Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 9:30 PM ET

FBTC max pain

Spot (delayed)$54.5
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$55+0.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.1±9.4% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI1.19352 puts / 295 calls
Call wall$58largest call OI
Put wall$40largest put OI
IV3032.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$10Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $60

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$55+0.9%5d
Fri, Aug 28$53-2.8%12d
Fri, Sep 4$54-0.9%19d
Fri, Sep 11$56+2.8%26d
Fri, Sep 18$58+6.4%33d
Fri, Sep 25$55+0.9%40d
Fri, Oct 2$51.5-5.5%47d
Fri, Dec 18$58+6.4%124d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot55404652586470$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 55 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot554051.5555861115115
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)FBTC open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 25.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot554051.55558613030
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot40465258647063%29%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 34.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spotflip 604051.5555861+$14K$14K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.84-0.02480.03060.05-0.02-0.16
0.77-0.03500.04050.06-0.03-0.23
0.73-0.03510.04600.06-0.03-0.27
0.71-0.0351.50.04870.06-0.03-0.29
0.69-0.03520.05140.07-0.03-0.31
0.66-0.0352.50.05400.07-0.03-0.34
0.63-0.03530.05630.07-0.03-0.37
0.58-0.03540.06020.07-0.03-0.42
0.51-0.03550.06240.07-0.03-0.49
0.48-0.0355.50.06280.07-0.03-0.52
0.45-0.03560.06270.07-0.03-0.55
0.42-0.0356.50.06200.07-0.03-0.58
0.36-0.0357.50.05940.07-0.03-0.64
0.34-0.03580.05750.07-0.03-0.67
0.29-0.03590.05310.06-0.03-0.72

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 25 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot3553565962683K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3053597010414027K27K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 67K call contracts, 42K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: FBTC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk