Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 1:34 AM ET

ESLT max pain

Spot (delayed)$735.34
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$770+4.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$94±12.8% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.57789 puts / 1K calls
Call wall$850largest call OI
Put wall$780largest put OI
IV3044.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$260Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $870

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$740+0.6%25d
Fri, Dec 18$770+4.7%53d
Fri, Mar 19$670-8.9%144d
Thu, Jun 17$800+8.8%234d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot77034055677298812041420$58M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 770 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot7703405206207509001180208208
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ESLT open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot770340520620750900118022
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot3405567729881204142095%39%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 40.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 8704105506507809801260+$263K−$263K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.82-0.306400.00200.76-0.30-0.18
0.80-0.326500.00220.81-0.32-0.20
0.77-0.346600.00240.87-0.34-0.23
0.75-0.356700.00260.92-0.36-0.25
0.72-0.376800.00270.97-0.37-0.28
0.66-0.397000.00301.05-0.40-0.34
0.56-0.417300.00331.13-0.42-0.44
0.53-0.417400.00341.15-0.42-0.47
0.50-0.417500.00341.15-0.42-0.51
0.46-0.417600.00341.14-0.42-0.54
0.43-0.407700.00341.13-0.41-0.58
0.40-0.407800.00331.11-0.41-0.61
0.34-0.378000.00321.05-0.39-0.67
0.23-0.318400.00260.89-0.33-0.78
0.21-0.308500.00250.84-0.32-0.80

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot340560690820100012402660
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3405406708009601280266266
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ESLT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk