under most conditions to generate liquidity through direct sales or delivery into TBA contracts, subject to "good delivery" provisions promulgated by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association ("SIFMA"). Under certain market conditions, however, we may be unable to realize the full carrying value of our securities. We attempt to manage this risk by maintaining at least a minimum level of securities that trade at or near TBA values that in our estimation enhances our portfolio liquidity across a wide range of market conditions. Please refer to Trends and Recent Market Impacts of this Management Discussion and Analysis for further information regarding Agency RMBS and TBA market conditions.
Capital Markets
The equity capital markets serve as a source of capital to grow our business and to meet potential liquidity needs of our business. The availability of equity capital is dependent on market conditions and investor demand for our common and preferred stock. We will typically not issue common stock at times when we believe the capital raised will not be accretive to our tangible net book value or earnings, and we will typically not issue preferred equity when its cost exceeds acceptable hurdle rates of return on our equity. We may also be unable to raise additional equity capital at suitable times or on favorable terms. Furthermore, when the trading price of our common stock is less than our then-current estimate of our tangible net book value per common share, among other conditions, we may repurchase shares of our common stock pursuant to the stock repurchase plan authorized by our Board, which as of March 31, 2025, shares of our common stock with an aggregate repurchase price of $1.0 billion remained authorized for repurchase through December 31, 2026. Please refer to Notes 9 and 11 of our Consolidated Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q for further details regarding our recent equity capital transactions and our new At-the-Market Offering Program established in April 2025.
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS
As of March 31, 2025, we did not maintain relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such as entities often referred to as structured finance, or special purpose or variable interest entities, established to facilitate off-balance sheet arrangements or other contractually narrow or limited purposes. Additionally, as of March 31, 2025, we had not guaranteed obligations of unconsolidated entities or entered into a commitment or intent to provide funding to such entities.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
The statements contained in this Quarterly Report that are not historical facts, including estimates, projections, beliefs, expectations concerning conditions, events, or the outlook for our business, strategy, performance, operations or the markets or industries in which we operate, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “believe,” “plan,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “see,” “intend,” “outlook,” “potential,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “likely” and other similar, correlative or comparable words and expressions.
Forward-looking statements are based on management’s assumptions, projections and beliefs as of the date of this Quarterly Report, but they involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking statements, as well as from historical performance. Factors that could cause actual results to vary from our forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the following:
• changes in U.S. monetary policy or interest rates, including actions taken by the Federal Reserve to normalize monetary policy and to reduce the size of its U.S. Treasury and Agency RMBS bond portfolio;
• fluctuations in the yield curve;
• the level, degree and extent of volatility in interest rates or the yield on our assets relative to interest rate benchmarks;
• fluctuations in mortgage prepayment rates on the loans underlying our Agency RMBS;
• the availability and terms of financing and our hedge positions;
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• changes in the market value of our assets, including from changes in net interest spreads, market liquidity or depth, and changes in our "at risk" leverage or hedge positions;
• the effectiveness of our risk mitigation strategies;
• conditions in the market for Agency RMBS and other mortgage securities, including changes in the available supply of such securities or investor appetite therefor;
• actions by the federal, state, or local governments that affect the economy, the housing sector or financial markets;
• the direct or indirect effects of geopolitical events, including war, terrorism, civil discord, embargos, trade or other disputes, or natural disasters, on conditions in the markets for Agency RMBS or other mortgage securities, the terms or availability of funding for our business, or our ongoing business operations;
• the availability of personnel, operational resources, information technology and other systems to conduct our operations;
• changes to laws, regulations, rules or policies that affect the GSE's, the primary or secondary mortgage markets in which we participate or U.S. housing finance activity, including actions that would end or alter the conservatorships of Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac or their quasi-governmental status; and
• legislative or regulatory actions that affect our status as a REIT or our exemption from the Investment Company Act of 1940.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date made, and we do not assume any duty and do not undertake to update forward-looking statements. A further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from any of our forward-looking statements is included under Item 1A. Risk Factors in Part I of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Part II of this Form 10-Q. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements.
WEBSITE AND SOCIAL MEDIA DISCLOSURE
We use our website (www.AGNC.com) and AGNC’s LinkedIn (www.linkedin.com/company/agnc-investment-corp/) and X (www.x.com/AGNCInvestment) accounts to distribute information about the Company. Investors should monitor these channels in addition to our press releases, filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), public conference calls and webcasts, as information posted through them may be deemed material. Our website, alerts and social media channels are not incorporated by reference into, and are not a part of, this or any other report filed with or furnished to the SEC. Investors and others may automatically receive emails and information about AGNC when they sign up for investor alerts on the "Investor Resources" tab of the Investor Relations section of our website.
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.