Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 24, 2:43 AM ET

MSGS max pain

Spot (delayed)$388.63
Max pain · Fri, May 21$420+8.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$65.9±17.0% by Fri, May 21
Put/Call OI0.63195 puts / 312 calls
Call wall$440largest call OI
Put wall$400largest put OI
IV3030.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$52Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $260

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$390+0.4%27d
Fri, Dec 18$410+5.5%55d
Fri, Feb 19$390+0.4%118d
Fri, May 21$420+8.1%209d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot420250312374436498560$4M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 420 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, May 21

spot420250320380430480130130
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSGS open contracts per strike for Fri, May 21.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, May 21

spot4202503203804304801010
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, May 21

spot25031237443649856036%26%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 27.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, May 21

spotflip 260250320380430480+$85K−$85K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, May 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.033000.00180.47-0.03-0.09
0.86-0.043200.00250.65-0.05-0.14
0.80-0.053400.00330.83-0.06-0.21
0.76-0.063500.00370.91-0.07-0.25
0.72-0.073600.00400.99-0.07-0.29
0.68-0.073700.00431.06-0.07-0.34
0.63-0.073800.00461.11-0.08-0.38
0.59-0.073900.00471.15-0.08-0.44
0.54-0.084000.00491.17-0.08-0.49
0.49-0.084100.00491.18-0.09-0.54
0.45-0.074200.00491.17-0.09-0.59
0.40-0.074300.00481.14-0.08-0.64
0.36-0.074400.00461.10-0.08-0.69
0.32-0.074500.00441.06-0.08-0.74
0.28-0.064600.00421.00-0.08-0.79

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 25 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1852503203904605302K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1852403103804505202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 10K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSGS workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk