Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:15 PM ET

OTLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$12.09
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$11-9.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.88±23.8% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI1.131K puts / 943 calls
Call wall$20largest call OI
Put wall$5largest put OI
IV3078.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$3Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$12-0.7%26d
Fri, Dec 18$11-9.0%54d
Fri, Mar 19$13+7.5%145d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot113712162125$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 11 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1138121620331331
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)OTLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot113812162011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot3712162125252%58%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 76.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 538121620+$3K−$3K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.0050.01050.00-0.00-0.03
0.96-0.0060.01660.00-0.00-0.04
0.94-0.0170.02580.01-0.01-0.06
0.90-0.0180.03960.01-0.01-0.09
0.85-0.0190.05940.01-0.01-0.14
0.78-0.01100.08470.01-0.01-0.22
0.68-0.01110.10960.02-0.01-0.32
0.55-0.01120.12290.02-0.01-0.44
0.44-0.01130.12020.02-0.01-0.56
0.34-0.01140.10780.02-0.01-0.65
0.28-0.01150.09310.02-0.01-0.72
0.22-0.01160.07930.01-0.01-0.77
0.18-0.01170.06770.01-0.01-0.81
0.16-0.01180.05800.01-0.01-0.84
0.13-0.01190.05010.01-0.01-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 19 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot3101418222710
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot27121722353353
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: OTLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk