Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 6:36 PM ET

IBM max pain

Spot (delayed)$231.19
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$240+3.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$28.73±12.4% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.7731K puts / 40K calls
Call wall$300largest call OI
Put wall$220largest put OI
IV3043.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$542Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$225-2.7%today
Fri, Oct 23$230-0.5%7d
Fri, Oct 30$225-2.7%14d
Fri, Nov 6$230-0.5%21d
Fri, Nov 13$225-2.7%28d
Fri, Nov 20$235+1.6%35d
Fri, Nov 27$230-0.5%42d
Fri, Dec 18$240+3.8%63d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot240115190265340415490$747M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 240 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2401151702152603103905K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)IBM open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot240115170215260310390163163
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot11519026534041549092%37%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 37.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot115170215260310390+$2.1M−$2.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.88-0.061950.00580.19-0.06-0.13
0.84-0.072000.00680.23-0.07-0.17
0.80-0.082050.00790.26-0.08-0.20
0.76-0.092100.00880.30-0.09-0.25
0.71-0.102150.00960.33-0.10-0.30
0.66-0.112200.01030.35-0.11-0.35
0.60-0.112250.01070.37-0.11-0.40
0.55-0.112300.01100.38-0.12-0.46
0.49-0.112350.01110.38-0.12-0.52
0.44-0.112400.01100.38-0.12-0.57
0.39-0.112450.01060.37-0.11-0.62
0.34-0.102500.01020.35-0.11-0.67
0.30-0.102550.00960.33-0.10-0.72
0.26-0.092600.00890.31-0.09-0.76
0.22-0.092650.00810.28-0.09-0.80

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 52 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot12018522025028034011K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot110165217.525030539031K31K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 357K call contracts, 278K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: IBM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk