Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 23, 1:45 AM ET

UPS max pain

Spot (delayed)$101.54
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$95-6.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$8.9±8.8% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.3216K puts / 50K calls
Call wall$100largest call OI
Put wall$90largest put OI
IV3036.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$12.2Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $60
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 27usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 23$98-3.5%1d
Fri, Oct 30$96-5.5%8d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 27)
Fri, Nov 6$96-5.5%15d
Fri, Nov 13$93-8.4%22d
Fri, Nov 20$95-6.4%29d
Fri, Nov 27$89-12.3%36d
Fri, Dec 18$100-1.5%57d
Fri, Jan 15$100-1.5%85d
Fri, Mar 19$105+3.4%148d
Fri, Apr 16$100-1.5%176d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot95557799121143165$296M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 95 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot9555879510311114018K18K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)UPS open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot95558795103111140629629
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot55779912114316582%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 36.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 60558795103111140+$6.7M−$6.7M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.78-0.05950.03080.08-0.06-0.29
0.74-0.06960.03330.09-0.06-0.32
0.70-0.06970.03550.10-0.07-0.36
0.67-0.07980.03750.10-0.07-0.40
0.63-0.07990.03900.10-0.07-0.44
0.59-0.071000.04020.11-0.07-0.47
0.55-0.071010.04080.11-0.07-0.51
0.51-0.071020.04110.11-0.07-0.55
0.47-0.071030.04090.11-0.07-0.59
0.43-0.071040.04030.11-0.07-0.63
0.39-0.071050.03940.11-0.06-0.66
0.35-0.071060.03810.10-0.06-0.69
0.31-0.071070.03650.10-0.06-0.72
0.28-0.061080.03470.09-0.05-0.76
0.25-0.061090.03270.09-0.05-0.78

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 46 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot658592991061138K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot45849510611716035K35K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 236K call contracts, 175K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: UPS workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk