Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 7:32 PM ET

FSLR max pain

Spot (delayed)$168.09
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$195+16.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$33±19.6% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI1.0587K puts / 83K calls
Call wall$350largest call OI
Put wall$140largest put OI
IV3059.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$9.7Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $70

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$180+7.1%4d
Fri, Nov 6$185+10.1%11d
Fri, Nov 13$170+1.1%18d
Fri, Nov 20$190+13.0%25d
Fri, Nov 27$180+7.1%32d
Fri, Dec 4$180+7.1%39d
Fri, Dec 18$220+30.9%53d
Fri, Jan 15$195+16.0%81d
Fri, Mar 19$200+19.0%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot19565144223302381460$1.5B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 195 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot1956511015520029038010K10K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)FSLR open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot195651101552002903809090
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot6514422330238146099%50%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 52.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 7065110155200290380+$1.8M−$1.8M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.85-0.051350.00550.18-0.06-0.15
0.82-0.061400.00640.21-0.07-0.18
0.78-0.071450.00720.24-0.08-0.22
0.74-0.081500.00790.26-0.08-0.27
0.69-0.091550.00860.28-0.09-0.31
0.64-0.091600.00910.30-0.10-0.36
0.60-0.101650.00940.31-0.10-0.41
0.55-0.101700.00970.31-0.10-0.46
0.50-0.101750.00980.32-0.10-0.51
0.46-0.101800.00970.31-0.10-0.55
0.41-0.101850.00950.31-0.10-0.60
0.37-0.091900.00920.30-0.10-0.64
0.33-0.091950.00880.29-0.09-0.68
0.29-0.092000.00840.27-0.09-0.72
0.23-0.082100.00740.24-0.08-0.79

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 54 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1201601802002352756K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot9013518024033043057K57K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 391K call contracts, 345K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: FSLR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk