Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 30, 8:31 PM ET

NIO max pain

Spot (delayed)$3.2
Max pain · Fri, Nov 27$3.5+9.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$0.41±12.8% by Fri, Nov 27
Put/Call OI0.272K puts / 6K calls
Call wall$4largest call OI
Put wall$3.5largest put OI
IV3054.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$15Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $3

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 6$3.5+9.4%6d
Fri, Nov 13$3.5+9.4%13d
Fri, Nov 20$4+25.0%20d
Fri, Nov 27$3.5+9.4%27d
Fri, Dec 4$1-68.8%34d
Fri, Dec 11$3-6.3%41d
Fri, Dec 18$3-6.3%48d
Fri, Jan 15$4+25.0%76d
Fri, Feb 19$4+25.0%111d
Fri, Mar 19$5+56.2%139d
Fri, Apr 16$4+25.0%167d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot3.5123467$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 3.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spot3.50.51.52.53.54.55.53K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NIO open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 27.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spot3.50.51.52.53.54.55.5289289
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spot334455135%51%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 54.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 27

spotflip 30.51.52.53.54.55.5+$9K−$9K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 27

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.00-0.000.50.00520.00-0.00-0.01
0.99-0.0010.01560.00-0.00-0.01
0.98-0.001.50.03680.00-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.0020.08590.00-0.00-0.04
0.93-0.002.50.23350.00-0.00-0.07
0.70-0.0030.72510.00-0.00-0.30
0.31-0.003.50.73280.00-0.00-0.70
0.12-0.0040.35570.00-0.00-0.90
0.07-0.004.50.19470.00-0.00-0.95
0.05-0.0050.12850.00-0.00-0.96
0.04-0.005.50.09400.00-0.00-0.97
0.03-0.0070.05020.00-0.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot0.52.54.56.51072K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.52.54.56.510309K309K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.4M call contracts, 1.0M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NIO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk