Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 4:26 AM ET

ULTA max pain

Spot (delayed)$567.47
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$550-3.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$17.7±3.1% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI1.092K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$560largest call OI
Put wall$515largest put OI
IV3030.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$3.8Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $560

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$550-3.1%3d
Fri, Oct 23$540-4.8%10d
Fri, Oct 30$565-0.4%17d
Fri, Nov 6$550-3.1%24d
Fri, Nov 13$565-0.4%31d
Fri, Nov 20$505-11.0%38d
Fri, Nov 27$550-3.1%45d
Fri, Dec 18$545-4.0%66d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot550435489543597651705$23M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 550 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot550435480522.5547.5575620299299
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ULTA open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot550435480522.5547.55756204949
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot440493546599652705145%30%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 37.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 560470505532.5552.5575610+$1.2M−$1.2M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.83-0.66547.50.01140.15-0.66-0.17
0.81-0.735500.01280.16-0.74-0.19
0.77-0.81552.50.01420.18-0.81-0.23
0.74-0.885550.01550.19-0.88-0.26
0.66-0.995600.01780.22-1.00-0.34
0.61-1.03562.50.01870.23-1.04-0.39
0.56-1.065650.01940.23-1.07-0.44
0.52-1.07567.50.01970.24-1.08-0.49
0.47-1.065700.01970.24-1.07-0.54
0.37-1.005750.01870.23-1.01-0.63
0.28-0.895800.01670.20-0.89-0.72
0.21-0.745850.01410.17-0.75-0.79
0.15-0.605900.01140.14-0.60-0.85
0.11-0.465950.00880.11-0.46-0.90
0.08-0.356000.00670.09-0.35-0.93

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 51 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot420490530562.56006902300
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2303904755406107402K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 21K call contracts, 18K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ULTA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk