Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 3:10 AM ET

MSFL max pain

Spot (delayed)$27.2
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$15-44.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.05±18.6% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.58713 puts / 1K calls
Call wall$25largest call OI
Put wall$12largest put OI
IV3063.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$31Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $12

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$25-8.1%26d
Fri, Dec 18$15-44.9%54d
Fri, Mar 19$21-22.8%145d
Thu, Jun 17$20-26.5%235d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1551117243036$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 15 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1551217222732291291
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSFL open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot155121722273222
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot71319243036195%53%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 60.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 1271318232834+$9K−$9K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.89-0.01200.02580.02-0.01-0.11
0.86-0.01210.03130.02-0.01-0.14
0.82-0.02220.03720.03-0.02-0.17
0.78-0.02230.04340.03-0.02-0.22
0.73-0.02240.04930.04-0.02-0.27
0.67-0.02250.05460.04-0.02-0.32
0.61-0.02260.05880.04-0.02-0.38
0.55-0.02270.06150.04-0.02-0.44
0.49-0.02280.06260.04-0.02-0.50
0.43-0.02290.06210.04-0.02-0.56
0.37-0.02300.06010.04-0.02-0.62
0.32-0.02310.05700.04-0.02-0.67
0.27-0.02320.05300.04-0.02-0.72
0.19-0.01340.04350.03-0.01-0.80
0.16-0.01350.03860.03-0.01-0.83

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 29 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot512182328334200
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1815222936420420
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2K call contracts, 1K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSFL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk