Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Nov 2, 10:50 PM ET

MSGE max pain

Spot (delayed)$79.4
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15Not shownone strike decides it
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$10.25±12.9% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.5190 puts / 176 calls
Call wall$80largest call OI
Put wall$60largest put OI
IV3040.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$14Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $50

Max pain is not shown: without its single heaviest strike it moves 6.3% of spot, more than the 5% we allow, so one strike decides it. Walls and gamma still print.

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20too thin18d
Fri, Dec 18too thin46d
Fri, Jan 15one strike decides74d
Fri, Apr 16too thin165d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Max pain is not shown: without its single heaviest strike it moves 6.3% of spot, more than the 5% we allow, so one strike decides it. Walls and gamma still print.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot405570851001154747
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSGE open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4055708510011589%34%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 35.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 5040557085100115+$6K−$6K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.01450.00210.02-0.01-0.02
0.96-0.01500.00330.03-0.01-0.03
0.95-0.01550.00520.04-0.01-0.05
0.92-0.01600.00830.05-0.02-0.08
0.87-0.02650.01310.07-0.02-0.13
0.79-0.03700.01980.10-0.03-0.20
0.68-0.03750.02690.13-0.03-0.32
0.53-0.03800.03120.14-0.03-0.47
0.38-0.03850.03010.14-0.03-0.63
0.26-0.03900.02510.12-0.03-0.76
0.17-0.02950.01910.09-0.02-0.85
0.11-0.021000.01380.07-0.02-0.91
0.07-0.011050.00980.05-0.01-0.95
0.05-0.011100.00690.04-0.01-0.98
0.03-0.011150.00480.03-0.01-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 16 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot50708090100110610
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot355575951156464
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 258 call contracts, 124 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Max pain, walls and gamma print only when an expiration holds at least 100 open contracts across 5 strikes, and max pain also needs to stay within 5% of spot when its single heaviest strike is removed. Below that the expiration reads as thin rather than printing a level one trade could move.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSGE workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk