Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 17, 1:51 AM ET

HGV max pain

Spot (delayed)$35.44
Max pain · Fri, Apr 16$30-15.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$9±25.4% by Fri, Apr 16
Put/Call OI0.1216 puts / 136 calls
Call wall$55largest call OI
Put wall$25largest put OI
IV3047.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$3Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $30

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$35-1.2%34d
Fri, Dec 18$35-1.2%62d
Fri, Jan 15$50+41.1%90d
Fri, Apr 16$30-15.3%181d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot30253341495765$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 30 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Apr 16

spot3025354555659999
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HGV open contracts per strike for Fri, Apr 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Apr 16

spot30253545556511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Apr 16

spot25334149576560%42%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 44.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Apr 16

spotflip 302535455565+$2K−$2K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Apr 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.90-0.01250.01460.05-0.01-0.11
0.79-0.01300.02510.08-0.01-0.23
0.63-0.01350.03340.10-0.01-0.40
0.46-0.01400.03540.10-0.01-0.58
0.32-0.01450.03160.09-0.01-0.73
0.22-0.01500.02560.07-0.01-0.86
0.15-0.01550.01960.06-0.01-0.94
0.10-0.01600.01480.04-0.00-0.99
0.07-0.01650.01110.04-0.00-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot22.5304050607012K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot17.52540557012K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 13K call contracts, 365 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HGV workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk