Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 4:26 AM ET

ULTA max pain

Spot (delayed)$567.47
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$565-0.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$32.2±5.7% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI0.81318 puts / 394 calls
Call wall$710largest call OI
Put wall$480largest put OI
IV3030.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$292Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $590

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$550-3.1%3d
Fri, Oct 23$540-4.8%10d
Fri, Oct 30$565-0.4%17d
Fri, Nov 6$550-3.1%24d
Fri, Nov 13$565-0.4%31d
Fri, Nov 20$505-11.0%38d
Fri, Nov 27$550-3.1%45d
Fri, Dec 18$545-4.0%66d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot565330412494576658740$5M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 565 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot565330475515555595700161161
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ULTA open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot565330475515555595700218218
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot43049255461667874082%30%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 31.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spotflip 590430480520560600710+$249K−$249K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.83-0.305300.00580.32-0.30-0.17
0.80-0.325350.00650.35-0.33-0.20
0.77-0.355400.00730.39-0.36-0.23
0.73-0.385450.00800.42-0.38-0.27
0.69-0.405500.00860.45-0.40-0.31
0.65-0.425550.00920.47-0.42-0.36
0.60-0.435600.00960.49-0.43-0.40
0.55-0.445650.00990.50-0.44-0.45
0.50-0.445700.01010.50-0.44-0.50
0.45-0.435750.01000.50-0.44-0.55
0.40-0.425800.00980.49-0.43-0.60
0.35-0.415850.00940.47-0.41-0.65
0.31-0.395900.00890.45-0.39-0.69
0.27-0.375950.00830.42-0.37-0.73
0.23-0.346000.00760.39-0.34-0.77

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 45 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot420490530562.56006902300
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2303904755406107402K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 21K call contracts, 18K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ULTA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk