Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 5:03 PM ET

HSY max pain

Spot (delayed)$171.01
Max pain · Fri, Nov 13$160-6.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$11.5±6.7% by Fri, Nov 13
Put/Call OI1.23194 puts / 158 calls
Call wall$190largest call OI
Put wall$140largest put OI
IV3029.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$35Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $190

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$167.5-2.1%today
Fri, Oct 23$165-3.5%7d
Fri, Oct 30$160-6.4%14d
Fri, Nov 6$160-6.4%21d
Fri, Nov 13$160-6.4%28d
Fri, Nov 20$170-0.6%35d
Fri, Nov 27$165-3.5%42d
Fri, Dec 18$170-0.6%63d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot160140152164176188200$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 160 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 13

spot160140150160170180200104104
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HSY open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 13.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 13

spot1601401501601701802001111
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 13

spot14015216417618820057%28%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 30.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 13

spotflip 190140150160170180200+$44K−$44K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 13

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.95-0.041400.00450.05-0.04-0.05
0.93-0.041450.00640.06-0.04-0.07
0.90-0.061500.00930.08-0.06-0.10
0.86-0.071550.01320.11-0.07-0.14
0.79-0.081600.01830.14-0.08-0.21
0.69-0.091650.02370.17-0.10-0.31
0.56-0.101700.02740.19-0.10-0.44
0.42-0.101750.02740.19-0.10-0.58
0.30-0.091800.02380.17-0.09-0.71
0.15-0.071900.01460.11-0.07-0.86
0.08-0.052000.00840.07-0.05-0.94

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot140155167.51801952206510
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot751301491752102703K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 21K call contracts, 16K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HSY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk