Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
Our future income, cash flows and fair values relevant to financial instruments are dependent upon prevalent market interest rates. Market risk refers to the risk of loss from adverse changes in market prices and interest rates. We manage our market risk by attempting to match anticipated inflow of cash from our operating, investing and financing activities with anticipated outflow of cash to fund debt payments, dividends to our stockholders and Operating Partnership unitholders, investments, capital expenditures and other cash requirements.
Interest Rate Risk
Outstanding Debt
The following discusses the effect of hypothetical changes in market rates of interest on the fair value of our total outstanding debt. Interest rate risk amounts were determined by considering the impact of hypothetical interest rates on our debt. Discounted cash flow analysis is generally used to estimate the fair value of our mortgages payable. Considerable judgment is necessary to estimate the fair value of financial instruments. This analysis does not purport to take into account all of the factors that may affect our debt, such as the effect that a changing interest rate environment could have on the overall level of economic activity or the action that our management might take to reduce our exposure to the change. This analysis assumes no change in our financial structure.
Fixed Interest Rate Debt
Our outstanding notes payable obligations (maturing at various times through October 2034) have fixed interest rates which limit the risk of fluctuating interest rates. However, interest rate fluctuations may affect the fair value of our fixed rate debt instruments. At September 30, 2024, we had $1.8 billion of fixed rate debt outstanding with an estimated fair value of $1.7 billion. If interest rates at September 30, 2024 had been 1.0% higher, the fair value of those debt instruments on that date would have decreased by approximately $68.6 million. If interest rates at September 30, 2024 had been 1.0% lower, the fair value of those debt instruments on that date would have increased by approximately $93.4 million. The carrying values of our revolving line of credit and term loans are deemed to be at fair value since the outstanding debt is directly tied to monthly SOFR contracts. Additionally, we consider $325.0 million related to Term Loan A, Term Loan B and Term Loan C outstanding as of September 30, 2024 to be fixed rate debt as the rate is effectively fixed by interest rate swap agreements.
Variable Interest Rate Debt
At September 30, 2024, we had $325.0 million of variable rate debt outstanding, all of which is subject to interest rate swaps as described above. We have historically entered into forward starting interest rate swaps in order to economically hedge against the risk of rising interest rates that would affect our interest expense related to our future anticipated debt issuances as part of its overall borrowing program. See the discussion under Note 4 to the accompanying consolidated financial statements for certain quantitative details related to the interest rate swaps and for a discussion on how we value derivative financial instruments. Based upon this amount of variable rate debt and the specific terms, if market interest rates increased or decreased by 1.0%, our annual interest expense would not change and have no corresponding change in our net income and cash flows for the year, since this variable rate debt is effectively fixed by interest rate swap agreements.
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