Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 28, 1:23 AM ET

NBIX max pain

Spot (delayed)$147.85
Max pain · Fri, May 21$125-15.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$33.55±22.7% by Fri, May 21
Put/Call OI0.406 puts / 15 calls
Call wall$210largest call OI
Put wall$100largest put OI
IV3043.9%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$2Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $145

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$140-5.3%23d
Fri, Dec 18$155+4.8%51d
Fri, Jan 15$165+11.6%79d
Fri, Feb 19$155+4.8%114d
Fri, Mar 19$150+1.5%142d
Fri, May 21$125-15.5%205d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot12595118141164187210$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 125 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, May 21

spot1259510513519521055
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NBIX open contracts per strike for Fri, May 21.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, May 21

spot1259510513519521011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, May 21

spot9511814116418721046%35%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 37.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, May 21

spotflip 14595105135195210+$590−$590
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, May 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.00950.00250.14-0.01-0.06
0.92-0.011000.00310.17-0.02-0.08
0.90-0.011050.00380.20-0.02-0.10
0.77-0.031250.00680.33-0.03-0.23
0.69-0.031350.00810.39-0.04-0.32
0.60-0.041450.00910.42-0.04-0.41
0.20-0.031950.00710.31-0.02-0.87
0.17-0.022000.00660.28-0.02-0.91
0.13-0.022100.00540.23-0.02-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot651001301601902404730
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot65951251551852306K6K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 14K call contracts, 7K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NBIX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk