Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 9:07 PM ET

MELI max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,834
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$1,850+0.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$253.5±13.8% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.936K puts / 7K calls
Call wall$2,400largest call OI
Put wall$1,500largest put OI
IV3047.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$2.4Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $2,240

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$1,810-1.3%today
Fri, Oct 23$1,800-1.9%7d
Fri, Oct 30$1,850+0.9%14d
Fri, Nov 6$1,840+0.3%21d
Fri, Nov 13$1,810-1.3%28d
Fri, Nov 20$1,790-2.4%35d
Fri, Nov 27$1,880+2.5%42d
Fri, Dec 18$1,850+0.9%63d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot185096015282096266432323800$1.1B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1850 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot185096015801780190021202340755755
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MELI open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1850960158017801900212023404949
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot9601528209626643232380074%40%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 41.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 2240130016201800190021002280+$2.2M−$2.2M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.71-0.9017000.00102.61-0.91-0.29
0.69-0.9217200.00112.70-0.94-0.32
0.67-0.9417400.00112.78-0.96-0.34
0.64-0.9617600.00112.85-0.98-0.36
0.62-0.9817800.00122.91-1.00-0.39
0.60-0.9918000.00122.96-1.01-0.41
0.57-1.0018200.00123.00-1.02-0.43
0.56-1.0018300.00123.01-1.02-0.45
0.55-1.0018400.00123.02-1.02-0.46
0.53-1.0018500.00123.03-1.03-0.47
0.52-1.0018600.00123.04-1.03-0.48
0.51-1.0018700.00133.04-1.03-0.50
0.50-1.0018800.00133.04-1.02-0.51
0.48-1.0018900.00133.04-1.02-0.52
0.47-0.9919000.00133.04-1.02-0.54

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1360164017851862.5194021008900
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1000154017401870204023203K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 47K call contracts, 36K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MELI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk